External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Gujarat Gas: Our BUY recommendation on Gujarat Gas (GGL), with a price target of INR 575, is premised on (1) margin improvement; (2) portfolio of mature, semi-mature, and new geographical areas (GAs); and (3) compelling valuation, given superior return ratios among the city gas distribution players</li><li>Q1FY23 EBITDA/PAT at INR 6.1/3.8bn came in above our estimate, owing to lower-than-expected costs</li><li>Margin beat was driven by lower-than-expected gas cost due to lower offtake of expensive spot LNG gas by industrial/commercial customers, lower employee cost, and depreciation</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Gujarat Gas: Our BUY recommendation on Gujarat Gas (GGL), with a price target of INR 575, is premised on (1) margin improvement; (2) portfolio of mature, semi-mature, and new geographical areas (GAs); and (3) compelling valuation, given superior return ratios among the city gas distribution playersQ1FY23 EBITDA/PAT at INR 6.1/3.8bn came in above our estimate, owing to lower-than-expected costsMargin beat was driven by lower-than-expected gas cost due to lower offtake of expensive spot LNG gas by industrial/commercial customers, lower employee cost, and depreciationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Capital, Brigade Enterprises

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Star Cement (SCL) reported robust Volume/Revenue/EBITDA growth of 29%/30%/34% (above expectation) YoY in Q1FY23, driven by higher demand in its operating region.</li><li>APAT was flat owing to the end of tax holiday available to the grinding units in Guwahati and units under its subsidiary Star Cement Meghalaya Ltd.</li><li>However, APAT was above our expectation of Rs 55 Cr. The company reported EBITDA margins of 18.6% against the expectation of 14.8% YoY and a realization growth of 5% YoY as its operating region of North-East and East India witnessed higher prices during the quarter.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Star Cement (SCL) reported robust Volume/Revenue/EBITDA growth of 29%/30%/34% (above expectation) YoY in Q1FY23, driven by higher demand in its operating region.APAT was flat owing to the end of tax holiday available to the grinding units in Guwahati and units under its subsidiary Star Cement Meghalaya Ltd.However, APAT was above our expectation of Rs 55 Cr. The company reported EBITDA margins of 18.6% against the expectation of 14.8% YoY and a realization growth of 5% YoY as its operating region of North-East and East India witnessed higher prices during the quarter.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Star Cement Limited - Robust Performance Delivered

<div><div><div><ul><li>High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.</li><li>Mixed realisation gains QoQ: While energy cost continues to rise QoQ, the industry could not fully pass on the inflation across all regions.</li><li>Cost inflation elevated: We estimate that overall fuel costs would soar 7/42% QoQ/YoY amid rising imported coal and pet coke prices.</li></ul><ul style="list-style-type: none;"><li> </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p></div></div></div>

High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.Mixed realisation gains QoQ: While energy cost continues to rise QoQ, the industry could not fully pass on the inflation across all regions.Cost inflation elevated: We estimate that overall fuel costs would soar 7/42% QoQ/YoY amid rising imported coal and pet coke prices. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement - Cost Inflation Continues, Margin Contracts

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Weak seasonal demand and decline in prices against the backdrop of high input costs would mean muted realizations</li><li>The trend in cement pricing has been discouraging so far.</li><li>The news regarding CCI’s investigation on cement companies might be a factor for subdued pricing.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Weak seasonal demand and decline in prices against the backdrop of high input costs would mean muted realizationsThe trend in cement pricing has been discouraging so far.The news regarding CCI’s investigation on cement companies might be a factor for subdued pricing.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement Sector - Elevated Energy Costs to Weigh on Margins

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Summary of change in recommendation of our coverage universe: We have cut targets prices for our covered companies by 10-30% on account of reduced earnings expectations as well as lower target multiples.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Near term earnings outlook weak and positive triggers missing: We expect earnings to remain weak for the cement sector for the next two quarters on account of elevated costs and weak realizations amid a seasonally weak demand period.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Reversal in coal and crude prices can offer some solace: We believe that high competitive intensity will subside once the inflationary pressures recede and hence reversal of higher coal and crude prices is important.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Summary of change in recommendation of our coverage universe: We have cut targets prices for our covered companies by 10-30% on account of reduced earnings expectations as well as lower target multiples.Near term earnings outlook weak and positive triggers missing: We expect earnings to remain weak for the cement sector for the next two quarters on account of elevated costs and weak realizations amid a seasonally weak demand period.Reversal in coal and crude prices can offer some solace: We believe that high competitive intensity will subside once the inflationary pressures recede and hence reversal of higher coal and crude prices is important.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement Sector - Headwinds Galore; Turning 'neutral' on the Sector

India

Star Cement Limited manufactures construction materials. The Company produces and markets cement and concrete products. Star Cement serves customers in India.

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Star Cement Ltd (STRCEM IN)

HSIE Results Daily: Gujarat Gas, Aditya Birla Capital, Brigade Enterprises

Margin beat was driven by lower-than-expected gas cost due to lower offtake of expensive spot LNG gas by industrial/commercial customers, lower...

HDFC Securities

Star Cement Limited - Robust Performance Delivered

Star Cement (SCL) reported robust Volume/Revenue/EBITDA growth of 29%/30%/34% (above expectation) YoY in Q1FY23, driven by higher demand in its...

Axis Direct

Cement - Cost Inflation Continues, Margin Contracts

High volume growth on a low base YoY: We estimate that 15 companies under coverage would report ~7% QoQ aggregate seasonal sales volume decline.

HDFC Securities

Cement Sector - Elevated Energy Costs to Weigh on Margins

1QFY23 earnings for the cement sector will be muted as we expect margin pressure to continue in the near term due to higher operating costs,...

Nirmal Bang

Cement Sector - Headwinds Galore; Turning 'neutral' on the Sector

We are turning ‘neutral’ on the cement sector as we believe that there are multiple headwinds, which will inhibit earnings growth and in turn lead...

Nirmal Bang

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