Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 8 May I wrote <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-flow-foreign-investor-inflows-may-increase" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:101617" rel="noopener">JAPAN FLOW: Foreign Investor Inflows May Increase</a>.  Since the data used in that insight, TSE data shows net foreign buying of ¥3.5trln+. </li>
<li>Investor flows appear to work in patterns which are correlated to TOPIX gains and outperformance vs S&amp;P500. </li>
<li>The history of autocorrelation of net buying suggests while the current streak may end, a four week average of net buys could remain positive for a while. </li>
</ul>


On 8 May I wrote JAPAN FLOW: Foreign Investor Inflows May Increase.  Since the data used in that insight, TSE data shows net foreign buying of ¥3.5trln+. 
Investor flows appear to work in patterns which are correlated to TOPIX gains and outperformance vs S&amp;P500. 
The history of autocorrelation of net buying suggests while the current streak may end, a four week average of net buys could remain positive for a while. 


JAPAN FLOW: Foreign Investor Inflows Increased; Next Is Foreigners Vs Buybacks Vs GPIF

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.</li>
<li>We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. </li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.
We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. 
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Black Sesame Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/black-sesame-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39894:1" rel="noopener">Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK)</a> raised around US$133m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its IPO at the low-end.</li>
<li>Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) raised around US$133m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its IPO at the low-end.
Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Black Sesame IPO Trading - Lackluster Demand, Combined with Bad Timing

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Japan's markets have again failed to break to new highs creating a potential for a double-top pattern.</li>
<li>Trump's policies which target lower interest rates and a weaker dollar will put pressure on Japan's markets as can be seen from the high correlation between the JPY and TPX.</li>
<li>Sectors such as trading companies, autos and semiconductors could see the most pressure under a Trump presidency.</li>
</ul>


Japan's markets have again failed to break to new highs creating a potential for a double-top pattern.
Trump's policies which target lower interest rates and a weaker dollar will put pressure on Japan's markets as can be seen from the high correlation between the JPY and TPX.
Sectors such as trading companies, autos and semiconductors could see the most pressure under a Trump presidency.


Trump Trades and the JAPAN Market Are Like Oil and Vinegar

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/black-sesame-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39894:1" rel="noopener">Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK)</a> is looking to raise US$143m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we looked at the past performance of the deal. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise US$143m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
In our earlier notes, we looked at the past performance of the deal. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on valuation.


Black Sesame IPO - Paying Up-Front for Its Monetization Potential

Japan

Socionext Inc. designs, develops, and provides SoC (system on chip) solutions and services. The Company offers digital broadcast demodulation solution, video interface conversion solution, imaging solution, engine and accelerator solution, industrial connected solution, and more. Socionext serves customers in consumer, automotive, industrial, and other fields.

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Socionext (6526 JP)

JAPAN FLOW: Foreign Investor Inflows Increased; Next Is Foreigners Vs Buybacks Vs GPIF

Foreign Investor Flows in Japan matter. They always matter, and recently, more foreign investor flow has mattered more. History shows there is room...

Travis Lundy

Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest...

Sumeet Singh

Black Sesame IPO Trading - Lackluster Demand, Combined with Bad Timing

Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) raised around US$133m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its IPO at the low-end.

Clarence Chu

Trump Trades and the JAPAN Market Are Like Oil and Vinegar

Japan markets have now entered Bear Markets (-20% from peak level) and the JPY continues to strengthen effecting an unwind of carry trades...

David Mudd

Black Sesame IPO - Paying Up-Front for Its Monetization Potential

Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise US$143m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on...

Clarence Chu

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