Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p class="p1">A shrinking work week and lackluster hourly wage growth amid higher inflation could be pinching consumers.</p><p class="p1">A weak consumption report for February and huge downward revisions to the January consumption growth rates indicate that some of last week's caution may have been warranted.  Soft auto data at the end of the week indicated that consumption growth may not accelerate in March.</p><p class="p1">The two other big pieces of data last week were the U.S. employment report, which was slightly better than expected, and purchasing data from around the world that came in better than hoped, with forward-looking data on new orders driving the composite index sharply higher, especially in the United States.</p><p class="p1"><em>Analysts: Robert Johnson &amp; Alina Tarlea</em></p>

A shrinking work week and lackluster hourly wage growth amid higher inflation could be pinching consumers.A weak consumption report for February and huge downward revisions to the January consumption growth rates indicate that some of last week's caution may have been warranted.  Soft auto data at the end of the week indicated that consumption growth may not accelerate in March.The two other big pieces of data last week were the U.S. employment report, which was slightly better than expected, and purchasing data from around the world that came in better than hoped, with forward-looking data on new orders driving the composite index sharply higher, especially in the United States.Analysts: Robert Johnson &amp; Alina Tarlea

<p class="p1">Core inflation may be heating up as the Fed is putting too much confidence in low energy prices.</p><p class="p1">Most of the Fed's economic forecasts were little changed. It is expecting lower energy inflation, which it seems to believe will take off some of the pressure to raise interest rates sooner.</p><p class="p1">However, this week's detailed inflation data grew more worrisome even as the headline report for February showed a seemingly tame deflation rate of 0.2%, driven almost entirely by falling energy prices, which are already rising again in March....</p><p class="p1"><em>Analysts: Robert Johnson &amp; Roland Czerniawski</em></p>

Core inflation may be heating up as the Fed is putting too much confidence in low energy prices.Most of the Fed's economic forecasts were little changed. It is expecting lower energy inflation, which it seems to believe will take off some of the pressure to raise interest rates sooner.However, this week's detailed inflation data grew more worrisome even as the headline report for February showed a seemingly tame deflation rate of 0.2%, driven almost entirely by falling energy prices, which are already rising again in March....Analysts: Robert Johnson &amp; Roland Czerniawski

Did the Fed Forget to Look at the February Inflation Report?

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

<p>Short answer: We get more Larry Summers editorials.</p><p>Long answer…</p><p>Larry Summers, a key accidental architect of Wall Street’s GFC of 2008-09 and neo-Keynesian piece of work, wants to do away with the $100 bill based on evidence most big bills are used for criminal purposes.</p><p>Citing work by Harvard colleagues from <a href="http://www.hks.harvard.edu/centers/mrcbg/publications/awp/awp52" target="_blank"> Harvard Study</a>, Summers is fully armed, failing of course to realize that criminals were around before him and will continue to launder money for a long time to come, even if they have to do…</p>

Short answer: We get more Larry Summers editorials.Long answer…Larry Summers, a key accidental architect of Wall Street’s GFC of 2008-09 and neo-Keynesian piece of work, wants to do away with the $100 bill based on evidence most big bills are used for criminal purposes.Citing work by Harvard colleagues from  Harvard Study, Summers is fully armed, failing of course to realize that criminals were around before him and will continue to launder money for a long time to come, even if they have to do…

Keynesian Brain Twister: What Happens When We Get Inflation & Negative Rates?

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

<p>In the wake of what looks to be the second most deadly terror attack since 9/11 (the first being the horror that was Beslan), we look at the&nbsp;local and regional ramifications.&nbsp;<br/><br/>It does not make for cheerful reading as the terrorist threat continues to evolve and extend its tendrils, with a&nbsp;nuanced response needed. Egyptians are working hard and I hope they pull through.<br/><br/>This also highlights the severe geopolitical risk in the region, which I believe is the highest in a decade, even as OPEC spare capacity is at 08 lows.</p>

In the wake of what looks to be the second most deadly terror attack since 9/11 (the first being the horror that was Beslan), we look at the&nbsp;local and regional ramifications.&nbsp;  It does not make for cheerful reading as the terrorist threat continues to evolve and extend its tendrils, with a&nbsp;nuanced response needed. Egyptians are working hard and I hope they pull through.  This also highlights the severe geopolitical risk in the region, which I believe is the highest in a decade, even as OPEC spare capacity is at 08 lows.

<div>Below are some thoughts on the current situation in Turkey re: the Kurdish flare up, the likely outcome of which will be an AKP majority government. Not all kurds are the same and ISIS is succeeding in its tactics of neutering one of the more effective forces against it, although the YPG &amp; Peshmerga will remain.</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Egypt is now at a crucial point in its development, with real risks of repeating the mistakes of Algeria in the 90s civil war.&nbsp;</div><div>&nbsp;</div><div>Further escalation may well mark a great opportunity for investment however as the underlying economy, ex-tourism, will continue to hum along with the real victim of all this being civil society.&nbsp;</div>

Below are some thoughts on the current situation in Turkey re: the Kurdish flare up, the likely outcome of which will be an AKP majority government. Not all kurds are the same and ISIS is succeeding in its tactics of neutering one of the more effective forces against it, although the YPG &amp; Peshmerga will remain.&nbsp;Egypt is now at a crucial point in its development, with real risks of repeating the mistakes of Algeria in the 90s civil war.&nbsp;&nbsp;Further escalation may well mark a great opportunity for investment however as the underlying economy, ex-tourism, will continue to hum along with the real victim of all this being civil society.&nbsp;

A Kurdish conundrum & Egypt faces the ghosts of Algeria

United States

Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company of Jersey Shore State Bank. The Company provides a variety of commercial and consumer banking services to individual, business, public, and institutional customers.  Penns Woods operates a network of offices in north central Pennsylvania.

