Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>There could be up to three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few weeks.</li>
<li>Apart from that, there could be two changes for the F100 index and two other changes for the F250 index during the September 2024 review.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for F100 and F250 in the run-up to the September 2024 index rebal event.
There could be up to three M&amp;A-related intra-review changes in the next few weeks.
Apart from that, there could be two changes for the F100 index and two other changes for the F250 index during the September 2024 review.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Sep 24: High-Impact F250 Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

<ul>
<li>Gross spread (as of 13 March closing) on an estimated 1 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mondi-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22048:1" rel="noopener">Mondi PLC (MNDI LN)</a> x 0.2701 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ds-smith-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22150:1" rel="noopener">DS Smith PLC (SMDS LN)</a> exchange equation is 5.6%. New PUSU is 4 April.</li>
<li>The merger would create a European board and packaging giant. Interloper risk seems low, as are the chances of the deal being contested by antitrust regulators. </li>
<li>Mondi and DS Smith are verifying the anticipated synergies resulting from their combination. Considering synergies of 3% of DS Smith revenues, the present value might not cover the premium offered.</li>
</ul>


Gross spread (as of 13 March closing) on an estimated 1 Mondi PLC (MNDI LN) x 0.2701 DS Smith PLC (SMDS LN) exchange equation is 5.6%. New PUSU is 4 April.
The merger would create a European board and packaging giant. Interloper risk seems low, as are the chances of the deal being contested by antitrust regulators. 
Mondi and DS Smith are verifying the anticipated synergies resulting from their combination. Considering synergies of 3% of DS Smith revenues, the present value might not cover the premium offered.


Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.</p>In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Nameson Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunny Optical Technology Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/genting-bhd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Genting Bhd</a></li><li><a href='/entities/shui-on-land-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Shui On Land</a></li><li><a href='/entities/health-and-happiness-h-h-int' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Health And Happiness (H&H)</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Nameson HoldingsSunny Optical Technology GroupGenting BhdShui On LandHealth And Happiness (H&H)and more...

Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.</li><li>So I thought I would write some anti-doom porn. And in doing so I actually became a bit more pessimistic LOL. At least for the next year or two.</li><li>Since there is no denying that the EU is in a bad spot as it imported 150 billion m3 of gas from Russia.</li></ul>

Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.So I thought I would write some anti-doom porn. And in doing so I actually became a bit more pessimistic LOL. At least for the next year or two.Since there is no denying that the EU is in a bad spot as it imported 150 billion m3 of gas from Russia.

<p>Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.</p>In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/tata-motors-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li><li><a href='/entities/anton-oilfield-services-gp' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Anton Oilfield</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-south-city-holdings' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China South City</a></li><li><a href='/entities/panda-green-energy-group-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Panda Green</a></li><li><a href='/entities/gcl-new-energy-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Gcl New Energy Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Tata Motors LtdAnton OilfieldChina South CityPanda GreenGcl New Energy Holdingsand more...

Ireland

Smurfit Kappa Group PLC manufactures containerboards, solid boards, graphic boards, corrugated and solid board packaging products.

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Smurfit Kappa (SKG ID)

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Sep 24: High-Impact F250 Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

The top-ranked F250 potential ADDs would have a large number of days to buy if they got added to F250. There are multiple opportunities for both...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Spread on Paper so Far

Merger between Mondi PLC and DS Smith PLC could create a European packaging giant with low interloper risk and antitrust concerns, but potential...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Weekly Wrap - 21 Jul 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Europe will be fine

Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.

Turtles all the way down

Weekly Wrap - 26 Nov 2021

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/​​​250 Sep 24: High-Impact F250 Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

The top-ranked F250 potential ADDs would have a large number of days to buy if they got added to F250. There are multiple opportunities for both...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Spread on Paper so Far

​Merger between Mondi PLC and DS Smith PLC could create a European packaging giant with low interloper risk and antitrust concerns, but potential...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Weekly Wrap - 21 Jul 2023

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Europe will be fine

Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.

Turtles all the way down

Weekly Wrap - 26 Nov 2021

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/250 Sep 24: High-Impact F250 Potential ADDs Could Outperform the Index

Merger between Mondi PLC and DS Smith PLC could create a European packaging giant with low interloper risk and antitrust concerns, but potential...