Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With just the SK Networks stake, both of these conditions are already satisfied. So, the key point will be how quickly the spread of the cash offer narrows next Monday.</li>
<li>We need to watch whether the spread for the exchange offer opens. As SK Networks is a K200 constituent, it's subject to short selling, making a Long Short play possible.</li>
<li>Worth noting, among the 24% minority shareholders, NPS and KIT hold a combined 15%, potentially leading to limited market circulation volume. This is something we should also be mindful of.</li>
</ul>


With just the SK Networks stake, both of these conditions are already satisfied. So, the key point will be how quickly the spread of the cash offer narrows next Monday.
We need to watch whether the spread for the exchange offer opens. As SK Networks is a K200 constituent, it's subject to short selling, making a Long Short play possible.
Worth noting, among the 24% minority shareholders, NPS and KIT hold a combined 15%, potentially leading to limited market circulation volume. This is something we should also be mindful of.


Fully Disseting SK Rent A Car's Hybrid Tender Offer Disclosure, Whose Cash Offer at a 5.7% Spread

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socar-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29693:1" rel="noopener">SOCAR (403550 KS)</a> was listed on 22nd Aug 2022, where it raised US$78m in its Korea IPO. Its one-year lockup will expire on 21st Aug 2023. </li>
<li>SoCar is a Korean car sharing business aiming to become an all-in-one mobility solutions provider, with approximately 83% domestic market share in the car sharing space as of 1H23. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



SOCAR (403550 KS) was listed on 22nd Aug 2022, where it raised US$78m in its Korea IPO. Its one-year lockup will expire on 21st Aug 2023. 
SoCar is a Korean car sharing business aiming to become an all-in-one mobility solutions provider, with approximately 83% domestic market share in the car sharing space as of 1H23. 
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


SoCar Lock-Up - Close to All-Time Low but Can Expect Some Post-Lockup Selling

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 7 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 6 new adds to MidCap, and 16 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>K Car completed its IPO in South Korea in Oct 21. It raised around US$300m after having downsized the offering and cut the asking price to below the IPO range. </li>
<li>K Car is a used car marketplace and dealership operating in South Korea.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the recent updates and the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


K Car completed its IPO in South Korea in Oct 21. It raised around US$300m after having downsized the offering and cut the asking price to below the IPO range. 
K Car is a used car marketplace and dealership operating in South Korea.
In this note, we will talk about the recent updates and the upcoming lockup expiry.


K Car Lockup - Small Stock with a Big Lockup - Money Recouped, Any Price Is a Good Price to Sell

<ul>
<li>There must be a rationale for car sharing to receive a higher valuation than the traditional rental car business. For this, profit per vehicle must be provided, not sales.</li>
<li>Also, whether SOCAR can justify its valuation built on the relatively high valuation premiums granted to ccOS and FMS companies is still questionable.</li>
<li>Concerning fund flow, it is positive that SOCAR can aim for LG Energy's six-month lockup release. But it is unclear how much flow will be left for SOCAR after WCP.</li>
</ul>


There must be a rationale for car sharing to receive a higher valuation than the traditional rental car business. For this, profit per vehicle must be provided, not sales.
Also, whether SOCAR can justify its valuation built on the relatively high valuation premiums granted to ccOS and FMS companies is still questionable.
Concerning fund flow, it is positive that SOCAR can aim for LG Energy's six-month lockup release. But it is unclear how much flow will be left for SOCAR after WCP.


SOCAR Revised Prospectus: Critical Issues Still Not Addressed

South Korea

SK Rent A Car Co., Ltd. provides cars rental and leasing services. The Company also offers passenger car leasing, and other motor vehicles leasing services. SK Rent A Car also offers used cars distribution services.

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SK Rent A Car (068400 KS)

Fully Disseting SK Rent A Car's Hybrid Tender Offer Disclosure, Whose Cash Offer at a 5.7% Spread

This post fully dissects the disclosure about the hybrid tender offer, which combines exchange and cash offers, for SK Rent A Car by SK Networks,...

Sanghyun Park

SoCar Lock-Up - Close to All-Time Low but Can Expect Some Post-Lockup Selling

SOCAR's (403550 KS) one-year lockup will expire on 21st Aug 2023. In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last...

Ethan Aw

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Overlap With Other Index Flows

We currently forecast 52 changes for the KOSPI Size Indices. While there are few passive assets tracking these indices, they are used by active...

Brian Freitas

K Car Lockup - Small Stock with a Big Lockup - Money Recouped, Any Price Is a Good Price to Sell

K Car completed its IPO in South Korea in Oct 21. It raised around US$300m after having downsized the offering. Its IPO lockup will expire soon...

Sumeet Singh

SOCAR Revised Prospectus: Critical Issues Still Not Addressed

This post investigates SOCAR's revised prospectus, especially the additional information concerning the valuation peer group, and argues why the...

Sanghyun Park

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