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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li> In August the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Indicator (CSI) dropped to a very depressed level of 111.5, well under the threshold of 116 indicating consumers are in a state of panic.</li>
<li>A large part of the weakness stems from severe flooding (the worst since 1998) in northern and central China. It is estimated that floods have resulted in $33 billion in losses.</li>
<li>We believe that weakness seen in the CSI during August is the result of panic among consumers in reaction to the flood and not a reflection of…</li>
</ul>


 In August the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Indicator (CSI) dropped to a very depressed level of 111.5, well under the threshold of 116 indicating consumers are in a state of panic.
A large part of the weakness stems from severe flooding (the worst since 1998) in northern and central China. It is estimated that floods have resulted in $33 billion in losses.
We believe that weakness seen in the CSI during August is the result of panic among consumers in reaction to the flood and not a reflection of…


China Consumer Sentiment Drops in August As Flood Causes Panic - Actual Impact Insignificant

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

The recent spate Chinese data released, seems to be promising due to the slow growth and relative decline in the real economic growth. This phenomenon owes much of the credit to the government’s credit injection into the economy and its subsequent tightening. Nevertheless, official retail sales data for July seems to be projecting the shift of consumer spending depicting the change in consumer choice.The total retail sales of consumer goods in July remained steady at 2,682. Although this…

The recent spate Chinese data released, seems to be promising due to the slow growth and relative decline in the real economic growth. This phenomenon owes much of the credit to the government’s credit injection into the economy and its subsequent tightening. Nevertheless, official retail sales data for July seems to be projecting the shift of consumer spending depicting the change in consumer choice.The total retail sales of consumer goods in July remained steady at 2,682. Although this…

Retail Sales in China Outside Headline Numbers Remain Weak

The sluggish growth of Chinese economy in the past couple of months ignited concerns regarding the future of the economy. The slow growth in exports posed various threats to the highly leveraged economy which depends upon state owned enterprises and the debts owed by them. However, some sectors such as real estate have started to show signs of improvement which surely will help the economy.While the slow economic growth left Beijing concerned, the recent official data released by presents a…

The sluggish growth of Chinese economy in the past couple of months ignited concerns regarding the future of the economy. The slow growth in exports posed various threats to the highly leveraged economy which depends upon state owned enterprises and the debts owed by them. However, some sectors such as real estate have started to show signs of improvement which surely will help the economy.While the slow economic growth left Beijing concerned, the recent official data released by presents a…

In June the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Indicator (CSI) increased to a level of 115.9, just below the threshold level of 116 indicating consumers are in a state of panic. We continue to highlight our view that China’s economy is much stronger than depressed levels of Consumer Sentiment would suggest. We believe the Chinese government is aware of its recent confidence destabilizing policy moves and is focused on avoiding such moves in the near future, allowing consumers to pull out of a prolonged period of panic. Data collection for the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Survey ended by the June 23rd Brexit referendum. While it is not yet clear what impact the Brexit will have on the CSI it has the potential to adversely change the global economic outlook and the outlook for China. Over the next few weeks we will be monitoring the spillover effects of the Brexit carefully.

In June the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Indicator (CSI) increased to a level of 115.9, just below the threshold level of 116 indicating consumers are in a state of panic.  We continue to highlight our view that China’s economy is much stronger than depressed levels of Consumer Sentiment would suggest. We believe the Chinese government is aware of its recent confidence destabilizing policy moves and is focused on avoiding such moves in the near future, allowing consumers to pull out of a prolonged period of panic.  Data collection for the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Survey ended by the June 23rd Brexit referendum. While it is not yet clear what impact the Brexit will have on the CSI it has the potential to adversely change the global economic outlook and the outlook for China.  Over the next few weeks we will be monitoring the spillover effects of the Brexit carefully.

China Consumer Sentiment Rises in June as Panic Surrounding Slowing Economy Continues to Dissipate

Following a ‘risk-on’ rally early in the early part of last week global stocks dropped going into Friday on concerns that a series of key events later this month may stress the global economy and financial markets.At the center of these concerns is the uncertainty surrounding the potential for the UK to exit the European Union (Brexit). On June 23rd voters will decide whether Britain will leave or remain in the European Union. Concerns over a possible Brexit surged on Friday following the release of a poll from the Independent showing increasing support for a Brexit, with 55% vote to ‘leave’ against a 45% vote to ‘remain’.Further fueling uncertainty is the US Feds upcoming FOMC meeting set to take place on June 15th. While the Fed is not expected to hike rates in June (the implied probability of a June rate hike is currently just 2%) , investors are very concerned that a surprise hike could trigger volatility across global financial markets.Our proprietary indicators continue to indicate the global economy is strong enough to withstand a potential shock stemming from a surprise rate hike in the US or a Brexit.