First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. is a full-service bank.  The bank accepts deposits, makes loans and provides other services for the public.

Investar Holding Corporation is a bank holding company owning or controlling one or more banks. The Company, through subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products. Invest Holding offers its services to individuals and small to medium sized businesses located in Louisiana.

C&F Financial Corporation, through its wholly-owned subsidiary Citizens and Farmers Bank, offers general banking services to individuals, professionals, and small businesses. The Banks originate and sell residential mortgages, and also offer trust, brokerage, and title insurance services. C&F operates in the area between Williamsburg and Richmond, Virginia.

The Community Financial Corporation serves as the holding company of Community Bank of Tri-County.  The Bank conducts full service commercial banking operations throughout the southern Maryland area.  The primary financial services provided include mortgage loans on residential, construction and commercial real estate and various types of consumer lending.

Meridian Bank of Malvern, Pennsylvania operates as a bank. The Bank offers deposit accounts, credit products, real estate financing, residential mortgages, investment and wealth management, and electronic payments processing services. Meridian Bank serves customers in the State of Pennsylvania.

Ames National Corporation is a multi-bank holding corporation.  The Banks offer commercial banking, personal banking, agricultural lending and deposit account services along with trust services and Internet banking services.  Ames affiliates have locations throughout the state of Iowa.

National Bankshares, Inc. is a holding company for the National Bank of Blacksburg.  The Bank attracts deposits from the general public and use these funds to originate commercial, real estate, and consumer loans.  National Bankshares operates in Montgomery, Giles, Carroll,Tazewell, and Grayson counties in Virginia, and Mercer county West Virginia.

Bankwell Financial Group Inc. operates a regional bank in Connecticut. The Bank provides banking and other financial services to private individuals and local businesses. Bankwell Financial also offers credits and loans, as well as electronic banking and online banking services.

Provident Bancorp, Inc. of Maryland provides banking services. The Company offers commercial and small business lending, working capital loans, export credit insurance loans, term financing, and depository services. Provident Bancorp operates in the United States.

PT Bank QNB Indonesia Tbk operates a commercial bank. The Company acquires deposits from the general public and uses those funds to originate a variety of loans.

PT Bank Bumi Arta Tbk provides commercial banking services.

Dhanlaxmi Bank Ltd. accepts deposits and offers commercial banking services. The bank offers personal loans; loans collateralized against future rent income, gold and bonds; home appliance financing loans; agricultural assistance loans; import - export assistance loans; and industrial and trade advance loans.

PT Bank Panin Syariah tbk. provides Islamic banking services. The Bank offers conventional banking services such as savings account, credit cards, financing, and investment services as well as full Islamic banking services in compliance with Shariah law. Bank Panin Syariah serves businesses and personal clients throughout Indonesia.

Public Financial Holdings Ltd, through its subsidiaries, operates in the deposit taking, personal and commercial lending, credit card, mortgage financing, stockbroking, and property investment businesses.  The Company also provides financing to purchasers of taxis and public light buses, leases taxis, and trades taxi cabs and taxi licenses.

PT Bank MNC Internasional TBK, also known as MNC Bank, provides an integrated banking products and services to both corporate and consumer markets. The Bank focuses on consumer and retail banking, including credit card, remittance, cash management, payrolls and many others. MNC Bank is supported by branch & cash offices, payment points & automated teller machines (ATMs) throughout Indonesia.

Bank Of Taipei was founded in 2007. The Company's line of business includes the operation of commercial banks.

The Kita-Nippon Bank, Ltd. is a regional bank based in Tohoku area.  The Bank provides banking services such as deposits, loans, and foreign exchange transactions.  The Kita-Nippon Bank also provides financial services such as leasing, credit cards, and letter of credit, and develops computer software.

PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk provides commercial banking services.

The Shimizu Bank, Ltd. is a regional bank based in Shizuoka Prefecture. The Bank provides banking services such as deposits, loans, foreign exchange transactions, and securities investments. The Shimizu Bank provides financial services such as leasing, letter of credit, credit cards, and factoring services, develops computer software.

Signature Bank is a full service commercial bank that serves privately owned business clients and their owners and senior managers. The Bank offers business and personal banking products and services as well as investment, brokerage, asset management and insurance products through its subsidiary, Signature Securities Group Corp.

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Signature Bank (SBNY US)

Slower Income Growth Lurking

A shrinking work week and lackluster hourly wage growth amid higher inflation could be pinching consumers.A weak consumption report for February...

Morningstar, Inc.

Did the Fed Forget to Look at the February Inflation Report?

Core inflation may be heating up as the Fed is putting too much confidence in low energy prices.Most of the Fed's economic forecasts were little...

Morningstar, Inc.

Keynesian Brain Twister: What Happens When We Get Inflation & Negative Rates?

Short answer: We get more Larry Summers editorials.Long answer…Larry Summers, a key accidental architect of Wall Street’s GFC of 2008-09 and...

Charles De Trenck

Egypt on the brink

In the wake of what looks to be the second most deadly terror attack since 9/11 (the first being the horror that was Beslan), we look at the local...

Emad Mostaque

A Kurdish conundrum & Egypt faces the ghosts of Algeria

Below are some thoughts on the current situation in Turkey re: the Kurdish flare up, the likely outcome of which will be an AKP majority...

Emad Mostaque

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