Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

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Data-Driven Commodity Research

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Commodities

<ul><li>Don’t get fooled by the tight inventory narrative While many copper bulls continue to write about the low copper inventories I would like to inform you once again that there is simply no correlation between copper inventories and the price of the industrial metal.</li><li>If you want to be precise - you could even make the case that excessive lows in the LME copper inventory data actually mark cyclical highs in the price of the brownish metal.</li><li>US Leading Economic Index's recession signal deepens in March, Conference Board reports: “The US LEI fell to its lowest level since November of 2020, consistent with worsening economic conditions ahead,” says CB's senior manager for business cycle indicators.</li></ul>

Don’t get fooled by the tight inventory narrative While many copper bulls continue to write about the low copper inventories I would like to inform you once again that there is simply no correlation between copper inventories and the price of the industrial metal.If you want to be precise - you could even make the case that excessive lows in the LME copper inventory data actually mark cyclical highs in the price of the brownish metal.US Leading Economic Index's recession signal deepens in March, Conference Board reports: “The US LEI fell to its lowest level since November of 2020, consistent with worsening economic conditions ahead,” says CB's senior manager for business cycle indicators.

Don’t Get Fooled by the Tight Inventory Narrative - Economic Situation Continues to Worsen

<ul><li>As the new season commences in April, Brazil is predicted to manufacture 40.3 million tonnes of sugar, marking the second highest yield ever recorded.</li><li>This is primarily due to the favorable climate conditions and the sufficient capitalization of mills, allowing for the proper care of crops.</li><li>As per a report by Job Economia, mills are likely to concentrate on sugar production, reducing ethanol production, since the cost of sugar futures is at its highest in over six years.</li></ul>

As the new season commences in April, Brazil is predicted to manufacture 40.3 million tonnes of sugar, marking the second highest yield ever recorded.This is primarily due to the favorable climate conditions and the sufficient capitalization of mills, allowing for the proper care of crops.As per a report by Job Economia, mills are likely to concentrate on sugar production, reducing ethanol production, since the cost of sugar futures is at its highest in over six years.

Between Chilean Copper Woes & Brazilian Sugar Rush

<ul><li>Oil businesses fear lower prices and a shortage of workers The quarterly Dallas FED Energy survey showed some pretty interesting results.</li><li>First of all, business activity tanked and the uncertainty level of businesses rose.</li><li>The survey also highlighted which price small and large drilling companies need in order to produce oil without a loss.</li></ul>

Oil businesses fear lower prices and a shortage of workers The quarterly Dallas FED Energy survey showed some pretty interesting results.First of all, business activity tanked and the uncertainty level of businesses rose.The survey also highlighted which price small and large drilling companies need in order to produce oil without a loss.

Scary: Oil market business conditions are worsening fast - due to policy mistakes

<ul><li>Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat Goldman Sachs expects a commodities supercycle driven by China and the capital flight from energy markets and investment this month after concerns triggered by the banking sector, the U.S. bank's head of commodities said.</li><li>"Historically, when you have this kind of scarring event, it takes months to get capital back ... We will still get a deficit by June and it will drive oil prices higher."</li><li>Jeff Currie, global head of commodities for Goldman Sachs, told the Financial Times Commodities Global Summit on Tuesday.</li></ul>

Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat Goldman Sachs expects a commodities supercycle driven by China and the capital flight from energy markets and investment this month after concerns triggered by the banking sector, the U.S. bank's head of commodities said."Historically, when you have this kind of scarring event, it takes months to get capital back ... We will still get a deficit by June and it will drive oil prices higher."Jeff Currie, global head of commodities for Goldman Sachs, told the Financial Times Commodities Global Summit on Tuesday.

Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat // Trafigura CFO sees more Volatility ahead

<ul><li>According to S&amp;P Global, the renewable output by the grid operator MISO averaged 333,012 GWh in Q4.</li><li>Despite Bonneville Power Administration's (BPA) renewable output slipping 12% in Q4, it remained the footprint with the most renewable market share at 75.6% of its total fuel mix for Q4.</li><li>The latest ACP data shows that the total installed solar capacity in the US grew by 17% year on year, reaching 74.126 GW in Q4.</li></ul>

According to S&amp;P Global, the renewable output by the grid operator MISO averaged 333,012 GWh in Q4.Despite Bonneville Power Administration's (BPA) renewable output slipping 12% in Q4, it remained the footprint with the most renewable market share at 75.6% of its total fuel mix for Q4.The latest ACP data shows that the total installed solar capacity in the US grew by 17% year on year, reaching 74.126 GW in Q4.

Our Oil Price Analysis // FED is Willing to Break the Market

United States

Silver is the metallic element with the atomic number 47. Its symbol is Ag, from the Latin argentum, derived from the Greek ὰργὀς (literally "shiny" or "white"), and ultimately from a Proto-Indo-European language root reconstructed as *h₂erǵ-, "grey" or "shining". A soft, white, lustrous transition metal, it exhibits the highest electrical conductivity, thermal conductivity, and reflectivity of any metal. The metal is found in the Earth's crust in the pure, free elemental form ("native silver"), as an alloy with gold and other metals, and in minerals such as argentite and chlorargyrite. Most silver is produced as a byproduct of copper, gold, lead, and zinc refining.

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Don’t Get Fooled by the Tight Inventory Narrative - Economic Situation Continues to Worsen

If you want to be precise - you could even make the case that excessive lows in the LME copper inventory data actually mark cyclical highs in the...

The Commodity Report

Between Chilean Copper Woes & Brazilian Sugar Rush

As the new season commences in April, Brazil is predicted to manufacture 40.3 million tonnes of sugar, marking the second highest yield ever recorded.

The Commodity Report

Scary: Oil market business conditions are worsening fast - due to policy mistakes

Oil businesses fear lower prices and a shortage of workers The quarterly Dallas FED Energy survey showed some pretty interesting result.

The Commodity Report

Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat // Trafigura CFO sees more Volatility ahead

Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat Goldman Sachs expects a commodities supercycle driven by China and the capital flight from energy...

The Commodity Report

Our Oil Price Analysis // FED is Willing to Break the Market

Despite Bonneville Power Administration's (BPA) renewable output slipping 12% in Q4, it remained the footprint with the most renewable market share...

The Commodity Report

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