SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Spdr S&P/Asx 200 Listed Prop / Equity Bottom-Up

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<ul>
<li>
SGX lists two ETFs that invest in the 30 constituents of the STI – the most globally recognised benchmark index and market barometer for Singapore. The SPDR® STI ETF and Nikko AM STI ETF were launched in 2002 and 2009 respectively. 
	 </li>
	<li>
In the March MTD, the turnover of both STI ETFs have surged to a total of S$237.9 million, up more than 8x YoY and nearly tripling MoM. The two ETFs, which offer a 12M dividend yield of more than 5%, have garnered YTD net inflows of S$172 million. 
	 </li>
	<li>As the STI hits multi-year lows with a YTD decline of 25%, more investors are turning to STI-tracking ETFs as a vehicle to gain instant exposure to Singapore’s top 30 blue chips. After its economy grew at a decade-low of 0.7% last year, the city-state is expected to post even slower growth in 2020 on the back of the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic</li>
</ul>
 

 The Straits Times Index (STI) is the most globally recognised benchmark index and market barometer for Singapore. With a history dating back to 1966, the diversified index tracks the performance of the 30 largest and most liquid companies listed on Singapore Exchange. These 30 constituents have foundations spanning three centuries and multiple sectors, while maintaining a balance between local and regional economic exposures. Currently, these 30 stocks have a combined market capitalisation of more than S$500 billion.

SGX lists two ETFs that invest in the 30 STI constituents – SPDR® STI ETF and Nikko AM STI ETF. The <a href="https://www.spdrs.com.sg/etf/fund/spdr-straits-times-index-etf-ES3.html">SPDR® STI ETF</a>, unveiled in 2002, is managed by State Street Global Advisors, while the <a href="https://www.nikkoam.com.sg/etf/sti">Nikko AM STI ETF</a>, launched in 2009, is managed by DBS subsidiary Nikko Asset Management. Benefits of investing in the STI ETF include gaining exposure to the 30 constituents of the benchmark index through a single purchase and at a very low cost. Over the longer term, the returns can be sizeable.

The performance of an ETF is usually based on how closely it is able to track the index it is trying to replicate, and the difference – due to factors that include management fees and transaction costs – is referred to as tracking error. The SPDR STI ETF has a rolling one-year tracking error of 0.2315%, while the Nikko AM Singapore STI ETF has a three-year annualised tracking error of 0.14%, as published on their websites. Both ETFs have a policy of paying out dividends semi-annually, and the funds will deduct their fees from the dividends before distributing to investors. 

As the STI hits multi-year lows with a YTD decline of 25%, an increasing number of investors are using STI-tracking ETFs as a vehicle to gain instant exposure to Singapore’s top 30 blue chips. Over the past 20 years, there have been six such occasions of large swings by the STI, driven by global market volatility, with one such occasion being the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. These swings encompassed a 37% decline from the preceding STI high, followed by a 55% rebound from that low to the recovery peak.

In the March month-to-date, the turnover of both STI ETFs have surged to a total of S$237.9 million, up more than eight-fold YoY and nearly tripling MoM. The two ETFs, which offer a 12-month dividend yield of more than 5%, have garnered YTD net inflows of S$172 million.
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 <img src='https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2020-03/monthly%20turnover%20of%20SGX%27s%20Two%20STI%20ETFs.PNG' alt='Monthly Turnover of SGX's Two STI ETFs' />
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 <div class='content-caption'>Monthly Turnover of SGX's Two STI ETFs</div>
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The tables below detail the two STI ETFs listed on SGX.

<table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td>
			ETF Name
			</td>
			<td>
			Underlying Index
			</td>
			<td>
			Stock Code
			</td>
			<td>
			YTD Total Return (%)
			</td>
			<td>
			1Y Total Return (%)
			</td>
			<td>
			3Y Total Return (%)
			</td>
			<td>
			5Y Total Return  (%)
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			SPDR STI ETF
			</td>
			<td>
			Straits Times Index
			</td>
			<td>
			ES3
			</td>
			<td>
			-27.7
			</td>
			<td>
			-25.1
			</td>
			<td>
			-6.9
			</td>
			<td>
			-4.1
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			NIKKO AM SINGAPORE STI ETF
			</td>
			<td>
			Straits Times Index
			</td>
			<td>
			G3B
			</td>
			<td>
			-27.9
			</td>
			<td>
			-25.3
			</td>
			<td>
			-6.9
			</td>
			<td>
			-4.2
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td> </td>
			<td> </td>
			<td> </td>
			<td> </td>
			<td> </td>
			<td> </td>
			<td> </td>
		</tr>
</tbody></table>
 

