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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>India’s long-awaited Capex cycle finally seems to be gathering momentum, after a hiatus of 10 years</li><li>While there were false starts in the last decade, we believe the recent post-COVID pick-up is looking sustainable and drivers are in place for multi-year growth</li><li>In this report, we have done a detailed bottom-up analysis of (a) 1,700+ government projects that are under implementation (explaining &gt;60% of total government Capex of FY22) and (b) Capex plans of top 400+ private sector companies to better understand the drivers and likely shape of the Capex demand curve</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

India’s long-awaited Capex cycle finally seems to be gathering momentum, after a hiatus of 10 yearsWhile there were false starts in the last decade, we believe the recent post-COVID pick-up is looking sustainable and drivers are in place for multi-year growthIn this report, we have done a detailed bottom-up analysis of (a) 1,700+ government projects that are under implementation (explaining &gt;60% of total government Capex of FY22) and (b) Capex plans of top 400+ private sector companies to better understand the drivers and likely shape of the Capex demand curveContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Strategy - Capex: On a Sustainable Upswing

<ul><li>Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered Q3FY22 revenue/EBITDA/PAT of INR 39/3.8/3bn, beating/(missing) our estimate by 15/(10)/(3)%</li><li>The effect of the supply chain disruption and high inflation was visible with gross margin contracting 100/15bps YoY/QoQ</li><li>Higher-than-expected other expenses (219/344bps expansion YoY/QoQ) led to an EBITDA margin miss (9.7%, sequential contraction of 270bps, vs estimate of 12.3%)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered Q3FY22 revenue/EBITDA/PAT of INR 39/3.8/3bn, beating/(missing) our estimate by 15/(10)/(3)%The effect of the supply chain disruption and high inflation was visible with gross margin contracting 100/15bps YoY/QoQHigher-than-expected other expenses (219/344bps expansion YoY/QoQ) led to an EBITDA margin miss (9.7%, sequential contraction of 270bps, vs estimate of 12.3%)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Siemens, Godrej Properties

<ul><li>Q1 starts on a good note for infrastructure; competitive intensity cools off, commodities correct: In Q1FY23, NHAI awarded ten projects, of which, nine were HAM projects worth INR 98.1bn and one was an EPC project worth INR 7.7bn</li><li>Capital goods sector to benefit from reviving private Capex and realignment of global supply chains; strong case for PE multiple expansion</li><li>Earnings trend YoY/QoQ: We expect EPC/infra universe revenue/EBITDA/PAT to degrow 11.5/6.9/26.5% sequentially and grow 15.7/4.1/10.9% YoY, with EBITDA margin expanding by 72/(163)bps QoQ/YoY.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Q1 starts on a good note for infrastructure; competitive intensity cools off, commodities correct: In Q1FY23, NHAI awarded ten projects, of which, nine were HAM projects worth INR 98.1bn and one was an EPC project worth INR 7.7bnCapital goods sector to benefit from reviving private Capex and realignment of global supply chains; strong case for PE multiple expansionEarnings trend YoY/QoQ: We expect EPC/infra universe revenue/EBITDA/PAT to degrow 11.5/6.9/26.5% sequentially and grow 15.7/4.1/10.9% YoY, with EBITDA margin expanding by 72/(163)bps QoQ/YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><ul><li>Q2FY22 highlights: Revenue: INR 36.3bn (+8.2%/+12% YoY/QoQ, 8.3% miss) driven largely by the digital industries (DI), energy (SE), mobility (MO) and smart infra (SI).</li></ul><div><div><div><ul><li>All segments other than mobility recorded sequential growth with SE/ SI/DI/portfolio companies/others recording sequential growth of 9.8%/21%/- 10%/11%/18%80% respectively.</li><li>EBITDA: INR 4.5bn (+0.9%/+34.2% YoY/QoQ, 0.6% miss). <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">EBITDA margin: 12.3%(-88/+203bps YoY/QoQ) vs. estimate of 11.3%.</span></li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Q2FY22 highlights: Revenue: INR 36.3bn (+8.2%/+12% YoY/QoQ, 8.3% miss) driven largely by the digital industries (DI), energy (SE), mobility (MO) and smart infra (SI).All segments other than mobility recorded sequential growth with SE/ SI/DI/portfolio companies/others recording sequential growth of 9.8%/21%/- 10%/11%/18%80% respectively.EBITDA: INR 4.5bn (+0.9%/+34.2% YoY/QoQ, 0.6% miss). EBITDA margin: 12.3%(-88/+203bps YoY/QoQ) vs. estimate of 11.3%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>SIL delivered revenue/EBITDA/APAT beat of 12/(6)/(0.2)%. Higher commodity prices and logistics costs resulted in EBITDA margin miss</li>
<li>Digitalisation is accelerating, which, along with product orders and higher share of private sector in the mix, will help margins re-rate</li>
<li>We maintain REDUCE on SIL but increase TP to INR 2,035/sh (from INR 2,019/sh earlier)</li>
</ul>
<div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>


SIL delivered revenue/EBITDA/APAT beat of 12/(6)/(0.2)%. Higher commodity prices and logistics costs resulted in EBITDA margin miss
Digitalisation is accelerating, which, along with product orders and higher share of private sector in the mix, will help margins re-rate
We maintain REDUCE on SIL but increase TP to INR 2,035/sh (from INR 2,019/sh earlier)

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Siemens Ltd. has its operations in various areas: in the transportation sector it delivers high speed trains, in the lighting sector it manufactures small light bulbs. In the healthcare sector Siemens executes complete solutions for hospitals, for the industry sector it builds airports as well as produces contracts & for the communication segment it provides public network to mobiles.

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Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN)

India Equity Strategy - Capex: On a Sustainable Upswing

While there were false starts in the last decade, we believe the recent post-COVID pick-up is looking sustainable and drivers are in place for...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Siemens, Godrej Properties

Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered Q3FY22 revenue/EBITDA/PAT of INR 39/3.8/3bn, beating/(missing) our estimate by 15/(10)/(3)%

HDFC Securities

Industrials - Bracing for Recovery

In Q1FY23, NHAI awarded ten projects, of which, nine were HAM projects worth INR 98.1bn and one was an EPC project worth INR 7.7bn.

HDFC Securities

Siemens - Robust Topline Growth

Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered Q2FY22 revenue/EBITDA of INR 36.3/4.5bn (8.3%/0.6% miss), impacted marginally by COVID-19 and supply chain...

HDFC Securities

Siemens: In-Line Performance

We maintain REDUCE on SIL but increase TP to INR 2,035/sh (from INR 2,019/sh earlier). We believe that the current punchy valuation limits any...

HDFC Securities

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