HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Over the past few years, Sinopharm's revenue scale has continued to grow, but its gross profit margin declined due to negative policy pressure. Actually, it isn’t a highly profitable business.</li>
<li>As industry leader, Sinopharm will benefit from the increasing industry concentration and further expand market share. The challenge is Sinopharm will face a situation of increasing revenues without increasing profits.</li>
<li>For 2022 forecast, revenue YoY growth could be about 5%-7%. Net profit YoY growth could be below 10%., High valuation expectations cannot be supported considering the future industry trend.</li>
</ul>


Over the past few years, Sinopharm's revenue scale has continued to grow, but its gross profit margin declined due to negative policy pressure. Actually, it isn’t a highly profitable business.
As industry leader, Sinopharm will benefit from the increasing industry concentration and further expand market share. The challenge is Sinopharm will face a situation of increasing revenues without increasing profits.
For 2022 forecast, revenue YoY growth could be about 5%-7%. Net profit YoY growth could be below 10%., High valuation expectations cannot be supported considering the future industry trend.


Sinopharm Group (1099.HK) - Industry Trends Hardly Support High Valuation Expectations

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The rapid spread of monkeypox to different groups of people in different countries has alarmed scientists, governments and health officers, but monkeypox virus is relatively mild in severity and infectivity.</li>
<li>China will bear the pressure of imported cases. But due to China’s zero-covid policy and long-term emergency reserve of smallpox vaccine, there's no need to panic at the current stage.</li>
<li>There're investment opportunities, but it’s difficult for related companies to replicate the growth story of COVID-19 products. The market's reaction to monkeypox is overdone. Investors are recommended to be rational.  </li>
</ul>


The rapid spread of monkeypox to different groups of people in different countries has alarmed scientists, governments and health officers, but monkeypox virus is relatively mild in severity and infectivity.
China will bear the pressure of imported cases. But due to China’s zero-covid policy and long-term emergency reserve of smallpox vaccine, there's no need to panic at the current stage.
There're investment opportunities, but it’s difficult for related companies to replicate the growth story of COVID-19 products. The market's reaction to monkeypox is overdone. Investors are recommended to be rational.  


Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>With its nationwide distribution and delivery network, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinopharm-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32:1" rel="noopener">Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK)</a> remains a beneficiary of increasing adoption of China’s VBP scheme for drug procurement.</li>
<li>Despite decreasing demand for Sinopharm’s COVID-19 vaccine, its pharmaceutical distribution business is expected to remain stable, driven by the steady recovery in China’s healthcare industry.</li>
<li>The company is successfully promoting fast-growing oncology products. Its strategic partnership with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-mab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28384:1" rel="noopener">I-Mab (IMAB US)</a> further strengthens competitive edge, as I-Mab has a robust pipeline for China market.</li>
</ul>


With its nationwide distribution and delivery network, Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK) remains a beneficiary of increasing adoption of China’s VBP scheme for drug procurement.
Despite decreasing demand for Sinopharm’s COVID-19 vaccine, its pharmaceutical distribution business is expected to remain stable, driven by the steady recovery in China’s healthcare industry.
The company is successfully promoting fast-growing oncology products. Its strategic partnership with I-Mab (IMAB US) further strengthens competitive edge, as I-Mab has a robust pipeline for China market.


Sinopharm Group (1099 HK): Stable Pharma Distribution Business Despite Weak Demand for Vaccine

Chief Economist

Diana Choyleva

Enodo Economics

Enodo Economics is an independent macroeconomic forecasting company that untangles complexity, challenges the consensus, and makes sense of the future. Our focus is on China – one of the most misunderstood economies in the world, but one of the most important to figure out.  Enodo’s chief economist, Diana Choyleva, has been analysing China for almost 20 years, while Enodo’s team boasts a combined 140 years’ experience covering China’s economy, politics and markets. 

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The Cyberspace Administration of China set new rules requiring platform companies with data on more than one million users to undergo a security review before listing their shares overseas.</li>
<li>Evergrande, the world’s most indebted developer was last week ordered to demolish 39 buildings of its flagship property project on Ocean Islands, for breaching building approval procedures.</li>
<li>After a spike in Covid cases, China’s tough lockdown of the city of Xi’an has confined 13 million people to their homes and shuttered businesses.</li>
</ul>


The Cyberspace Administration of China set new rules requiring platform companies with data on more than one million users to undergo a security review before listing their shares overseas.
Evergrande, the world’s most indebted developer was last week ordered to demolish 39 buildings of its flagship property project on Ocean Islands, for breaching building approval procedures.
After a spike in Covid cases, China’s tough lockdown of the city of Xi’an has confined 13 million people to their homes and shuttered businesses.


Cybersecurity/ Evergrande/ Covid/ Environment/ Hong Kong

<ul>
<li>Last week, the 14th Five-Year Plan for the medical device industry was released, which is actually China's first state-level industrial development plan for the medical device sector.</li>
<li>The NHSA and State Administration of TCM issued the new guidelines on medical insurance to support the development of TCM from top to bottom, and various measures are being implemented.</li>
<li>The recent rally in TCM sector may not the sustainable, and our view on this sector is conservative.</li>
</ul>


Last week, the 14th Five-Year Plan for the medical device industry was released, which is actually China's first state-level industrial development plan for the medical device sector.
The NHSA and State Administration of TCM issued the new guidelines on medical insurance to support the development of TCM from top to bottom, and various measures are being implemented.
The recent rally in TCM sector may not the sustainable, and our view on this sector is conservative.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.31)-1st State-Level Device Policy,TCM Guideline,TCM Rally Unsustainable

China

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co., Ltd. manufactures, retails, and wholesales a variety of pharmaceuticals including biopharmaceuticals, chemical and Chinese traditional medicines, and healthcare products. The Company also invests in new medicine development and provides related services.

