Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology / Equity Capital Markets

Shanghai HeartCare is a neuro-interventional medical device pioneer in China. It has four products approved for marketing and expects 9 products to commercialize in 2021, as well 10 products to commercialize between 2022 and 2025. The company launched book building to raise up to USD 145m via a Hong Kong listing.In our previous note, we looked at the company's two core products Captor and LAA Occluder. We think the Captor, a stent retrieving thrombectomy device, is the main selling point of the deal given its decent efficacy and safety data and it has already been approved by the NMPA. Market structure for Captor is characterized by the early stage of growth and dominance by MNC players and the company's product is the first approved domestic product with commendable data from head-to-head clinical trials. The company's management are mainly ex-employee from Microport Scientific, a leading international medical device player in China.In this note, we provide an update for the book building. We think the upside is substantial barring negative outcomes from the legal proceedings with Medtronic.

Shanghai HeartCare is a neuro-interventional medical device pioneer in China. It has four products approved for marketing and expects 9 products to commercialize in 2021, as well 10 products to commercialize between 2022 and 2025. The company launched book building to raise up to USD 145m via a Hong Kong listing.In our previous note, we looked at the company's two core products Captor and LAA Occluder. We think the Captor, a stent retrieving thrombectomy device, is the main selling point of the deal given its decent efficacy and safety data and it has already been approved by the NMPA. Market structure for Captor is characterized by the early stage of growth and dominance by MNC players and the company's product is the first approved domestic product with commendable data from head-to-head clinical trials. The company's management are mainly ex-employee from Microport Scientific, a leading international medical device player in China.In this note, we provide an update for the book building. We think the upside is substantial barring negative outcomes from the legal proceedings with Medtronic.

Heartcare (心玮医疗) IPO: Decent Upside Barring Negative Lawsuit Outcomes

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We continue to see a mixed market environment, but we remain constructive overall considering market dynamics remain largely positive (high yield spreads and relative strength for defensives sending risk-on signals, etc.). We explain our outlook below.

We continue to see a mixed market environment, but we remain constructive overall considering market dynamics remain largely positive (high yield spreads and relative strength for defensives sending risk-on signals, etc.). We explain our outlook below.

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 Still Bullish, Holding Above Support

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Tinavi Medical Technologies / Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tinavi-medical-technologies-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33453:1" rel="noopener">Tinavi Medical Technologies (688277 CH)</a>, currently the only and first public domestic surgical robot company, was listed on the SSE STAR Market in July 2020. After the IPO, the stock price was as high as RMB141.6/share, but now it has fallen to RMB41/share on June 8, 2021, down over 245%. In fact, the operating performance shed some light. From 2017 to 2020, Tinavi sold 16, 20, 41 and 30 robots respectively, with total sales of 107 robots in four years, and achieved revenue of RMB73 million, RMB127 million, RMB230 million and RMB136 million, and corresponding net profit/loss of RMB21 million, RMB-366,000, RMB-34 million and RMB-54 million, respectively from 2017 to 2020. This article mainly analyzed the potential reasons for poor performance, the concerns on business model and the comparison with peers.

Tinavi Medical Technologies (688277 CH), currently the only and first public domestic surgical robot company, was listed on the SSE STAR Market in July 2020. After the IPO, the stock price was as high as RMB141.6/share, but now it has fallen to RMB41/share on June 8, 2021, down over 245%. In fact, the operating performance shed some light. From 2017 to 2020, Tinavi sold 16, 20, 41 and 30 robots respectively, with total sales of 107 robots in four years, and achieved revenue of RMB73 million, RMB127 million, RMB230 million and RMB136 million, and corresponding net profit/loss of RMB21 million, RMB-366,000, RMB-34 million and RMB-54 million, respectively from 2017 to 2020. This article mainly analyzed the potential reasons for poor performance, the concerns on business model and the comparison with peers.

Tinavi Medical Technologies (688277.CH) - Time Is Running Out for Tinavi

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-heartcare-medical-technology-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32192:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (HMT HK)</a> is a China-based neuro-interventional medical device manufacturer with a product portfolio that spans the treatment and prevention of ischemic stroke to the treatment of haemorrhagic stroke. HeartCare’s product portfolio consists of a total of 23 commercialised products and product candidates, including four ischemic stroke treatment devices with NMPA approval.HearCare’s shareholders include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-fosun-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8045:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK)</a>, Temasek, Lake Bleu Capital, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a> and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (through a special purpose vehicle). HeartCare is set to pre-market an HKEx IPO to raise $300 million this quarter, according to press reports. <div class="content-highlight">HeartCare only started to generate revenue in 1Q20 through the commercialisation of two products (SupSelek and ExtraFlex). Captor thrombectomy device, a core product, was commercialised in December 2020 and Fullblock balloon guiding catheter received NMPA approval in December 2020. HeartCare aims to commercialise nine currently late-stage product candidates in 2021 and ten currently earlier-stage product candidates between 2022 and 2025. With a strong near-term commercialisation pipeline, HeartCare has shifted from a concept to a revenue-generating stock. Overall, we believe that HeartCare’s product portfolio is attractive. </div>

Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (HMT HK) is a China-based neuro-interventional medical device manufacturer with a product portfolio that spans the treatment and prevention of ischemic stroke to the treatment of haemorrhagic stroke. HeartCare’s product portfolio consists of a total of 23 commercialised products and product candidates, including four ischemic stroke treatment devices with NMPA approval.HearCare’s shareholders include Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK), Temasek, Lake Bleu Capital, China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK) and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (through a special purpose vehicle). HeartCare is set to pre-market an HKEx IPO to raise $300 million this quarter, according to press reports. HeartCare only started to generate revenue in 1Q20 through the commercialisation of two products (SupSelek and ExtraFlex). Captor thrombectomy device, a core product, was commercialised in December 2020 and Fullblock balloon guiding catheter received NMPA approval in December 2020. HeartCare aims to commercialise nine currently late-stage product candidates in 2021 and ten currently earlier-stage product candidates between 2022 and 2025. With a strong near-term commercialisation pipeline, HeartCare has shifted from a concept to a revenue-generating stock. Overall, we believe that HeartCare’s product portfolio is attractive. 

Shanghai HeartCare Medical IPO Initiation: Surviving Strokes

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

This is the largest healthcare sector M&amp;A Deal announced so far in 2020. Earlier this year, in March, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thermo-fisher-scientific-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7375:1" rel="noopener">Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US)</a> agreed to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qiagen-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26865:1" rel="noopener">QIAGEN NV (QIA GY)</a> in a deal that originally valued the company at an EV of ~US$11bn. Last month, the Offer <a href="https://corporate.qiagen.com/newsroom/press-releases/2020/20200716_amended_offer" target="_blank" rel="noopener">was bumped</a> from the original offer price of €39.00 to €43.00 and the minimum acceptance threshold was reduced from 75% to 66.67%. Although the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a slowdown in Deals in the early part of the year, M&amp;A activity in the medical devices space seems to be picking up again.More recently, on 2nd August 2020, Germany-based medtech company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siemens-healthineers-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29221:1" rel="noopener">Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR)</a> announced they would acquire US-based medical-devices maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/varian-medical-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7308:1" rel="noopener">Varian Medical Systems (VAR US)</a> in an all-cash deal that valued the company at ~US$16.4bn. The Deal is conditional on the receipt of Varian shareholder approval and regulatory approvals. The Offer Price is $177.50 per share and the transaction is expected to close in the first half of calendar year 2021. As always, there is more below the fold.

This is the largest healthcare sector M&amp;A Deal announced so far in 2020. Earlier this year, in March, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US) agreed to acquire QIAGEN NV (QIA GY) in a deal that originally valued the company at an EV of ~US$11bn. Last month, the Offer was bumped from the original offer price of €39.00 to €43.00 and the minimum acceptance threshold was reduced from 75% to 66.67%. Although the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a slowdown in Deals in the early part of the year, M&amp;A activity in the medical devices space seems to be picking up again.More recently, on 2nd August 2020, Germany-based medtech company Siemens Healthineers AG (SHL GR) announced they would acquire US-based medical-devices maker Varian Medical Systems (VAR US) in an all-cash deal that valued the company at ~US$16.4bn. The Deal is conditional on the receipt of Varian shareholder approval and regulatory approvals. The Offer Price is $177.50 per share and the transaction is expected to close in the first half of calendar year 2021. As always, there is more below the fold. 

Varian-Siemens Deal: DAX Promotion on the Cards for the Acquirer

United States

Stryker Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets specialty surgical and medical products.  The Company's products include implants, biologics; surgical, neurologic, ear, nose & throat and interventional pain equipment; endoscopic, surgical navigation, communications and digital imaging systems; as well as patient handling and emergency medical equipment.

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Stryker Corp (SYK US)

Heartcare (心玮医疗) IPO: Decent Upside Barring Negative Lawsuit Outcomes

We provide an update for HeartCare's book building. We think the upside is substantial barring negative outcomes from the legal proceedings with...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

U.S. Equity Strategy: S&P 500 Still Bullish, Holding Above Support

We continue to see a mixed market environment, but we remain constructive overall considering market dynamics remain largely positive. We explain...

Vermilion Research

Tinavi Medical Technologies (688277.CH) - Time Is Running Out for Tinavi

Before the upcoming pre-IPO MicroPort MedBot, let's discuss the business model of the only and first public domestic surgical robot...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai HeartCare Medical IPO Initiation: Surviving Strokes

HeartCare is set to pre-market an HKEx IPO to raise $300 million this quarter, according to press reports. Overall, we believe that HeartCare’s...

Arun George

Varian-Siemens Deal: DAX Promotion on the Cards for the Acquirer

This is the largest healthcare sector M&A Deal announced so far in 2020. Earlier this year, in March, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc (TMO US)...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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