Following a ‘risk-on’ rally early in the early part of last week global stocks dropped going into Friday on concerns that a series of key events later this month may stress the global economy and financial markets.At the center of these concerns is the uncertainty surrounding the potential for the UK to exit the European Union (Brexit). On June 23rd voters will decide whether Britain will leave or remain in the European Union. Concerns over a possible Brexit surged on Friday following the release of a poll from the Independent showing increasing support for a Brexit, with 55% vote to ‘leave’ against a 45% vote to ‘remain’.Further fueling uncertainty is the US Feds upcoming FOMC meeting set to take place on June 15th. While the Fed is not expected to hike rates in June (the implied probability of a June rate hike is currently just 2%) , investors are very concerned that a surprise hike could trigger volatility across global financial markets.Our proprietary indicators continue to indicate the global economy is strong enough to withstand a potential shock stemming from a surprise rate hike in the US or a Brexit.

Anxiety Over Brexit Surges While Key Economic Data Continue to Improve

China

Northern United Publishing & Media (Group) Co., Ltd. publishes books, distributes magazines, and prints commercial receipts. The Company produces kid books such as coloring books and reading books, bibliographic, and teen age book. The Company uses single paper-base media.

Northern United Publishing&Md(Grp) (601999 CH)

Zhejiang Talent Television & Film Co., Ltd. partakes in the investment, production, promotion, and distribution of both Chinese domestic and imported films.

DuZhe Publishing & Media Company Limited is a book publisher.

GuangZhou JinYi Media Corporation offers movie screening services. The Company provides movie tickets sales, film information consultation, advertising, and other related services. GuangZhou JinYi Media also offers catering services. GuangZhou JinYi Media operates in China.

Evergrande Auto researches, develops, and manufactures new energy vehicles. The Company engages in vehicle manufacturing, electric motor control, power batteries, vehicle sales, smart charging, shared mobility, and more. Evergrande Auto also operates health management businesses.

Poly Culture Group Corp Ltd is a culture and art enterprise in China. The Company provides performance and large-scale activities, organization and planning, creative design production, theatre management and construction consultation, cultural relics collections, artwork business and auction, cinema circuit and cinema investment operations in China.

Huawen Media Investment Corporation invests in media and culture industries. It also trades building materials, undertakes highway construction projects, and distributes and sells natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas. The Company also constructs pipeline distribution systems, and provides related services.

Jishi Media Company Limited constructs, manages and maintains cable television networks. The Company's main businesses include basic radio and television transmission services, digital television value-added services, two-way interactive broadband services, and cable-based network services.

Tangel Publishing Co Ltd plans, designs, produces and publishes juvenile books. The Company publishes juvenile literature in 3 categories, including the academic supplementary materials, English language learning materials and children's literature. The Company also engages in publishing periodicals.

Inly Media Co., Ltd. provides strategy consulting and media agency services. The Company engages in content marketing, brand management and advertising services.

IMAX China Holding, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, broadcasts movies in theaters. IMAX China Holding serves customers in China.

Astro Malaysia Holdings Bhd is a Malaysian investment holding media and entertainment company.

Avex Inc. operates entertainment businesses. The Company provides music production, live communication management, artist training, content creation, and other services. Avex offers services in Japan.

PROTO CORPORATION provides information about new and pre-owned cars, motorcycles, and parts through magazines and the Internet.  The Company also provides information such as restaurants, golf courses, and ski resorts.  Proto Corp's Web site allows its users to research automobile pricing and insurance.

Intage Holdings Inc provides marketing research services, marketing system solutions, and consulting services.

ZIGExN Co Ltd develops and operates the internet media platforms called EX Sites that consolidate information from multiple media and submit user's request to multiple media in one access.

Dish TV India Ltd. offers direct broadcast satellite subscription television service in India.

Cashbox Partyworld Co. Ltd. operates private karaoke rooms throughout Taiwan and China. The Company rents rooms equipped with karaoke machines and audio systems for fees.

MPS Ltd. is a publisher of school and college textbooks, reference books, general non-fiction titles and atlases.  The Company also has an online learning division that develops and manages educational portals.  MPS's information processing division supplies typesetting and data digitization services.

Taiwan Optical Platform Co., Ltd. provides a range of telecommunication services. The Company's services include Internet broadband access service, online gaming, E-learning, VoIP service, wireless broadband service, DVB and VoD, community E-commerce, remote security monitoring, and triple-play residential services.

Songliao Automobile Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets vans and auto body parts. The Company sells its products in northeastern China.

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Songliao Automobile Co A (600715 CH)

China Consumer Sentiment Drops in August As Flood Causes Panic - Actual Impact Insignificant

In August the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Indicator (CSI) dropped to a very depressed level of 111.5, well under the threshold of 116 indicating...

David Riedel

Retail Sales in China Outside Headline Numbers Remain Weak

The recent spate Chinese data released, seems to be promising due to the slow growth and relative decline in the real economic growth. This...

Christopher Balding

Inside the Chinese Retail Sector

The sluggish growth of Chinese economy in the past couple of months ignited concerns regarding the future of the economy. The slow growth in...

Christopher Balding

China Consumer Sentiment Rises in June as Panic Surrounding Slowing Economy Continues to Dissipate

In June the MNI China Consumer Sentiment Indicator (CSI) increased to a level of 115.9, just below the threshold level of 116 indicating consumers...

David Riedel

Anxiety Over Brexit Surges While Key Economic Data Continue to Improve

Following a ‘risk-on’ rally early in the early part of last week global stocks dropped going into Friday on concerns that a series of key events...

David Riedel

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