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (2607 HK)

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd. wholesales and retails medicines, pharmaceutical preparations, biological products, and medical instruments.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures antibiotic medicines and biochemical products.

WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc. is a leading open-access R&D capability and technology platform company serving the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries, with operations in China, U.S., and Iceland.  We provide a broad and integrated portfolio of laboratory and manufacturing services throughout the drug and medical device R&D process.  Our services are designed to help our global partners in shortening the cycle and lowering the cost of drug and medical device R&D through cost-effective and efficient solutions. 

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells Chinese patent medicine. The Company also wholesales, retails, imports, and exports Western and Chinese pharmaceutical products and various medical apparatus.

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceu (600332 CH)

Topchoice Medical Investment Corporation provides dental and oral health care services.

China National Medicines Corp. Ltd. wholesales and retails chemical material medicines, western medicine preparations, biochemical medicines, biological products, and Chinese traditional medicines.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures pharmaceuticals including injections, capsules, tablets, and other related products under the CNCM brand name.

Aier Eye Hospital Group Co., Ltd provides ophthalmological services.  The Company's services include ophthalmological diagnosis and treatments.

Tibet Rhodiola Pharmaceutical Holding Co. develops, manufactures, and markets Tibet medicines.  The Company's products include Rhodiola capsules, Rhodiola pellets, and other related medicines.

Shenzhen Neptunus Bioengineering Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets biochemical pharmaceuticals, biological products, traditional Chinese medicines, and healthcare products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures food.

Searainbow Holding Corp., produces chemical fibers and other textile products. The company, through its subsidiaries, also provides medical e-commerce and on-line games.

Ramsay Health Care Ltd. provides health care services. The Company offers private hospital services, including, rehabilitation, psychiatric care, day, and complex surgery. Ramsay Health Care owns, operates, and manages health care facilities throughout Australia, Indonesia, and Europe.

Bumrungrad Hospital Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries,  owns and operates the Bumrungrad Hospital. Located in Bangkok, the Hospital has capacity of international standard medical care with 554 beds for inpatients and approximately 125 clinic examination suites that can serve up to 3,000 outpatients daily.

LHC Group Inc. provides post-acute healthcare services primarily to Medicare beneficiaries in rural markets in the southern United States. The company provides home-based services through home nursing agencies and hospices and facility-based services through long-term acute care hospitals and  outpatient rehabilitation clinics.

Ensign Group, Inc. operates facilities offering nursing and rehabilitative care services in multiple states. The Company provides a broad spectrum of nursing and assisted living services, physical, occupational and speech therapies, and other rehabilitative and healthcare services, for both long-term residents and short-stay rehabilitation patients.

Encompass Health Corporation provides inpatient rehabilitative healthcare services.  The Company operates inpatient rehabilitation hospitals, outpatient and rehabilitation satellites, and home health agencies. Encompass Health provides treatment on both an inpatient and outpatient basis.

HealthEquity, Inc. provides technology-enabled services platforms that allow consumers to make healthcare saving and spending decisions. Consumers can access their tax-advantaged healthcare savings, compare treatment options and pricing, evaluate and pay healthcare bills, receive personalized benefit and clinical information, and earn wellness incentives.

Chemed Corporation operates in the healthcare field through its subsidiary Vitas Healthcare Corporation.  The Company also maintains a presence in the residential and commercial repair-and-maintenance-service industry under the names Roto-Rooter and Service America Network Inc.

Sonic Healthcare Limited is a medical diagnostics company with operations in Australia, New Zealand, and Europe.  The Company provides a comprehensive range of pathology and diagnostic imaging services to medical practitioners, hospitals and their patients along with providing administrative services and facilities to medical practitioners.

Acadia Healthcare Co Ltd operates a network of behavioral health centers. The Company provides psychiatric and chemical dependency services, inpatient psychiatric hospitals, residential treatment centers, outpatient clinics, and therapeutic school based programs across the United States.

Option Care Health, Inc. provides infusion and home care management solutions. The Company offers products, services, and condition-specific clinical management programs for gastrointestinal abnormalities, infectious diseases, cancer, organ and blood cell transplants, bleeding disorders, and heart failures. Option Care Health serves patients in the United States.

Sinopharm Group Co Ltd is a pharmacy distribution company. The Company also owns several pharmacy enterprise groups in different industries such as logistics, retail stores, pharmaceutical manufacturing, and chemical testing.

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Sinopharm Group Co Ltd H (1099 HK)

Sinopharm Group (1099.HK) - Industry Trends Hardly Support High Valuation Expectations

Due to negative policy, this isn’t a highly profitable business. Sinopharm will face a situation of increasing revenues without increasing...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Monkeypox and Its Impact on China

Monkeypox's rapid spread raises concerns. China bears the pressure of imported cases, but it’s difficult to replicate the growth story of COVID-19...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sinopharm Group (1099 HK): Stable Pharma Distribution Business Despite Weak Demand for Vaccine

The company's core business of drug distribution should remain on a stable path driven by the recovery in the broader market post pandemic and...

Tina Banerjee

Cybersecurity/ Evergrande/ Covid/ Environment/ Hong Kong

In my weekly digest, I will give you selected summaries, sourced from a variety of local Chinese-language and international news outlets, and...

Diana Choyleva

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.31)-1st State-Level Device Policy,TCM Guideline,TCM Rally Unsustainable

This insight analyzed the 14th Five-Year Plan for medical device industry, the new guideline on medical insurance to support TCM development, and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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