Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

Sri Trang Gloves Thailand  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>STGT reported a 3Q24 net loss (below the consensus expectations).</li><li>Although revenue expanded well, the downbeat profitability was primarily pressured by the rapid increases in raw rubber material costs and baht appreciation.</li><li>We are putting our forecasts, recommendation, and fair value under review from the current Outperform rating with a 2025E fair value of Bt14.69. </li></ul>

STGT reported a 3Q24 net loss (below the consensus expectations).Although revenue expanded well, the downbeat profitability was primarily pressured by the rapid increases in raw rubber material costs and baht appreciation.We are putting our forecasts, recommendation, and fair value under review from the current Outperform rating with a 2025E fair value of Bt14.69. 

Sri Trang Gloves - Downbeat 3Q24 Earnings; Loss Due to Cost Factors and Baht Appreciation

<ul><li>We initiate our coverage on STGT with an Outperform rating and a 2025E fair value (FV) of Bt14.69, based on a required return of 3.29%.</li><li>Our valuation metrics suggest that the current stock price presents a buying opportunity, supported by strong earnings growth, while the tactical parameters are neutral.</li><li>STGT is a global player in the medical glove industry, benefiting from regulatory changes in major markets such as the US and EU, positioning itself favorably against competitors in Malaysia and China. </li></ul>

We initiate our coverage on STGT with an Outperform rating and a 2025E fair value (FV) of Bt14.69, based on a required return of 3.29%.Our valuation metrics suggest that the current stock price presents a buying opportunity, supported by strong earnings growth, while the tactical parameters are neutral.STGT is a global player in the medical glove industry, benefiting from regulatory changes in major markets such as the US and EU, positioning itself favorably against competitors in Malaysia and China. 

Sri Trang Gloves - Benefiting from Regulatory Changes in US, Brazil, and EU

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>KTX expects the index to move in a sideways up pattern, with resistance at 1,472/1,494 points and support at 1,423/1,405 points.</li><li>Highlights impacting the market include: i) the 3Q24E earnings results (US and Thai banks); ii) US election on November 5 (Harris or Trump?); iii) results of the Bank of Thailand’s MPC meeting (first signal of a rate cut?), and iv) the Pheu Thai government gradually rolling out additional economic stimulus measures.</li><li>Risks include geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, global financial market volatility leading up to the US election, and profit taking by foreign investors after the support from the Vayupak Fund fades</li></ul>

KTX expects the index to move in a sideways up pattern, with resistance at 1,472/1,494 points and support at 1,423/1,405 points.Highlights impacting the market include: i) the 3Q24E earnings results (US and Thai banks); ii) US election on November 5 (Harris or Trump?); iii) results of the Bank of Thailand’s MPC meeting (first signal of a rate cut?), and iv) the Pheu Thai government gradually rolling out additional economic stimulus measures.Risks include geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, global financial market volatility leading up to the US election, and profit taking by foreign investors after the support from the Vayupak Fund fades

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berli-jucker-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3685:1" rel="noopener">Berli Jucker</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/catur-sentosa-adiprana-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18671:1" rel="noopener">Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lippo-karawaci-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3121:1" rel="noopener">Lippo Karawaci,</a>  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silverlake-axis-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14150:1" rel="noopener">Silverlake Axis</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nsl-ltd-singapore" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12666:1" rel="noopener">NSL Ltd (NSL SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mr-diy-holding-thailand" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43926:1" rel="noopener">DIY Holding (Thailand)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a macro insight on Indonesia Strategy, and insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-gloves-thailand-pcl-6b5341fe-4d93-483e-9cb0-d5d833cdc53e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29141:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Gloves Thailand (STGT TB)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrovietnam-oil-corporation-pv-oil" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43954:1" rel="noopener">PetroVietnam Oil (OIL VN)</a>, </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Berli Jucker, Catur Sentosa Adiprana Tbk (CSAP IJ), Lippo Karawaci,  Silverlake Axis, NSL Ltd (NSL SP), and DIY Holding (Thailand).
There was also a macro insight on Indonesia Strategy, and insights on Sri Trang Gloves Thailand (STGT TB), and PetroVietnam Oil (OIL VN), 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma  - Berli Jucker, CSAP, and Silverlake Asia

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/top-glove-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20759:1" rel="noopener">Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK)</a> achieved 16% QoQ revenue growth in 3QFY24, on 13% sequential volume increase and higher ASP. 3QFY24 operational loss reduced to RM34M from RM59M in 2QFY24.</li>
<li>Considering the current demand and supply condition, Top Glove expects the ASP to further increase. The company aims to recover its EBITDA margin to pre-pandemic levels of 15% by FY26.</li>
<li>With rising import alert and expected tariff increase on Chinese manufacturers, the US demand may shift from China to Malaysia. Top Glove is poised to benefit from potential trade diversion.</li>
</ul>



Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK) achieved 16% QoQ revenue growth in 3QFY24, on 13% sequential volume increase and higher ASP. 3QFY24 operational loss reduced to RM34M from RM59M in 2QFY24.
Considering the current demand and supply condition, Top Glove expects the ASP to further increase. The company aims to recover its EBITDA margin to pre-pandemic levels of 15% by FY26.
With rising import alert and expected tariff increase on Chinese manufacturers, the US demand may shift from China to Malaysia. Top Glove is poised to benefit from potential trade diversion.


Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK): Volume and ASP Growth Achieved in 3QFY24; Sees Higher Global Demand Ahead

Thailand

Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited manufactures rubber products. The Company offers janitorial items such as hand gloves. Sri Trang Gloves Thailand serves customers in Thailand.

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Sri Trang Gloves Thailand (STGT TB)

Sri Trang Gloves - Downbeat 3Q24 Earnings; Loss Due to Cost Factors and Baht Appreciation

Although revenue expanded well, the downbeat profitability was primarily pressured by the rapid increases in raw rubber material costs and baht...

Krungthai XSpring

Sri Trang Gloves - Benefiting from Regulatory Changes in US, Brazil, and EU

We initiate our coverage on STGT with an Outperform rating and a 2025E fair value (FV) of Bt14.69, based on a required return of 3.29%.

Krungthai XSpring

Monthly Report: October 2024

KTX expects the index to move in a sideways up pattern, with resistance at 1,472/1,494 points and support at 1,423/1,405 points.

Krungthai XSpring

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Berli Jucker, CSAP, and Silverlake Asia

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

Top Glove Corp (TOPG MK): Volume and ASP Growth Achieved in 3QFY24; Sees Higher Global Demand Ahead

The U.S. will raise tariffs on Chinese medical and surgical gloves to 50%, from 7.5% currently, in January 2025 and to 100% by January 2026. As a...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

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