External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>ITC: ITC’s Q4 print was largely in-line with Revenue/EBITDA/APAT growing by 7/19/20% vs the expectation of 8/17/17%</li><li>Cigarette revenue/EBIT growth was at 14% each, with volume growth at c.11.5% (4% four-year CAGR)</li><li>A stable tax environment, normalisation in demand, &amp; deterrent action by agencies on illicit trade continue to support cigarette recovery</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ITC: ITC’s Q4 print was largely in-line with Revenue/EBITDA/APAT growing by 7/19/20% vs the expectation of 8/17/17%Cigarette revenue/EBIT growth was at 14% each, with volume growth at c.11.5% (4% four-year CAGR)A stable tax environment, normalisation in demand, &amp; deterrent action by agencies on illicit trade continue to support cigarette recoveryContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ITC, State Bank of India, Berger Paints, Tata Elxsi

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Advances (net) reported a robust growth of 17/5% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>The healthy growth in the loan book was driven by retail book growth of ~18/5%YoY/QoQ (unsecured retail Xpress credit grew 23/12% YoY/QoQ), international loan growth of ~20% YoY (in rupee terms) and SME book growth of 18% YoY.</li><li>Robust growth in advances and NIM expansion by 9bps QoQ aided healthy growth in NII by 29/6% YoY/QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Advances (net) reported a robust growth of 17/5% YoY/QoQ.The healthy growth in the loan book was driven by retail book growth of ~18/5%YoY/QoQ (unsecured retail Xpress credit grew 23/12% YoY/QoQ), international loan growth of ~20% YoY (in rupee terms) and SME book growth of 18% YoY.Robust growth in advances and NIM expansion by 9bps QoQ aided healthy growth in NII by 29/6% YoY/QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

State Bank of India - Healthy Quarter; 1% RoA Delivery to Continue!!

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> merger will result in capping and funding changes on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX)</a> constituents.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of around 8.4% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21,865m (US$266m) at the time of merger implementation.</li>
<li>The impact in terms of ADV is less than 1x on all stocks, but the impact in terms of delivery volume is higher than 1x on a few stocks.</li>
</ul>


The HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) / HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) merger will result in capping and funding changes on the Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX) constituents.
We estimate one-way turnover of around 8.4% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21,865m (US$266m) at the time of merger implementation.
The impact in terms of ADV is less than 1x on all stocks, but the impact in terms of delivery volume is higher than 1x on a few stocks.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>All eyes were on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a> listing this week. It didn't disappoint, neither did <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-battery-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36864:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Battery Materials.</a>
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> pulled off one of the largest placements so far in 2023, despite being net cash.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
All eyes were on Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) listing this week. It didn't disappoint, neither did Merdeka Battery Materials.


Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) pulled off one of the largest placements so far in 2023, despite being net cash.


ECM Weekly (23rd Apr 2023) - Rakuten Bank, Merdeka, ZJLD, Mankind, Lalatech, IMotion, Anta, KIT

<ul><li>Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreads</li><li>As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchises</li><li>While we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Given the RBI's recent pause in the policy rate cycle, we believe that the banking system, although largely resilient to the fallout from global banks, is faced with a combination of demand deceleration (lower growth), higher funding costs (lagged deposit re-pricing) and softer incremental spreadsAs banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations, especially of mid-sized, high-growth franchisesWhile we hold our below-consensus growth forecasts, we are now equally conservative on incremental spreads across our coverage universe.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

India

State Bank of India provides a wide range of banking and financial services to corporate, institutional, commercial, agricultural, industrial and individual customers throughout India.  The Bank also provides international banking to its Indian customers and has operations in other countries.

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State Bank Of India (SBIN IN)

HSIE Results Daily: ITC, State Bank of India, Berger Paints, Tata Elxsi

ITC: ITC’s Q4 print was largely in-line with Revenue/EBITDA/APAT growing by 7/19/20% vs the expectation of 8/17/17%. Cigarette revenue/EBIT growth...

HDFC Securities

State Bank of India - Healthy Quarter; 1% RoA Delivery to Continue!!

The healthy growth in the loan book was driven by retail book growth of ~18/5%YoY/QoQ (unsecured retail Xpress credit grew 23/12% YoY/QoQ)

Axis Direct

HDFC/HDFCB Merger: Impact on Bank Nifty

The HDFC/HDFCB merger will result in a one-way turnover of around 8.4% for the Nifty Bank Index resulting in a one-way trade of INR 21,865m...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (23rd Apr 2023) - Rakuten Bank, Merdeka, ZJLD, Mankind, Lalatech, IMotion, Anta, KIT

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Leveraged Financials: ‘Pause and Effect’ - interesting trade-offs ahead

As banks and NBFCs navigate the growth-margin trade-off, we argue that the combination of lower growth and lower spreads is not priced into valuations

HDFC Securities

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