<table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td>
			ETF Name
			</td>
			<td>
			Underlying Index
			</td>
			<td>
			Stock Code
			</td>
			<td>
			12M Div Yld (%)
			</td>
			<td>
			Expense Ratio (%)
			</td>
			<td>
			Fund Size (S$M)
			</td>
			<td>
			YTD Net Inflow 
			(S$M)
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			SPDR STI ETF
			</td>
			<td>
			Straits Times Index
			</td>
			<td>
			ES3
			</td>
			<td>
			5.2
			</td>
			<td>
			0.3
			</td>
			<td>
			763
			</td>
			<td>
			146
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			NIKKO AM SINGAPORE STI ETF
			</td>
			<td>
			Straits Times Index
			</td>
			<td>
			G3B
			</td>
			<td>
			5.1
			</td>
			<td>
			0.3
			</td>
			<td>
			324
			</td>
			<td>
			26
			</td>
		</tr>
</tbody></table>
 Source: Bloomberg &amp; SGX (data as of 19 March 2020)

2020 Growth Seen Shrinking 
After its economy grew at a decade-low of 0.7% last year, Singapore is expected to post even slower growth in 2020 on the back of the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic. Last month, the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) <a href="https://www.mti.gov.sg/-/media/MTI/Resources/Economic-Survey-of-Singapore/2019/Economic-Survey-of-Singapore-2019/PR_AES2019.pdf?la=en&amp;hash=B831D0205149DD579C733BBDC24C091D95B42D50&amp;">forecast</a> 2020 gross domestic product (GDP) growth of around 0.5%, the mid-point of a new estimated range of -0.5% to 1.5%. This was reduced from a previous projection of between 0.5% and 2.5% last November.

According to economists and analysts polled in a <a href="https://www.mas.gov.sg/-/media/MAS/EPG/SPF/2020/Survey-Writeup-Mar-2020-Web.pdf?la=en&amp;hash=A5195566D54E3AFC702549C8FE2F3EF63E0AD4AA&amp;">survey</a> by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) released earlier this month, the Singapore economy is expected to grow 0.6% this year.

However, last week, private-sector economists from DBS Bank and Maybank Kim Eng Securities projected that domestic growth could shrink 0.5% and 0.3% respectively for the full year. They noted that the trade-reliant economy was likely to slip into a recession, given the chaos unfolding globally from the pandemic, as well as economic costs arising out of restrictions on trade, investment, consumption and travel. 

The last time Singapore registered a full-year contraction of its economy was in 2001 after the dot-com bust, when GDP growth contracted by 1%.

Investing in ETFs

ETFs are investment funds listed and traded intraday on a stock exchange. The majority aim to track the performance of an index and provide access to a wide variety of markets and asset classes, including local stocks, international securities, bonds, commodities or money markets. 
Each ETF gives investors access to the performance of the asset that comprises the underlying index. Investing in the ETF is also less costly if one was to build a similar portfolio by buying the individual stocks. It also provides exposure to international markets and asset classes that may be inaccessible to individual investors.

Investors can also invest in the STI ETFs using a Regular Shares Saving Plan (RSS). Click <a href="https://www.sgxacademy.com/rssp/">here</a> to find out more.

To find out more about ETFs, visit <a href="https://www2.sgx.com/research-education/securities-products#ETF">www.sgx.com/etf</a>.
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SGX lists two ETFs that invest in the 30 constituents of the STI – the most globally recognised benchmark index and market barometer for Singapore. The SPDR® STI ETF and Nikko AM STI ETF were launched in 2002 and 2009 respectively. 
	 
	
In the March MTD, the turnover of both STI ETFs have surged to a total of S$237.9 million, up more than 8x YoY and nearly tripling MoM. The two ETFs, which offer a 12M dividend yield of more than 5%, have garnered YTD net inflows of S$172 million.  
	 
	As the STI hits multi-year lows with a YTD decline of 25%, more investors are turning to STI-tracking ETFs as a vehicle to gain instant exposure to Singapore’s top 30 blue chips. After its economy grew at a decade-low of 0.7% last year, the city-state is expected to post even slower growth in 2020 on the back of the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic

 

 The Straits Times Index (STI) is the most globally recognised benchmark index and market barometer for Singapore. With a history dating back to 1966, the diversified index tracks the performance of the 30 largest and most liquid companies listed on Singapore Exchange. These 30 constituents have foundations spanning three centuries and multiple sectors, while maintaining a balance between local and regional economic exposures. Currently, these 30 stocks have a combined market capitalisation of more than S$500 billion.

SGX lists two ETFs that invest in the 30 STI constituents – SPDR® STI ETF and Nikko AM STI ETF. The SPDR® STI ETF, unveiled in 2002, is managed by State Street Global Advisors, while the Nikko AM STI ETF, launched in 2009, is managed by DBS subsidiary Nikko Asset Management. Benefits of investing in the STI ETF include gaining exposure to the 30 constituents of the benchmark index through a single purchase and at a very low cost. Over the longer term, the returns can be sizeable.

