Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard</a> has returned to the well with a NBIO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">7&amp;I (3382 JP)</a>. This'll be anathema to politicians who view 7&amp;i as a local champion AND a lifeline entity.</li>
<li>Global travel outfit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webjet-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17059:1" rel="noopener">Webjet Ltd (WEB AU)</a> has announced the separation of its two key divisions. The sum of the part is greater than the whole? I'll take that bet.</li>
<li>The Kim family turn their focus to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanwha-galleria-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39998:1" rel="noopener">Hanwha Galleria (452260 KS)</a> in the latest Partial Offer within the Hanwha Group complex. </li>
</ul>



Alimentation Couche-Tard has returned to the well with a NBIO for 7&amp;I (3382 JP). This'll be anathema to politicians who view 7&amp;i as a local champion AND a lifeline entity.
Global travel outfit Webjet Ltd (WEB AU) has announced the separation of its two key divisions. The sum of the part is greater than the whole? I'll take that bet.
The Kim family turn their focus to Hanwha Galleria (452260 KS) in the latest Partial Offer within the Hanwha Group complex. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, Webjet, Hanwha Group, Swire Pac/Props, EOFlow

<ul>
<li>Yesterday afternoon (5th Dec), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> (and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (B) (87 HK)</a>) <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1205/2023120501177.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a large (HK$6bn) buyback.</li>
<li>The response this morning sees Swire A up 14.4% (as I type), and 11.8% for Swire Bs.</li>
<li>I still like the idea of buying Swire A and Swire B outright here.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday afternoon (5th Dec), Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) (and Swire Pacific (B) (87 HK)) announced a large (HK$6bn) buyback.
The response this morning sees Swire A up 14.4% (as I type), and 11.8% for Swire Bs.
I still like the idea of buying Swire A and Swire B outright here.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a>'s discount to NAV is around a one-year high; and its implied stub (net of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> has just rolled over from a multi-year high. </li>
<li>45%-Held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> recently reported its highest annual profit in more than a decade.</li>
<li>Reportedly (Bloomberg) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1080:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (A) (601111 CH)</a> is mulling a stake increase in the Hong Kong carrier. This is inevitable. It's just a question of timing. </li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (19 HK)'s discount to NAV is around a one-year high; and its implied stub (net of Swire Properties (1972 HK) has just rolled over from a multi-year high. 
45%-Held Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) recently reported its highest annual profit in more than a decade.
Reportedly (Bloomberg) Air China Ltd (A) (601111 CH) is mulling a stake increase in the Hong Kong carrier. This is inevitable. It's just a question of timing. 


Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Yesterday afternoon, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> | <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23726:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (B) (87 HK)</a> announced a new buyback program. The last one was announced August 2022 and ran until the AGM.</li>
<li>That was HK$4bn. In the meantime the company paid an HK$8.12 special div on the Swire As (14%) in September (on top of the HK$1.20 regular div). </li>
<li>Now they have announced a new HK$6bn buyback buying both A Shares and B shares. Details, index impact, historical B/A trading patterns, etc, below.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday afternoon, Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) | Swire Pacific (B) (87 HK) announced a new buyback program. The last one was announced August 2022 and ran until the AGM.
That was HK$4bn. In the meantime the company paid an HK$8.12 special div on the Swire As (14%) in September (on top of the HK$1.20 regular div). 
Now they have announced a new HK$6bn buyback buying both A Shares and B shares. Details, index impact, historical B/A trading patterns, etc, below.


Swire (19 HK / 87 HK) Announces NEW, Bigger, Better Buyback

<ul>
<li>Last night, Swire Pacific announced it planned to sell its US Coca Cola Distribution business to its parent company. That means a Circular, an IFA Opinion, and an EGM.</li>
<li>I expect a September EGM and the Special Div to follow in Q4. While I find the price low, I expect the deal to be approved by Swire shareholders.</li>
<li>This deal has an effect on the Swire B/A ratio. Some may get it. Some may not. Makes sense to be ready. Swire A is cheap. Swire B is cheaper.</li>
</ul>


Last night, Swire Pacific announced it planned to sell its US Coca Cola Distribution business to its parent company. That means a Circular, an IFA Opinion, and an EGM.
I expect a September EGM and the Special Div to follow in Q4. While I find the price low, I expect the deal to be approved by Swire shareholders.
This deal has an effect on the Swire B/A ratio. Some may get it. Some may not. Makes sense to be ready. Swire A is cheap. Swire B is cheaper.


Swire Coke Sale Special Div Impacts B/A Ratio

Hong Kong

Swire Pacific Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates in the real estate, aviation, beverage, industrial, marine services, trading, and industrial businesses.

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Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Seven & I Holdings, Webjet, Hanwha Group, Swire Pac/Props, EOFlow

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Swire's Latest Buyback

Swire Pac is cheap at 0.28x P/B, prior to this latest buyback announcement. The conglomerate may get a boost from recent property tweaks. On...

David Blennerhassett

Swire Pac (19 HK): Flying High

I still prefer Swire Pac here over Prop, but it's not a high-conviction trade. I don't foresee an imminent and material change in the shareholder...

David Blennerhassett

Swire (19 HK / 87 HK) Announces NEW, Bigger, Better Buyback

Swire Pacific (19 HK, 87 HK) have announced a new bigger, better buyback of HK$6bn (last time was HK$4bn, $3.3bn executed). This should be a...

Travis Lundy

Swire Coke Sale Special Div Impacts B/A Ratio

Swire Pacific announced the sale of its US Coca-Cola distribution business. That means cash inflow, improving the "quality" of the NAV, and there's...

Travis Lundy

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