Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 21st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BHP, ANZ, Endeavour, South32, Mineral Resource, Igo, Woodside Energy, Northern Star Re, Whitehaven Coal.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 21st (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in BHP, ANZ, Endeavour, South32, Mineral Resource, Igo, Woodside Energy, Northern Star Re, Whitehaven Coal.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 21st): BHP, ANZ, Endeavour, South32, Mineral Resource, Igo, Woodside

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Amman Mineral Internasional / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian copper-gold producer, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$860 million. Bookbuilding runs from 31 May to 16 June.</li>
<li>Amman’s Batu Hijau mine when combined with the Elang project has the fifth largest copper equivalent reserves in the world, according to Wood Mackenzie.</li>
<li>The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability, leading cost competitiveness and cash generation.</li>
</ul>



Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), an Indonesian copper-gold producer, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$860 million. Bookbuilding runs from 31 May to 16 June.
Amman’s Batu Hijau mine when combined with the Elang project has the fifth largest copper equivalent reserves in the world, according to Wood Mackenzie.
The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability, leading cost competitiveness and cash generation.


Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: The Investment Case

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Anz Group Holdin, Worley, Lynas Rare Earth, Macquarie, Bhp, Natl Aust Bank, Medibank Private, South32, Woolworths.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 12th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD17.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Anz Group Holdin, Worley, Lynas Rare Earth, Macquarie, Bhp, Natl Aust Bank, Medibank Private, South32, Woolworths.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 12th): ANZ, Worley, Lynas, Macquarie, BHP, NAB, Medibank, South32

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends tomorrow and we expect two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Impact of passive trading on the stocks varies between 4.3-11 days of ADV. Short interest on the potential adds is small while there are significant shorts on the potential deletes.</li>
<li>We expect there is pre-positioning on at least three of the four stocks. In some cases that is small, while it could be a lot larger in other stocks.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance of the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices ends tomorrow and we expect two changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 
Impact of passive trading on the stocks varies between 4.3-11 days of ADV. Short interest on the potential adds is small while there are significant shorts on the potential deletes.
We expect there is pre-positioning on at least three of the four stocks. In some cases that is small, while it could be a lot larger in other stocks.


S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

<ul>
<li>There are unlikely to be any inclusions to the index in June while there are three stocks that are close to the deletion threshold.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, there will be capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of over 4% and a one-way trade of A$78m.</li>
<li>Short interest on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:678:1" rel="noopener">AMP Ltd (AMP AU)</a> has been increasing as the stock has dropped and a further decline in the stock could lead to deletion.</li>
</ul>


There are unlikely to be any inclusions to the index in June while there are three stocks that are close to the deletion threshold.
Even if there are no constituent changes, there will be capping changes that will result in one-way turnover of over 4% and a one-way trade of A$78m.
Short interest on AMP Ltd (AMP AU) has been increasing as the stock has dropped and a further decline in the stock could lead to deletion.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Potential Deletes & Capping Changes

Australia

BlueScope Steel Limited supplies steel products and solutions. The Company manufactures steel slabs, plates, hot and cold rolled coils, and coated and painted strip products for building and construction, automotive, whitegoods, and manufacturing applications. BlueScope Steel serves customers in Asia, Australia, New Zealand, and the United States.

Newcrest Mining Limited is a gold mining, exploration and production company. The Company is geographically focused in Australia, the Pacific region and Asia. Newcrest Mining operates projects within six provinces in four countries, focusing on the Cadia East and Lihir MOPU expansion projects and the Wafi Golpu and Namosi greenfield projects.

OZ Minerals Ltd. is an Australian based mining company with a focus on copper. The Company owns and operates the Prominent Hill copper-gold mine and the Carrapateena copper-gold project located in South Australia and has a number of equity interests in listed resource companies.

Northern Star Resources Ltd manufactures precious metals. The Company provides mining and production of gold. Northern Star Resources serves customers in Australia and North America.

Pilbara Minerals Ltd. is a mineral exploration company. The Company owns mineral tenements in the west Pilbara region of Western Australia where it explores for iron ore, gold and base metals, particularly copper and nickel.

