Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 4 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/biwin-storage-technology-co-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40391:1" rel="noopener">Biwin Storage Technology Lt (688525 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-yandong-microelectroni" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36653:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Yandong Microelectroni (688172 CH)</a> are also inclusions to other indices too and the multiple flows will increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds have underperformed the deletes. If things go the way of the December rebalance, a long adds/ short deletes trade could do well from now to implementation.</li>
</ul>


There are 4 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 14 June.

Biwin Storage Technology Lt (688525 CH) and Beijing Yandong Microelectroni (688172 CH) are also inclusions to other indices too and the multiple flows will increase the impact on the stocks.
The adds have underperformed the deletes. If things go the way of the December rebalance, a long adds/ short deletes trade could do well from now to implementation.


CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Adding to Impact for Some Stocks

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ended 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>We forecast 9 changes for the index, including migrations between the STAR 100 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>The outright inclusions have outperformed the outright deletions by 9% over the last month and by 20% over the last 3 months.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ended 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.
We forecast 9 changes for the index, including migrations between the STAR 100 Index and the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX).
The outright inclusions have outperformed the outright deletions by 9% over the last month and by 20% over the last 3 months.


STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Push Higher

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in June. All changes are migrations from/to the STAR 100 Index.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 3.4% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4.5bn (US$630m). There is a lot to trade from passive trackers, especially on the inclusions.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions by ~18% over the last month with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-ezviz-network-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41299:1" rel="noopener">Hangzhou EZVIZ Network (688475 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apt-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40838:1" rel="noopener">APT Medical (688617 CH)</a> moving higher.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast 3 changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in June. All changes are migrations from/to the STAR 100 Index.
One way turnover is estimated at 3.4% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4.5bn (US$630m). There is a lot to trade from passive trackers, especially on the inclusions.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions by ~18% over the last month with Hangzhou EZVIZ Network (688475 CH) and APT Medical (688617 CH) moving higher.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Steamroll Deletes

Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>We forecast 10 changes for the index, including migrations between the STAR 100 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Excluding the migrations, the potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and that could continue as we head to the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.
We forecast 10 changes for the index, including migrations between the STAR 100 Index and the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX). 
Excluding the migrations, the potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and that could continue as we head to the end of the review period.


STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes as Potential Adds Outperform

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in three changes to the index.</li>
<li>With a big jump in tracking AUM over the last few months, passives will need to trade a lot of stock on implementation date.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.
We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in three changes to the index.
With a big jump in tracking AUM over the last few months, passives will need to trade a lot of stock on implementation date.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: APT Medical Moving Higher

China

SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 Index consists of 50 securities with largest market capitalization and good liquidity listed on SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board. The index aims to reflect the overall performance of leading technological innovation-based enterprises’ securities.

SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Adding to Impact for Some Stocks

There are 4 changes for the index in June. Biwin Storage and Beijing Yandong are adds to other indices too. If this rebalance is a repeat of...

Brian Freitas

STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Push Higher

There could be 9 changes for the STAR100 Index in June of which 3 are migrations with the STAR50. The outright adds have outperformed the outright...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Steamroll Deletes

There could be 3 changes for the STAR50 Index in June. The impact on the potential adds varies from 8-14x ADV. The potential adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes as Potential Adds Outperform

Excluding the migrations to/from the STAR50 Index, there has been strong outperformance over the recent past and that could continue for the next...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: APT Medical Moving Higher

The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by 13%+ since this Insight was published. If you are in, might be prudent to take some...

Brian Freitas