Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Celltrion Healthcare   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Here we present a pair trade idea on Korea biotech companies. Investors can accumulate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-healthcare" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23641:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Celltrion Healthcare has a vast portfolio of biosimilars, which have dominant market positioning. The company is expanding geographical presence. US launch of Humira biosimilar is the major upcoming catalyst.</li>
<li>SK Bioscience is a late entrant in the overcrowded COVID-19 vaccine market. The company has temporarily halted production of its COVID-19 vaccine due to falling demand.</li>
</ul>


Here we present a pair trade idea on Korea biotech companies. Investors can accumulate Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS) and short SK Bioscience (302440 KS).
Celltrion Healthcare has a vast portfolio of biosimilars, which have dominant market positioning. The company is expanding geographical presence. US launch of Humira biosimilar is the major upcoming catalyst.
SK Bioscience is a late entrant in the overcrowded COVID-19 vaccine market. The company has temporarily halted production of its COVID-19 vaccine due to falling demand.


Korea Biotech: A Pair Trade Between Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS) And SK Bioscience (302440 KS)

Shinpoong Pharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinpoong-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7296:1" rel="noopener">Shinpoong Pharmaceutical (019170 KS)</a> is re-purposing its existing anti-malarial drug Pyramax as an oral treatment for the COVID-19. The company is conducting phase 3 study in six countries, including Korea.</li>
<li>South Korean oral COVID-19 treatment market is currently dominated by Paxlovid. Other domestic companies are also in race to develop homegrown oral COVID-19 drugs, thereby creating a crowded market.</li>
<li>With declining cases and hospitalizations, Pyramax has muted growth prospect as a treatment for COVID-19. Shinpoong is reporting operating loss due to accelerated R&amp;D expenditures.  </li>
</ul>



Shinpoong Pharmaceutical (019170 KS) is re-purposing its existing anti-malarial drug Pyramax as an oral treatment for the COVID-19. The company is conducting phase 3 study in six countries, including Korea.
South Korean oral COVID-19 treatment market is currently dominated by Paxlovid. Other domestic companies are also in race to develop homegrown oral COVID-19 drugs, thereby creating a crowded market.
With declining cases and hospitalizations, Pyramax has muted growth prospect as a treatment for COVID-19. Shinpoong is reporting operating loss due to accelerated R&amp;D expenditures.  


Shinpoong Pharmaceutical (019170 KS): Late Entry in COVID Drug Market; Legal Overhang Still Persists

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-cross-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2969:1" rel="noopener">Green Cross (006280 KS)</a> is seeing gradual recovery in its base business, with the company’s plasma and vaccine businesses are back to double-digit growth path.</li>
<li>The company is preparing to resubmit marketing application to the FDA for its biologics license application for GC5107, a blood derivative product indicated for the treatment of primary immunodeficiency diseases.</li>
<li>Green Cross shares are trading at a forward P/E of 20.9x, cheaper than peers. Entry into the lucrative U.S. immunoglobulin market will call for multiple expansion of the shares.</li>
</ul>



Green Cross (006280 KS) is seeing gradual recovery in its base business, with the company’s plasma and vaccine businesses are back to double-digit growth path.
The company is preparing to resubmit marketing application to the FDA for its biologics license application for GC5107, a blood derivative product indicated for the treatment of primary immunodeficiency diseases.
Green Cross shares are trading at a forward P/E of 20.9x, cheaper than peers. Entry into the lucrative U.S. immunoglobulin market will call for multiple expansion of the shares.


Green Cross (006280 KS): Strengthening Base Business; US Entry Remains Key Catalyst

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> received approval for Korea’s first locally-developed COVID-19 vaccine, SKYCovione. The company is seeking European approval and plans to apply for emergency use listing to the WHO.</li>
<li>The company is a late entrant in the overcrowded domestic vaccine market. Currently, six vaccines are approved for use in South Korea. Moreover, demand outlook is uncertain beyond 2022.</li>
<li>Recently, the company has dropped a multinational phase 3 trial of P2-VP8, trivalent rotavirus vaccine. Among the non-COVID pipeline, P2-VP8 was in the most advanced stage of clinical trial.</li>
</ul>



SK Bioscience (302440 KS) received approval for Korea’s first locally-developed COVID-19 vaccine, SKYCovione. The company is seeking European approval and plans to apply for emergency use listing to the WHO.
The company is a late entrant in the overcrowded domestic vaccine market. Currently, six vaccines are approved for use in South Korea. Moreover, demand outlook is uncertain beyond 2022.
Recently, the company has dropped a multinational phase 3 trial of P2-VP8, trivalent rotavirus vaccine. Among the non-COVID pipeline, P2-VP8 was in the most advanced stage of clinical trial.


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Murky Outlook On Weak Vaccine Demand And Flooding Supply

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Friday morning, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-discovery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5181:1" rel="noopener">Sk Discovery (006120 KS)</a>, current owner/controller of 36.56% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-chemicals-co-ltd-new" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26190:1" rel="noopener">Sk Chemicals Co Ltd/New (285130 KS)</a> announced an opportunistic Partial Offer to buy 5.22% more at KRW 108,800/share.</li>
<li>The stated purpose in the <a href="https://kind.krx.co.kr/common/disclsviewer.do?method=search&amp;acptno=20220902000019&amp;docno=&amp;viewerhost=&amp;viewerport=" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tender Offer Announcement</a> is "Stability of Management Rights." This will get SK Discovery to 41.77%, permitting consolidation of SK Chemicals.</li>
<li>
<em><strong>The real reason?</strong></em>SK Chemicals shares are trading at less than one-third the value of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> shares they hold (with net cash and others free).</li>
</ul>


On Friday morning, Sk Discovery (006120 KS), current owner/controller of 36.56% of Sk Chemicals Co Ltd/New (285130 KS) announced an opportunistic Partial Offer to buy 5.22% more at KRW 108,800/share.
The stated purpose in the Tender Offer Announcement is "Stability of Management Rights." This will get SK Discovery to 41.77%, permitting consolidation of SK Chemicals.

The real reason?SK Chemicals shares are trading at less than one-third the value of the SK Bioscience (302440 KS) shares they hold (with net cash and others free).


SK Discovery Launches Opportunistic Partial Tender on SK Chemicals To Buy SK Bio CHEAP

South Korea

SK Bioscience Co.,Ltd. operates biopharmaceutical businesses. The Company produces vaccines, sky cellflu prefilled syringes, sky cellflu quadrivalent prefilled syringes, varicella drugs, and other related products. SK Bioscience markets its products throughout South Korea.

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SK Bioscience (302440 KS)

Korea Biotech: A Pair Trade Between Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS) And SK Bioscience (302440 KS)

While strong biosimilar product positioning and new launch will drive the growth of Celltrion Healthcare (long), SK Bioscience (short) will...

Tina Banerjee

Shinpoong Pharmaceutical (019170 KS): Late Entry in COVID Drug Market; Legal Overhang Still Persists

Shinpoong will face competition from already established foreign and domestic oral COVID-19 drugs. Declining new cases are expected to keep the...

Tina Banerjee

Green Cross (006280 KS): Strengthening Base Business; US Entry Remains Key Catalyst

Green Cross’ international revenue from blood products and vaccine recorded double-digit revenue growth in Q2. The company is preparing to resubmit...

Tina Banerjee