Yancoal Australia Limited provides coal mining services. The Company mines, processes, and sells pure-coal, metallurgical coal, and more. Yancoal Australia also exports its products.

IGO Limited operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and mines copper, ore, nickel, gold, and other mineral resources. IGO serves customers worldwide.

MMG Limited is a mid-tier global resources company which explores, develops and mines base metal projects around the world.  The Company currently owns and operates the Century, Golden Grove and Rosebery mines in Australia, the Kinsevere mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and the LXML Sepon mine in Laos.

Evolution Mining Ltd is a gold exploration company with operations in Western Australia. The Company owns the gold mines -Cracow, Edna May, Mt Rawdon, and Pajingo - and the Mt Carlton development project.

Lynas Corporation Limited explores and mines for rare earth minerals such as cerium and neodymium.

United States Steel Corporation operates as an integrated steel producer. The Company manufactures flat-rolled and tubular products with production operations in North America and Europe. United States Steel serves the automotive, appliance, container, industrial machinery, construction, and oil and gas industries.

JFE Holdings, Inc. is a holding company which was established through the merger of NKK Corp and Kawasaki Steel Corp.  The Company manages and conducts its subsidiaries' business, which is steel production and integrated engineering services.

China Steel Corporation manufactures and markets a variety of steel products. The main products are hot rolled coils and sheets, cold rolled coils and sheets, wire rods, steel plates, and steel bars.

China Hongqiao Group Ltd. manufactures aluminum products. The Company's aluminum products consist of molten aluminum alloy, aluminum alloy ingots and aluminum busbars.

NMDC Limited explores for minerals. The Company is exploring for iron ore, copper, rock phosphate, lime stone, dolomite, gypsum, bentonite, magnesite, diamond, tin, tungsten, graphite, and beach sands.

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. primarily manufactures and markets aluminum products. The Company's products include aluminum ingots, aluminum rolls, and aluminum alloys.

Shandong Nanshan Aluminum Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets aluminum products and worsted woolen products. The Company's major aluminum offerings are electrolytic aluminum and section aluminum. Its woolen products include soybean fiber fabrics, silk fabrics, wool/flax fabrics and cashmere. Shandong also generates and supplies electricity.

Zhaojin Mining Industry Company Ltd. explores, mines, and produces gold.  The Company holds interest in properties in eastern China.

Hoa Phat Group JSC is a multi-disciplinary manufacturing company. The Company manufactures a wide range of products, including steel, steel pipe, furniture, and refrigeration equipment.

Alcoa Corporation manufactures metal products. The Company produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Alcoa serves aluminum industry worldwide.

South32 Limited operates as a diversified metals and mining company. The Company produces alumina, aluminum, coal, manganese, nickel, silver, lead, and zinc. South32 conducts business globally.

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South32 Ltd (S32 AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 21st): BHP, ANZ, Endeavour, South32, Mineral Resource, Igo, Woodside

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, ANZ, Endeavour, South32, Mineral Resource,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: The Investment Case

The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability,...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 12th): ANZ, Worley, Lynas, Macquarie, BHP, NAB, Medibank, South32

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in ANZ, Worley, Lynas, Macquarie, BHP, NAB, Medibank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There could be 2 changes for the ASX200 in June. Impact is high on most stocks. Shorts are small on the adds & very high on the deletes. There...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Potential Deletes & Capping Changes

There could be 3 deletions for the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index in June. Capping changes could result in one-way turnover of 4.1% and a one...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 21st): BHP, ANZ, Endeavour, South32, Mineral Resource, Igo, Woodside

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, ANZ, Endeavour, South32, Mineral Resource,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: The Investment Case

The key elements of the investment case rest on world-class reserves, credible development plans, solid top-line growth, high profitability,...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 12th): ANZ, Worley, Lynas, Macquarie, BHP, NAB, Medibank, South32

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in ANZ, Worley, Lynas, Macquarie, BHP, NAB, Medibank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning

There could be 2 changes for the ASX200 in June. Impact is high on most stocks. Shorts are small on the adds & very high on the deletes. There...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Potential Deletes & Capping Changes

There could be 3 deletions for the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index in June. Capping changes could result in one-way turnover of 4.1% and a one...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Impact, Shorts & Positioning