The performance of an ETF is usually based on how closely it is able to track the index it is trying to replicate, and the difference – due to factors that include management fees and transaction costs – is referred to as tracking error. The SPDR STI ETF has a rolling one-year tracking error of 0.2315%, while the Nikko AM Singapore STI ETF has a three-year annualised tracking error of 0.14%, as published on their websites. Both ETFs have a policy of paying out dividends semi-annually, and the funds will deduct their fees from the dividends before distributing to investors. 

As the STI hits multi-year lows with a YTD decline of 25%, an increasing number of investors are using STI-tracking ETFs as a vehicle to gain instant exposure to Singapore’s top 30 blue chips. Over the past 20 years, there have been six such occasions of large swings by the STI, driven by global market volatility, with one such occasion being the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. These swings encompassed a 37% decline from the preceding STI high, followed by a 55% rebound from that low to the recovery peak.

In the March month-to-date, the turnover of both STI ETFs have surged to a total of S$237.9 million, up more than eight-fold YoY and nearly tripling MoM. The two ETFs, which offer a 12-month dividend yield of more than 5%, have garnered YTD net inflows of S$172 million.



      
    
    Monthly Turnover of SGX's Two STI ETFs


The tables below detail the two STI ETFs listed on SGX.




			ETF Name
			
			
			Underlying Index
			
			
			Stock Code
			
			
			YTD Total Return (%)
			
			
			1Y Total Return (%)
			
			
			3Y Total Return (%)
			
			
			5Y Total Return  (%)
			
		


			SPDR STI ETF
			
			
			Straits Times Index
			
			
			ES3
			
			
			-27.7
			
			
			-25.1
			
			
			-6.9
			
			
			-4.1
			
		


			NIKKO AM SINGAPORE STI ETF
			
			
			Straits Times Index
			
			
			G3B
			
			
			-27.9
			
			
			-25.3
			
			
			-6.9
			
			
			-4.2
			
		

 
			 
			 
			 
			 
			 
			 
		

 




			ETF Name
			
			
			Underlying Index
			
			
			Stock Code
			
			
			12M Div Yld (%)
			
			
			Expense Ratio (%)
			
			
			Fund Size (S$M)
			
			
			YTD Net Inflow 
			(S$M)
			
		


			SPDR STI ETF
			
			
			Straits Times Index
			
			
			ES3
			
			
			5.2
			
			
			0.3
			
			
			763
			
			
			146
			
		


			NIKKO AM SINGAPORE STI ETF
			
			
			Straits Times Index
			
			
			G3B
			
			
			5.1
			
			
			0.3
			
			
			324
			
			
			26
			
		

 Source: Bloomberg &amp; SGX (data as of 19 March 2020)

2020 Growth Seen Shrinking 
After its economy grew at a decade-low of 0.7% last year, Singapore is expected to post even slower growth in 2020 on the back of the fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic. Last month, the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) forecast 2020 gross domestic product (GDP) growth of around 0.5%, the mid-point of a new estimated range of -0.5% to 1.5%. This was reduced from a previous projection of between 0.5% and 2.5% last November.

According to economists and analysts polled in a survey by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) released earlier this month, the Singapore economy is expected to grow 0.6% this year.

However, last week, private-sector economists from DBS Bank and Maybank Kim Eng Securities projected that domestic growth could shrink 0.5% and 0.3% respectively for the full year. They noted that the trade-reliant economy was likely to slip into a recession, given the chaos unfolding globally from the pandemic, as well as economic costs arising out of restrictions on trade, investment, consumption and travel. 

The last time Singapore registered a full-year contraction of its economy was in 2001 after the dot-com bust, when GDP growth contracted by 1%.

Investing in ETFs

ETFs are investment funds listed and traded intraday on a stock exchange. The majority aim to track the performance of an index and provide access to a wide variety of markets and asset classes, including local stocks, international securities, bonds, commodities or money markets.  
Each ETF gives investors access to the performance of the asset that comprises the underlying index. Investing in the ETF is also less costly if one was to build a similar portfolio by buying the individual stocks. It also provides exposure to international markets and asset classes that may be inaccessible to individual investors.

Investors can also invest in the STI ETFs using a Regular Shares Saving Plan (RSS). Click here to find out more.

To find out more about ETFs, visit www.sgx.com/etf.



Performance Highlights of SGX's Two STI ETFs

Australia

SPDR S&P/ASX 200 Listed Property Fund is an exchange traded fund which tracks the performance of the S&P/ASX Listed Property Trust Index. The Fund will invest in the securities comprising the Index in proportion to their relative weightings. The Index is comprised of the 200 largest listed property investments by market capitalization and most liquid securities in Australia.

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Spdr S&P/Asx 200 Listed Prop (SLF AU)

Performance Highlights of SGX's Two STI ETFs

SGX lists two ETFs that invest in the 30 constituents of the STI – the most globally recognised benchmark index and market barometer for...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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