Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Merck to establish new advanced materials center in Japan, expanding global presence in innovative materials science field.</li><li>Global smartphones market projected to see growth in 3Q 2024, suggesting sustained demand and continuous innovation in tech sector.</li><li>US government unveils quadrennial supply chain review to enhance national security and boost domestic production, with focus on semiconductor manufacturing.</li></ul>

Merck to establish new advanced materials center in Japan, expanding global presence in innovative materials science field.Global smartphones market projected to see growth in 3Q 2024, suggesting sustained demand and continuous innovation in tech sector.US government unveils quadrennial supply chain review to enhance national security and boost domestic production, with focus on semiconductor manufacturing.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Dec-2024): Merck opens new materials center in Japan.

<ul><li>Apple's Intelligence service is working towards a launch in China, but is facing challenges with integrating Baidu.</li><li>NXP may be investing a significant amount of money in Karnataka, India.</li><li>Intel's interim leadership team is bringing together new ideas and industry experience for a promising future, while South Korea and Japan work to mitigate US export controls on HBM.</li></ul>

Apple's Intelligence service is working towards a launch in China, but is facing challenges with integrating Baidu.NXP may be investing a significant amount of money in Karnataka, India.Intel's interim leadership team is bringing together new ideas and industry experience for a promising future, while South Korea and Japan work to mitigate US export controls on HBM.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Dec-2024): Apple Intelligence targets China despite Baidu challenges

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>Apparently, on news of this new Huawei chip in WSJ, Nvidia’s stock decline -2% yesterday. That’s strange – not new news, the real issue is new US export license requirements.</li>
<li>Nvidia’s problem is not Huawei, but US restrictions on selling GPU to China. Nvidia announced writing off US$5.5bn on 9 April 2025 (for H20). AMD estimates US$800m (for MI308).</li>
<li>Assume that Nvidia and AMD will not sell any AI chips to China. Same for HBM memory.</li>
</ul>


Apparently, on news of this new Huawei chip in WSJ, Nvidia’s stock decline -2% yesterday. That’s strange – not new news, the real issue is new US export license requirements.
Nvidia’s problem is not Huawei, but US restrictions on selling GPU to China. Nvidia announced writing off US$5.5bn on 9 April 2025 (for H20). AMD estimates US$800m (for MI308).
Assume that Nvidia and AMD will not sell any AI chips to China. Same for HBM memory.


Is Huawei New AI Chip Is Bad for Nvidia? New US Export Licensing Is the Real Issue (Part 2)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. </li>
<li>Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.</li>
<li>There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.</li>
</ul>


Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. 
Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.
There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.


Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Daishin Securities

Daishin Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Founded in 1962, Daishin Securities is a leading financial services provider in Korea. Daishin securities does its best to provide high quality financial service and to satisfy the various needs of investors. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>SK hynix delivers strong performance for 3Q24, with revenue of W17.57tn, OP of W7.3tn, and an OPM of 40%</li><li>Portfolio concentrated on high value-added HBM/DDR5/LPDDR5 products, maximizes profitability</li><li>12H HBM3E mass production set to begin in 4Q24, with full-scale supply expansion likely in 2025</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

SK hynix delivers strong performance for 3Q24, with revenue of W17.57tn, OP of W7.3tn, and an OPM of 40%Portfolio concentrated on high value-added HBM/DDR5/LPDDR5 products, maximizes profitability12H HBM3E mass production set to begin in 4Q24, with full-scale supply expansion likely in 2025Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

South Korea

SK Hynix Inc. provides products and services for the electronic components industry. The Company manufactures semiconductors, such as dynamic random access memory (DRAM), NAND flash memory, and static random access memory (SRAM) chips.

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SK Hynix (000660 KS)

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Dec-2024): Merck opens new materials center in Japan.

Merck to build advanced materials center in Japan, global smartphone market to grow in 3Q 2024, US gov't releases supply chain review, SK Hynix...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Dec-2024): Apple Intelligence targets China despite Baidu challenges

Apple's Intelligence service plans China launch but faces hurdles, NXP may invest big in Karnataka, global notebook shipment forecasted for 2025,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Is Huawei New AI Chip Is Bad for Nvidia? New US Export Licensing Is the Real Issue (Part 2)

News of Huawei chip impacts Nvidia stock, but real issue is US export restrictions on selling GPUs to China. Nvidia and AMD facing significant...

Nicolas Baratte

Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Short selling in Korea commences from Monday. There will be a lot of interest in shorting stocks/sectors depending on how they have performed since...

Brian Freitas

SK Hynix - Solely Shining

SK hynix delivers strong performance for 3Q24, with revenue of W17.57tn, OP of W7.3tn, and an OPM of 40%. Portfolio concentrated on high value...

Daishin Securities

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Tech Supply Chain Tracker (21-Dec-2024): Merck opens new materials center in Japan.

Merck to build advanced materials center in Japan, global smartphone market to grow in 3Q 2024, US gov't releases supply chain review, SK Hynix...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (07-Dec-2024): Apple Intelligence targets China despite Baidu challenges

Apple's Intelligence service plans China launch but faces hurdles, NXP may invest big in Karnataka, global notebook shipment forecasted for 2025,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Is Huawei New AI Chip Is Bad for Nvidia? New US Export Licensing Is the Real Issue (Part 2)

​News of Huawei chip impacts Nvidia stock, but real issue is US export restrictions on selling GPUs to China. Nvidia and AMD facing significant...

Nicolas Baratte

Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Short selling in Korea commences from Monday. There will be a lot of interest in shorting stocks/sectors depending on how they have performed since...

Brian Freitas

SK Hynix - Solely Shining

SK hynix delivers strong performance for 3Q24, with revenue of W17.57tn, OP of W7.3tn, and an OPM of 40%. Portfolio concentrated on high value...

Daishin Securities

News of Huawei chip impacts Nvidia stock, but real issue is US export restrictions on selling GPUs to China. Nvidia and AMD facing significant...