Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Silergy foresees the demand will be larger than capacity in 2022. Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD and others should be showing a strong demand in 2022.</li>
<li>The shipment lead-time is controlled around 5~6 months, which indicated that the demand is strong for 2022~23.</li>
<li>The generation 3rd will be optimized until 2026. Silergy will need some new suppliers for generation 4th in 2023. In 2026, generation 3rd &amp; 4th will dominate Silergy’s revenue. </li>
</ul>


Silergy foresees the demand will be larger than capacity in 2022. Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD and others should be showing a strong demand in 2022.
The shipment lead-time is controlled around 5~6 months, which indicated that the demand is strong for 2022~23.
The generation 3rd will be optimized until 2026. Silergy will need some new suppliers for generation 4th in 2023. In 2026, generation 3rd &amp; 4th will dominate Silergy’s revenue. 


Silergy (6415.TT): Earnings Conference for 4Q21- The Demand Is Strong for 2022~23.

<ul>
<li>The short-term recovery momentum observed in China and consumer markets.</li>
<li>The Gen 3 in 4Q23 accounts for about 50% of the production, expected to increase to around 60-70% in 4Q24F.</li>
<li>Expecting to improve quarter by quarter after reaching the bottom in 1Q24F, and the growth is expected to recover to around 20%+ YoY in 2024F.</li>
</ul>


The short-term recovery momentum observed in China and consumer markets.
The Gen 3 in 4Q23 accounts for about 50% of the production, expected to increase to around 60-70% in 4Q24F.
Expecting to improve quarter by quarter after reaching the bottom in 1Q24F, and the growth is expected to recover to around 20%+ YoY in 2024F.


Silergy (6415.TT): Expecting a Seasonal Decline In 1Q24F, and Likely Another Growth Year in 2024F.

<ul>
<li>Inventory levels were at 90 days by the end of 1Q24, returning to a normal level.   </li>
<li>It is expected to see consecutive QoQ growth throughout 2024, with normal orders observed since 2Q24. </li>
<li>Although Chinese mature technology is advancing, current analog capacity still falls short of local demand in China.</li>
</ul>


Inventory levels were at 90 days by the end of 1Q24, returning to a normal level.   
It is expected to see consecutive QoQ growth throughout 2024, with normal orders observed since 2Q24. 
Although Chinese mature technology is advancing, current analog capacity still falls short of local demand in China.


Silergy (6415.TT): Rebounding from the Bottom in 1Q24, It Will Witness Normal Orders Since 2Q24.

<ul>
<li>The factor of seasonality will be evolved in 1Q24F, but 2Q24F should be picking up most likely.</li>
<li>The Semiconductor cycle shall be reaching the bottom and no more correction, to our expectation.  </li>
<li>The recent changes of Silergy's management didn't affect the reality.  </li>
</ul>


The factor of seasonality will be evolved in 1Q24F, but 2Q24F should be picking up most likely.
The Semiconductor cycle shall be reaching the bottom and no more correction, to our expectation.  
The recent changes of Silergy's management didn't affect the reality.  


Silergy (6415.TT): Nothing Fundamental Changed in Reality; Semiconductor Cycle Shall Be Bottomed Up.

<ul>
<li>A recent news report speculates that Analog Devices (ADI US)  is planning to raise prices by ~20%.</li>
<li>Silergy Corp (6415 TT) is reportedly considering a price increase of over 15% in the Chinese market.</li>
<li>We believe that now is a good time to invest in Silergy.</li>
</ul>


A recent news report speculates that Analog Devices (ADI US)  is planning to raise prices by ~20%.
Silergy Corp (6415 TT) is reportedly considering a price increase of over 15% in the Chinese market.
We believe that now is a good time to invest in Silergy.


Silergy (6415.TT): Chinese Analog IC Could Raise up Prices by About 15%.

China

Silergy Corp designs and manufactures a broad range of high performance analog integrated circuits.  The Company's products include single output step down regulators, dual output regulators, single output step by step regulators, power management ICs, step up LED backlight regulator, AC-DC LED lighting controller, DC input LED lighting drivers, LDO regulators, and protection switch

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Silergy Corp (6415 TT)

Silergy (6415.TT): Earnings Conference for 4Q21- The Demand Is Strong for 2022~23.

Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD should be showing a strong demand in 2022. The shipment lead-time is controlled at around 5~6 months,...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Expecting a Seasonal Decline In 1Q24F, and Likely Another Growth Year in 2024F.

The first annual profit was turnaround in 4Q23. It's recovery momentum in China and consumer markets now. The growth is expected to recover to 20%+...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Rebounding from the Bottom in 1Q24, It Will Witness Normal Orders Since 2Q24.

General Motors sees strong financial performance in Q1 2024, with inventory levels returning to normal and expected growth throughout the year...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Nothing Fundamental Changed in Reality; Semiconductor Cycle Shall Be Bottomed Up.

The semiconductor cycle is expected to reach the bottom with seasonality evolving in 1Q24F, but a pickup is likely in 2Q24F. Changes in Silergy's...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Chinese Analog IC Could Raise up Prices by About 15%.

Analog Devices may raise prices by 20% while Silergy Corp considers a 15% increase in China. Investing in Silergy seems favorable.

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Silergy (6415.TT): Earnings Conference for 4Q21- The Demand Is Strong for 2022~23.

Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD should be showing a strong demand in 2022. The shipment lead-time is controlled at around 5~6 months,...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Expecting a Seasonal Decline In 1Q24F, and Likely Another Growth Year in 2024F.

The first annual profit was turnaround in 4Q23. It's recovery momentum in China and consumer markets now. The growth is expected to recover to 20%+...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Rebounding from the Bottom in 1Q24, It Will Witness Normal Orders Since 2Q24.

​General Motors sees strong financial performance in Q1 2024, with inventory levels returning to normal and expected growth throughout the year...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Nothing Fundamental Changed in Reality; Semiconductor Cycle Shall Be Bottomed Up.

​The semiconductor cycle is expected to reach the bottom with seasonality evolving in 1Q24F, but a pickup is likely in 2Q24F. Changes in Silergy's...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Chinese Analog IC Could Raise up Prices by About 15%.

​Analog Devices may raise prices by 20% while Silergy Corp considers a 15% increase in China. Investing in Silergy seems favorable.

Patrick Liao

General Motors sees strong financial performance in Q1 2024, with inventory levels returning to normal and expected growth throughout the year...

The semiconductor cycle is expected to reach the bottom with seasonality evolving in 1Q24F, but a pickup is likely in 2Q24F. Changes in Silergy's...

Analog Devices may raise prices by 20% while Silergy Corp considers a 15% increase in China. Investing in Silergy seems favorable.