Thematic Investing in Tech and Media, CM Research

Cyrus Mewawalla

Thematic Investing in Tech and Media

Thematic TMT investing

CM Research

CM Research is an independent research house based in London, England. We provide global thematic research in the Technology, Media and Telecoms (TMT) sectors. 

Our focus is on disruptive technologies: how will they unfold; which industries will be impacted; and who will be the ultimate winners and losers. 

Our aim is to help investors predict share prices and corporate executives stay one step ahead of the technology trends that are shaping their industry. 

We research technology investment themes in detail and then feed the results into a scorecard system to quantify the impact of several conflicting themes on individual stocks. 

Recent themes covered include internet TV, the Internet of Things, Big Data, Mobile payments, crowdfunding, artificial intelligence, the cloud, software defined networking and Generation Hashtag.

We cover the top 500 global TMT stocks by market capitalisation and several technology start-ups and pre-IPO companies too. 

In 2015, CM Research analysts outperformed the Bloomberg Benchmark Analyst Index - which measures how good analysts are at predicting stock prices - by 7.1%.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology stocks.The biggest benefit to the US tech sector will come from lower tax rates. The biggest risk is trade wars that result in higher tariffs and retaliation against US tech companies. The wildcard is regulation: net neutrality rules – if relaxed – could shift the balance of power from internet companies to telcos.Below we look at five themes emanating from Mr Trump's policies that have a direct impact on the global tech sector: taxation, trade, regulation, cybersecurity and social media.

As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology stocks.The biggest benefit to the US tech sector will come from lower tax rates. The biggest risk is trade wars that result in higher tariffs and retaliation against US tech companies. The wildcard is regulation: net neutrality rules – if relaxed – could shift the balance of power from internet companies to telcos.Below we look at five themes emanating from Mr Trump's policies that have a direct impact on the global tech sector: taxation, trade, regulation, cybersecurity and social media.

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

People used to say Texas would be the most likely state to secede from the Union. Even recently. Now they will write about California seceding. And see this comment <a href="http://www.vanityfair.com/news/2016/11/how-a-trump-administration-could-terrorize-silicon-valley" target="_blank">today</a> on Trump and Silicon Valley.Tech plays aka many California plays from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/409" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409">Amazon.Com Inc (AMZN US)</a> to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20279" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279">Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA US)</a> have fared poorly in the first round of a Trump-elect rally. As somewhat expected the other night, names like BTUUQ (new ticker pink sheets) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/6430" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6430">Peabody Energy Corp (BTU US)</a> (+50% yesterday and a further 15%…

People used to say Texas would be the most likely state to secede from the Union. Even recently. Now they will write about California seceding. And see this comment today on Trump and Silicon Valley.Tech plays aka many California plays from Amazon.Com Inc (AMZN US) to Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA US) have fared poorly in the first round of a Trump-elect rally. As somewhat expected the other night, names like BTUUQ (new ticker pink sheets) Peabody Energy Corp (BTU US) (+50% yesterday and a further 15%…

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

We recommended going negative on a Terminal High Altitude Defense (THAAD) related basket of stocks on October 1st, 2016. This short has been working pretty well. From From September 30th to November 9th, this basket of THAAD related stocks was down 9.4% on average while KOSPI was down 5.1% during the same period. We believe now is the time to close out the THAAD related basket of shorts. We give three reasons why.<ol><li><div class="content-highlight">
There are increasing indications that the next Trump administration may not enforce…</div></li></ol>

We recommended going negative on a Terminal High Altitude Defense (THAAD) related basket of stocks on October 1st, 2016. This short has been working pretty well. From From September 30th to November 9th, this basket of THAAD related stocks was down 9.4% on average while KOSPI was down 5.1% during the same period. We believe now is the time to close out the THAAD related basket of shorts. We give three reasons why.
There are increasing indications that the next Trump administration may not enforce…

Close Out the Shorts on THAAD Related Basket - TRUMP May Not Enforce THAAD Deployment

It is not official yet. But against many odds it looks like Trump has taken it.  There are many implications we need to act on in our portfolios. ... I didn’t think he’d manage it. His indiscretions seemed too large, his gaffes too many. But what we saw, with some 1+m Trump win of the popular vote, was the forgotten rural Americans voting anti-Clinton in greater numbers than expected, particularly in Blue Belt (Rust Belt) areas of the US Center. All while doing what Trump said he would do in…

It is not official yet. But against many odds it looks like Trump has taken it.  There are many implications we need to act on in our portfolios. ... I didn’t think he’d manage it. His indiscretions seemed too large, his gaffes too many. But what we saw, with some 1+m Trump win of the popular vote, was the forgotten rural Americans voting anti-Clinton in greater numbers than expected, particularly in Blue Belt (Rust Belt) areas of the US Center. All while doing what Trump said he would do in…

Against [Official] Odds It's a Trump USA Now

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

As we come to the end of potentially one of the most transformative nights in global history it now seems almost certain that Donald Trump will be President of the United States of America, comfortably winning the electoral vote even as Hillary won the popular vote. I outline my initial thoughts on the drivers behind this, and the political, geopolitical and market impact of this below.

As we come to the end of potentially one of the most transformative nights in global history it now seems almost certain that Donald Trump will be President of the United States of America, comfortably winning the electoral vote even as Hillary won the popular vote. I outline my initial thoughts on the drivers behind this, and the political, geopolitical and market impact of this below.

Trump & The Morning After the Night Before

United States

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the S&P 500 Index. The Trust consists of a portfolio representing all 500 stocks in the S&P 500 Index. It holds predominantly large-cap U.S. stocks. This ETF is structured as a Unit Investment Trust and pays dividends on a quarterly basis. The holdings are weighted by market capitalization.

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SPDR S&P 500 (SPY US)

What Trump Means for Tech

As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology...

CM Research

The Trump Rally Portfolio Reorganization

People used to say Texas would be the most likely state to secede from the Union. Even recently. Now they will write about California seceding. And...

Charles De Trenck

Against [Official] Odds It's a Trump USA Now

It is not official yet. But against many odds it looks like Trump has taken it. There are many implications we need to act on in our portfolios....

Charles De Trenck

Trump & The Morning After the Night Before

As we come to the end of potentially one of the most transformative nights in global history it now seems almost certain that Donald Trump will be...

Emad Mostaque

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

What Trump Means for Tech

As the dust settles after the US presidential election, we look at the medium-term investment implications of a Trump presidency for technology...

CM Research

The Trump Rally Portfolio Reorganization

People used to say Texas would be the most likely state to secede from the Union. Even recently. Now they will write about California seceding. And...

Charles De Trenck

Close Out the Shorts on THAAD Related Basket - TRUMP May Not Enforce THAAD Deployment

We recommended going negative on a Terminal High Altitude Defense (THAAD) related basket of stocks on October 1st, 2016. This short has been...

Douglas Kim

Against [Official] Odds It's a Trump USA Now

It is not official yet. But against many odds it looks like Trump has taken it. There are many implications we need to act on in our portfolios....

Charles De Trenck

Trump & The Morning After the Night Before

As we come to the end of potentially one of the most transformative nights in global history it now seems almost certain that Donald Trump will be...

Emad Mostaque