External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

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<ul><li>Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales</li><li>We estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)</li><li>However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarter</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades salesWe estimate aggregate volumes will grow 10% YoY in Q4FY24 (as against 8% YoY in Q3)However, owing to aggressive volume push in non-trade segments (channel check suggests major players pushed volumes hard in Q4), cement pricing took a beating during the peak demand quarterContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>After observing a slowdown in demand growth during Q3FY24, the momentum in cement demand accelerated in Q4FY24, despite facing a higher base from the previous year, which had seen growth rates of 11-13% in Q4FY23.</li><li>This surge in demand was predominantly fueled by government-led initiatives in infrastructure and housing development, alongside an uptick in real estate demand.</li><li>Following a lacklustre performance in Jan’24, cement demand gained traction in Feb’24 and concluded on a high note in Mar’24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After observing a slowdown in demand growth during Q3FY24, the momentum in cement demand accelerated in Q4FY24, despite facing a higher base from the previous year, which had seen growth rates of 11-13% in Q4FY23.This surge in demand was predominantly fueled by government-led initiatives in infrastructure and housing development, alongside an uptick in real estate demand.Following a lacklustre performance in Jan’24, cement demand gained traction in Feb’24 and concluded on a high note in Mar’24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Promoter buying reflects insider confidence in the company's future, often driven by access to undisclosed positive developments and growth opportunities.</li>
<li>Increased promoter stake may indicate that the market has undervalued the company, potentially presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a discount.</li>
<li>Consider the broader market environment, company fundamentals, and industry trends alongside promoter buying activity to form a comprehensive investment thesis.</li>
</ul>


Promoter buying reflects insider confidence in the company's future, often driven by access to undisclosed positive developments and growth opportunities.
Increased promoter stake may indicate that the market has undervalued the company, potentially presenting an opportunity for investors to buy at a discount.
Consider the broader market environment, company fundamentals, and industry trends alongside promoter buying activity to form a comprehensive investment thesis.


Contrarian Moves: Promoter Buying During Indian Equity Downturns

<ul><li>Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters</li><li>While demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivals</li><li>Thus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quartersWhile demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivalsThus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

<ul><li>Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.</li><li>This was on account of Diwali festivity, labour shortage, construction ban in NCR, and Assembly election in key States of MP, CG, Rajasthan, and Telangana.</li><li>After witnessing double-digit growth in Oct’23, cement demand moderated sharply in Nov’23 and remained subdued in Dec’23, though a slight pick-up towards the end of the month was observed. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.This was on account of Diwali festivity, labour shortage, construction ban in NCR, and Assembly election in key States of MP, CG, Rajasthan, and Telangana.After witnessing double-digit growth in Oct’23, cement demand moderated sharply in Nov’23 and remained subdued in Dec’23, though a slight pick-up towards the end of the month was observed. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Star Cement Limited manufactures construction materials. The Company produces and markets cement and concrete products. Star Cement serves customers in India.

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Star Cement Ltd (STRCEM IN)

Cement (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Weak pricing dampens industry margin

Demand firmed up but at the expense of pricing: In our view, cement demand again firmed up in Q4FY24 on a strong pick-up in non-trades sales

HDFC Securities

Cement - Q4FY24 Earnings Preview

After observing a slowdown in demand growth during Q3FY24, the momentum in cement demand accelerated in Q4FY24, despite facing a higher base from...

Axis Direct

Contrarian Moves: Promoter Buying During Indian Equity Downturns

There are 100 reasons to sell in the market, but only one reason to buy!! Taking a deep understanding of Promoter Buying in the Indian Landscape in...

Nimish Maheshwari

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

Cement - Q3FY24 Earnings Preview

Cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24: After witnessing double-digit volume growth in H1FY24, cement demand momentum moderated in Q3FY24.

Axis Direct

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