Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we expect 7 changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in December. Couple of changes are low probability though.</li>
<li>The Materials sector could be the biggest gainer at the rebalance while nearly all deletions could come from the Consumer Discretionary sector.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusion ranges from 0.15-15 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 1.7-8.1 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we expect 7 changes to the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in December. Couple of changes are low probability though.
The Materials sector could be the biggest gainer at the rebalance while nearly all deletions could come from the Consumer Discretionary sector.
The impact on the potential inclusion ranges from 0.15-15 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 1.7-8.1 days of ADV.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: The Tail End

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Youngpoong Paper Mfg's shares declined sharply by 30% to 33,900 won today, trading only 190k shares (3% of ADTV). </li>
<li>There is high probability that this sell-off could be related to CFD related margin call. </li>
<li>Daiyang Metal, the largest shareholder of Youngpoong Paper Mfg, also dropped limit down today. The Korea Exchange has temporarily suspended trading of both Youngpoong Paper and Daiyang Metal. </li>
</ul>


Youngpoong Paper Mfg's shares declined sharply by 30% to 33,900 won today, trading only 190k shares (3% of ADTV). 
There is high probability that this sell-off could be related to CFD related margin call. 
Daiyang Metal, the largest shareholder of Youngpoong Paper Mfg, also dropped limit down today. The Korea Exchange has temporarily suspended trading of both Youngpoong Paper and Daiyang Metal. 


Youngpoong Paper Mfg: Concerns About CFD Related Selling - Another Margin Call?

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange is planning to change the criteria for rebalancing stocks in the KOSPI 200 index. </li>
<li>The purpose of this change is to prevent stocks that surge ahead of the actual KOSPI 200 inclusion but fall significantly after the inclusion announcement.</li>
<li>We think there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&amp;F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange is planning to change the criteria for rebalancing stocks in the KOSPI 200 index. 
The purpose of this change is to prevent stocks that surge ahead of the actual KOSPI 200 inclusion but fall significantly after the inclusion announcement.
We think there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&amp;F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.


KOSPI 200 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023 & Changes to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance Process

<ul>
<li>There are 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 LargeCap to MidCap, 8 new additions to MidCap, 17 SmallCap to MidCap, 23 MidCap to SmallCap, 5 new additions to SmallCap.</li>
<li>The migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the stocks migrating between other segments by a huge margin over the last few months.</li>
<li>Given the huge outperformance and looking at how the migrations have performed historically, we'd expect the stocks migrating to MidCap to underperform post implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 LargeCap to MidCap, 8 new additions to MidCap, 17 SmallCap to MidCap, 23 MidCap to SmallCap, 5 new additions to SmallCap.
The migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the stocks migrating between other segments by a huge margin over the last few months.
Given the huge outperformance and looking at how the migrations have performed historically, we'd expect the stocks migrating to MidCap to underperform post implementation of the changes.


KOSPI Size Indices - Changes in September & Implications

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The most noteworthy developments include Samsung Electronics being newly added to the Semicon sector, while SK Square has been removed.</li>
<li>We must be mindful of the potential concentration of shorting flow on SK Square as most names expected to experience negative flows do not fall under the KS200/KQ150 membership.</li>
<li>Our strategic approach can take three directions: 1. aim at only those receiving positive flows, 2. heavy shorting SK Square, and 3. long-short the four with the most flow size.</li>
</ul>


The most noteworthy developments include Samsung Electronics being newly added to the Semicon sector, while SK Square has been removed.
We must be mindful of the potential concentration of shorting flow on SK Square as most names expected to experience negative flows do not fall under the KS200/KQ150 membership.
Our strategic approach can take three directions: 1. aim at only those receiving positive flows, 2. heavy shorting SK Square, and 3. long-short the four with the most flow size.


KRX Sector Index Series Rebalancing: Heavy Shorting on SK Square Is Anticipated

South Korea

KG Mobility Corp. manufactures and distributes automobiles. The Company produces passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles, automotive engine, heavy equipment and auto parts, and other related products. KG Mobility markets its products worldwide.

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KG Mobility (003620 KS)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: The Tail End

There could be 7 changes for the KOSPI200 in Dec. There could be changes driven by index methodology, section transfers, alleged stock manipulation...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI 200 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023 & Changes to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance Process

We believe there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices - Changes in September & Implications

The changes to the KOSPI Size Indices were announced on Friday. Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have bigly outperformed and going by...

Brian Freitas

KRX Sector Index Series Rebalancing: Heavy Shorting on SK Square Is Anticipated

This post highlights KRX Sector Index Series rebalancing and explores three trading approaches, with a focus on SK Square, ahead of the September...

Sanghyun Park

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: The Tail End

There could be 7 changes for the KOSPI200 in Dec. There could be changes driven by index methodology, section transfers, alleged stock manipulation...

Brian Freitas

Youngpoong Paper Mfg: Concerns About CFD Related Selling - Another Margin Call?

​Shares of Youngpoong Paper Mfg dropped 30% today, possibly due to CFD related margin call. Daiyang Metal, its largest shareholder, also saw a...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 Rebalance Candidates in December 2023 & Changes to the KOSPI 200 Rebalance Process

We believe there is a 70-80%+ probability that POSCO DX and L&F Co will be included in KOSPI 200 index in December 2023.

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices - Changes in September & Implications

The changes to the KOSPI Size Indices were announced on Friday. Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have bigly outperformed and going by...

Brian Freitas

KRX Sector Index Series Rebalancing: Heavy Shorting on SK Square Is Anticipated

This post highlights KRX Sector Index Series rebalancing and explores three trading approaches, with a focus on SK Square, ahead of the September...

Sanghyun Park

Shares of Youngpoong Paper Mfg dropped 30% today, possibly due to CFD related margin call. Daiyang Metal, its largest shareholder, also saw a...