Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Five Star Business Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Three PE investors are looking to raise up to US$158m via selling 5.9% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/five-star-business-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35238:1" rel="noopener">Five Star Business Finance (FIVESTAR IN)</a> (FSB).</li>
<li>Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals. FSB had raised around US$190m in its India IPO in Nov 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Three PE investors are looking to raise up to US$158m via selling 5.9% of Five Star Business Finance (FIVESTAR IN) (FSB).
Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals. FSB had raised around US$190m in its India IPO in Nov 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and updates since our last note.


Five Star Placement - Well Flagged but Have a Lot More Stock to Get Through

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Healthy AUM growth: The NBFCs under our coverage reported healthy AUM growth led by strong demand across segments.</li><li>Owing to seasonal weakness, disbursements for most financiers (ex-Vehicle financiers) moderated on a QoQ basis.</li><li>Management commentary on growth momentum sustaining is reassuring.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Healthy AUM growth: The NBFCs under our coverage reported healthy AUM growth led by strong demand across segments.Owing to seasonal weakness, disbursements for most financiers (ex-Vehicle financiers) moderated on a QoQ basis.Management commentary on growth momentum sustaining is reassuring.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Top Sector Ideas - Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Disbursements reported robust growth of 58% YoY, translating into healthy growth in the advances of 17/3% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>Concurrently, NII grew by 5% YoY but de-grew by 2% QoQ. Other income reported strong growth of 44.6%/61.3% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>With employee expenses remaining muted, Opex grew marginally by 3% YoY whereas declined by 2% QoQ. The CI ratio improved to 31.4% vs. 35.6% in Q3FY23.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Disbursements reported robust growth of 58% YoY, translating into healthy growth in the advances of 17/3% YoY/QoQ.Concurrently, NII grew by 5% YoY but de-grew by 2% QoQ. Other income reported strong growth of 44.6%/61.3% YoY/QoQ.With employee expenses remaining muted, Opex grew marginally by 3% YoY whereas declined by 2% QoQ. The CI ratio improved to 31.4% vs. 35.6% in Q3FY23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sundaram Finance - Robust Growth in AUM; Maintain BUY

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q4 adjusted PAT at INR 19.3bn came in above our estimate of INR 16.2bn due to higher-than-expected revenue and lower tax rate, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimates</li><li>M&amp;M’s performance highlights for FY23 are: (1) No1 in SUVs revenue market share at 19.1% (+370bps YoY) (2) market leader in LCVs (&lt;3.5T) with 520bps improvement to 45.5% (3) FES market share up 120bps YoY to 41.2% (4) market leader in EV 3Ws with 67.6% share</li><li>Also, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back, including improvement in auto margins, EPS CAGR, RoE at 18% (stands at 19.9% for FY23), calibrated asset allocation, etc</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Mahindra &amp; Mahindra: M&amp;M Q4 adjusted PAT at INR 19.3bn came in above our estimate of INR 16.2bn due to higher-than-expected revenue and lower tax rate, even as its operational performance was in line with our estimatesM&amp;M’s performance highlights for FY23 are: (1) No1 in SUVs revenue market share at 19.1% (+370bps YoY) (2) market leader in LCVs (&lt;3.5T) with 520bps improvement to 45.5% (3) FES market share up 120bps YoY to 41.2% (4) market leader in EV 3Ws with 67.6% shareAlso, it is commendable that M&amp;M has already achieved most of the targets it earmarked a couple of years back, including improvement in auto margins, EPS CAGR, RoE at 18% (stands at 19.9% for FY23), calibrated asset allocation, etcContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, Sundaram Finance

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.</li>
<li>We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.
We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.


No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

India

Sundaram Finance Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial products and services in India. The Company offers savings products, car and commercial vehicle finance, insurance products, home loans and logistics services. Sundaram is based in Chennai, India.

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Sundaram Finance (SUF IN)

Five Star Placement - Well Flagged but Have a Lot More Stock to Get Through

Three PE investors are looking to raise up to US$158m via selling 5.9% of Five Star Business Finance (FIVESTAR IN) (FSB). In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Top Sector Ideas - Banking, Financial Services and Insurance (BFSI)

The NBFCs under our coverage reported healthy AUM growth led by strong demand across segments .Owing to seasonal weakness, disbursements for most...

Axis Direct

Sundaram Finance - Robust Growth in AUM; Maintain BUY

With employee expenses remaining muted, Opex grew marginally by 3% YoY whereas declined by 2% QoQ. The CI ratio improved to 31.4% vs. 35.6% in Q3FY23.

Axis Direct

HSIE Results Daily: Mahindra & Mahindra, Infoedge, Sundaram Finance

M&M Q4 adjusted PAT at INR 19.3bn came in above our estimate of INR 16.2bn due to higher-than-expected revenue and lower tax rate

HDFC Securities

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research

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