Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gland-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29723:1" rel="noopener">Gland Pharma Ltd (GLAND IN)</a> reported mid-single-digit revenue and EPS growth in its base business (ex-Cenexi) during 9M FY24. The company is confident to end FY24 on a high note.</li>
<li>Gland Pharma starts FY25 on a strong note with gaining U.S. approval for eribulin mesylate injection, used for breast cancer that has spread to other parts of the body.</li>
<li>Over the next 12–15 months, Gland Pharma is poised for enhanced geographical foot-print in Europe through Cenexi. The addressable CDMO business opportunity is estimated at €4B.</li>
</ul>



Gland Pharma Ltd (GLAND IN) reported mid-single-digit revenue and EPS growth in its base business (ex-Cenexi) during 9M FY24. The company is confident to end FY24 on a high note.
Gland Pharma starts FY25 on a strong note with gaining U.S. approval for eribulin mesylate injection, used for breast cancer that has spread to other parts of the body.
Over the next 12–15 months, Gland Pharma is poised for enhanced geographical foot-print in Europe through Cenexi. The addressable CDMO business opportunity is estimated at €4B.


Gland Pharma Ltd (GLAND IN): Business Recovery Seems To Be Overlooked by Mr. Market

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.</li>
</ul>


There are 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December. We had forecast all the index changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 57.7% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21.75bn (US$261m). 8 stocks have over 1x ADV to trade; 21 stocks have atleast 0.5x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes and the index and there could be further outperformance heading into year-end and buying from passive trackers.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We are recommending to go long on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gland-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29723:1" rel="noopener">Gland Pharma Ltd (GLAND IN)</a> and short on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/syngene-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26923:1" rel="noopener">Syngene International Ltd (SYNG IN)</a>. </li>
<li>Gland Pharma, with its niche focus on generic injectables is expected to be outlier, while Syngene, with substantial exposure to early-stage biotech research will continue to have muted performance.</li>
<li>Over the last six months, Gland Pharma shares rallied 83%, while Syngene International shares declined 5%. We expect the performance gap between the two companies will widen further.</li>
</ul>


We are recommending to go long on Gland Pharma Ltd (GLAND IN) and short on Syngene International Ltd (SYNG IN). 
Gland Pharma, with its niche focus on generic injectables is expected to be outlier, while Syngene, with substantial exposure to early-stage biotech research will continue to have muted performance.
Over the last six months, Gland Pharma shares rallied 83%, while Syngene International shares declined 5%. We expect the performance gap between the two companies will widen further.


Indian Contract Manufacturers: A Pair Trade Idea Between Gland Pharma and Syngene International

<ul>
<li>There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.</li>
<li>There are a lot of implementations this week, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.</li>
</ul>


There were a lot of rebalance implementations in China on Friday, plus a few upcoming index changes that were announced during the week.
There are a lot of implementations this week, with KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 on Thursday and then others across a bunch of countries on Friday.
There were big inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) during the week taking units outstanding to a new high. ETF inflows continue even as the market drops.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

<ul>
<li>There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 58.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m).</li>
<li>Since July, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 28 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 58.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m).
Since July, the potential adds to the index have outperformed the index and the potential deletes by a big margin. Momentum could keep the outperformance going till implementation date.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 58% Turnover & Strong Momentum

India

Syngene International Limited provides contract research and manufacturing services to the pharmaceutical industry. The Company offers chemical and formulation development, polymer research, large molecule and clinical development, and stability services. Syngene International serves customers worldwide.

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Syngene International Ltd (SYNG IN)

Gland Pharma Ltd (GLAND IN): Business Recovery Seems To Be Overlooked by Mr. Market

Gland Pharma reports steady growth in base business and is confident to end FY24 on high note. While the US will remain main growth driver, the...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

Indian Contract Manufacturers: A Pair Trade Idea Between Gland Pharma and Syngene International

Gland Pharma, with its niche focus on generic injectables is expected to be outlier, while Syngene, with substantial exposure to early-stage...

Tina Banerjee

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 58% Turnover & Strong Momentum

There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index resulting in 1-way turnover of 58.2% and in a 1-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m). Adds...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Gland Pharma Ltd (GLAND IN): Business Recovery Seems To Be Overlooked by Mr. Market

​Gland Pharma reports steady growth in base business and is confident to end FY24 on high note. While the US will remain main growth driver, the...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 18 Changes a Side, 58% Turnover, Momentum Intact

The adds and deletes have performed in line since announcement of the changes a little over a week ago. With 10 trading days to implementation,...

Brian Freitas

Indian Contract Manufacturers: A Pair Trade Idea Between Gland Pharma and Syngene International

Gland Pharma, with its niche focus on generic injectables is expected to be outlier, while Syngene, with substantial exposure to early-stage...

Tina Banerjee

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, TW Div+, ASX200, NZX50, Mom30, Top10EW, MVW, Rakuten Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 58% Turnover & Strong Momentum

There could be 18 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index resulting in 1-way turnover of 58.2% and in a 1-way trade of INR 20bn (US$240m). Adds...

Brian Freitas

Gland Pharma reports steady growth in base business and is confident to end FY24 on high note. While the US will remain main growth driver, the...