Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Semiconductor exposure hits record highs among EM aggressive growth managers</li>
<li>Recent fund activity is among the most bullish of any industry group.  Semiconductors are now comfortably the largest industry group holding among Aggressive Growth managers and the largest overweight position.</li>
<li>Activity over the last 4-months saw buying in Silergy Corp and Novatek Microelectronics Corp, thought TSMC remains the consensus high conviction position.</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor exposure hits record highs among EM aggressive growth managers
Recent fund activity is among the most bullish of any industry group.  Semiconductors are now comfortably the largest industry group holding among Aggressive Growth managers and the largest overweight position.
Activity over the last 4-months saw buying in Silergy Corp and Novatek Microelectronics Corp, thought TSMC remains the consensus high conviction position.


Semiconductors:  Record Allocations Among High Growth EM Managers

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We can consider three types of dividend stocks, targeting the March 31 dividend base date: 1. 1Q fiscal year-ending dividends, 2. Interim (quarterly) dividends, 3. REITs regular dividends</li>
<li>The ex-dividend price corrections of fiscal year-ending dividend stocks have been pretty tight recently. In addition, the futures basis has not reached a desirable level either.</li>
<li>So, either outright dividend trading or dividend arb play does not have much trade opening. So, I'd consider setting up a long/short basket trading, by focusing on high DTV ones.</li>
</ul>


We can consider three types of dividend stocks, targeting the March 31 dividend base date: 1. 1Q fiscal year-ending dividends, 2. Interim (quarterly) dividends, 3. REITs regular dividends
The ex-dividend price corrections of fiscal year-ending dividend stocks have been pretty tight recently. In addition, the futures basis has not reached a desirable level either.
So, either outright dividend trading or dividend arb play does not have much trade opening. So, I'd consider setting up a long/short basket trading, by focusing on high DTV ones.


KOSPI/KOSDAQ End-March Dividends: 1Q Fiscal Year-Ending, Interim(Quarterly), & REITs

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We estimate Phison could reach NT$14.1bn sales and GM 25% outlook in 1Q22.</li>
<li>For 2022, it stars with a good beginning for 5~10% NAND price lifted, and Phison’s insistence on NAND Flash controller technology and allied with AMD.</li>
<li>Phison would maintain its solid dividend policy and it’s 80% in the past. It was ~NT$63 EPS in 2021. </li>
</ul>


We estimate Phison could reach NT$14.1bn sales and GM 25% outlook in 1Q22.
For 2022, it stars with a good beginning for 5~10% NAND price lifted, and Phison’s insistence on NAND Flash controller technology and allied with AMD.
Phison would maintain its solid dividend policy and it’s 80% in the past. It was ~NT$63 EPS in 2021. 


Phison (8299.TT): Insistence in NAND Flash Technology

ASM Pacific Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 4Q21 revenue is HK$6.2bn (US$796.3mn), a 43.9% increase YoY. GM 41.3% is a 1,051bps increase YoY. </li>
<li>Some memory market customers, like Samsung and Hynix, are adopting ASMP's mainstream wire bond and advanced packaging tools for high volume manufacturing requirements. </li>
<li>Full year 2021 dividend per share of HK$3.90, a 44.4% YoY increase.</li>
</ul>


The 4Q21 revenue is HK$6.2bn (US$796.3mn), a 43.9% increase YoY. GM 41.3% is a 1,051bps increase YoY. 
Some memory market customers, like Samsung and Hynix, are adopting ASMP's mainstream wire bond and advanced packaging tools for high volume manufacturing requirements. 
Full year 2021 dividend per share of HK$3.90, a 44.4% YoY increase.


ASMP (522.HK): 4Q21 Results/ 1Q22 Outlook- It’s a Record Q1 at the Mid-Point of Guidance.

<ul>
<li>There are 71 interim dividend stocks on KOSPI and KOSDAQ. Of these, 9 stocks pay quarterly dividends: 7 KOSPI and 2 KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>All except POSCO and Shinhan Financial employ an equal quarterly split. As expected, SKT offers the highest quarterly dividend yield. At the last closing price, it is 1.55%.</li>
<li>Since the absolute yield level is tight, it may not be appropriate to consider a dividend arb play, except for SKT. Nevertheless, it may act as short-term price momentum.</li>
</ul>


There are 71 interim dividend stocks on KOSPI and KOSDAQ. Of these, 9 stocks pay quarterly dividends: 7 KOSPI and 2 KOSDAQ.
All except POSCO and Shinhan Financial employ an equal quarterly split. As expected, SKT offers the highest quarterly dividend yield. At the last closing price, it is 1.55%.
Since the absolute yield level is tight, it may not be appropriate to consider a dividend arb play, except for SKT. Nevertheless, it may act as short-term price momentum.


KOSPI/KOSDAQ Quarterly Dividend Stocks: DPS & Yield Estimations

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Semiconductors: Record Allocations Among High Growth EM Managers

Semiconductor exposure hits record highs among EM aggressive growth managers. Remain the largest industry group holding and the largest overweight...

Steven Holden

KOSPI/KOSDAQ End-March Dividends: 1Q Fiscal Year-Ending, Interim(Quarterly), & REITs

This post offers the latest update on the expected dividends and dividend yields of the three types of end-1Q dividend stocks.

Sanghyun Park

Phison (8299.TT): Insistence in NAND Flash Technology

We estimate Phison will reach NT$14.1bn sales and 25% GM outlook in 1Q22. For 2022, it stars with a good beginning for 5~10% NAND price lifted.

Patrick Liao

ASMP (522.HK): 4Q21 Results/ 1Q22 Outlook- It’s a Record Q1 at the Mid-Point of Guidance.

The ASMP indicated Q1 2022 to be between US$640 million to US$690 million. It’s a record Q1 at the mid-point of guidance.

Patrick Liao

KOSPI/KOSDAQ Quarterly Dividend Stocks: DPS & Yield Estimations

This post lists all 71 interim dividend stocks, of which 9 are quarterly dividend stocks. It then estimates DPS and dividend yield of these 9...

Sanghyun Park

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