Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.</li>
<li>After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.
After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladhar

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Prabhudas Lilladher is one of India's leading research based financial services organisation.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onSiemens We revise our SY24/25E EPS estimates by +7.1%/13.4% factoring in robust intake &amp; execution and much better profitability.</li><li>Siemens (SIEM) reported healthy revenue growth of 18.4% YoY and EBITDA margin expansion of 249bps YoY.</li><li>The board approved demerger of Energy business into a separate listed entity, which will unlock value in both entities by allowing each to focus on its respective market &amp; core portfolio.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onSiemens We revise our SY24/25E EPS estimates by +7.1%/13.4% factoring in robust intake &amp; execution and much better profitability.Siemens (SIEM) reported healthy revenue growth of 18.4% YoY and EBITDA margin expansion of 249bps YoY.The board approved demerger of Energy business into a separate listed entity, which will unlock value in both entities by allowing each to focus on its respective market &amp; core portfolio.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Siemens (SIEM IN) - Strong Q2; Long-Term Outlook Remains Robust

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities</li><li>So far in FY25, the benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 have delivered remarkable returns of 9%, 18% and 23% respectively</li><li>These performances follow massive returns of 29%,60% and 70% respectively generated by these indices in FY24</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilitiesSo far in FY25, the benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 have delivered remarkable returns of 9%, 18% and 23% respectivelyThese performances follow massive returns of 29%,60% and 70% respectively generated by these indices in FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

<ul><li>Budget a big signalling event, though we expect investment continuity: In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries</li><li>As the final FY25 union budget gets tabled in Jul-24, we expect continued investment in these segments</li><li>Whilst questions have emerged on cut in capex with the expectation of some allocation moving towards social infra, we believe that allocation may remain similar or marginally increase to high single-digit YoY growth</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Budget a big signalling event, though we expect investment continuity: In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiariesAs the final FY25 union budget gets tabled in Jul-24, we expect continued investment in these segmentsWhilst questions have emerged on cut in capex with the expectation of some allocation moving towards social infra, we believe that allocation may remain similar or marginally increase to high single-digit YoY growthContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>In Real-time market (RTM) Power volumes surged by 20% in June, reflecting the need for immediate power delivery during sudden high-demand periods.</li>
<li>Indian Govt has extended the blending period of imported coal to Jun-24 to meet the rising demand. </li>
<li>Rising Power demand will create a lot more opportunity across value chain including transformers, cables, smart meters etc.</li>
</ul>


In Real-time market (RTM) Power volumes surged by 20% in June, reflecting the need for immediate power delivery during sudden high-demand periods.
Indian Govt has extended the blending period of imported coal to Jun-24 to meet the rising demand. 
Rising Power demand will create a lot more opportunity across value chain including transformers, cables, smart meters etc.


Thematic Report- Indian Power at Peak: Value Chain Stocks

India

Apar Industries Ltd. manufactures aluminum conductors for power transmission. The Company also manufactures polymers, synthetic rubbers, latexes, transformer oils, pharmaceutical oils and other specialty oils.

Nava Bharat Ventures Limited manufactures ferro alloys which are utilized by the steel industry. The Company also generates & distributes power and manufactures sugar.

Balmer Lawrie & Company Ltd. operates in a diverse range of business areas as a manufacturer and service provider.  The Company produces industrial packaging products, greases and lubricants, performance chemicals and marine freight containers.  Services include tea exporting and trading, project engineering and consultancy and travel, tours and cargo.

Balmer Lawrie Investments Ltd., through subsidiaries, manufactures lubricating greases and lube barrels, exports tea, and operates travel and shipping businesses.

Jaiprakash Associates Ltd. is an industrial conglomerate.  The Company's lines of business include engineering and construction, cement, power, hospitality, real estate, and expressways and highways.

Adani Enterprises Limited is an international trading house that operates from offices in India as well as other countries. The Company is involved in coal mining, cargo handling and power generation.  Adani also trades in a large number of products including textiles, energy, metals and agricultural products.

Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited manufactures power plant equipment. The Company's products include gas turbines, generators, thermal sets, diesel shunters, turbo sets, hydro sets, power transformers, switch gears, circuit breakers and boilers. The Company also manufactures compressors, valves, rectifiers, pumps, capacitors, oil rigs, as well as castings and forgings.

CG Power and Industrial Solutions Limited manufactures, distributes, installs and services electrical and allied equipment. The Company offers transformers, reactors, switchgear control equipment and accessories, industrial motors, pumps, and communication systems. CG Power and Industrial Solutions serves customers globally. 

Bharat Electronics Ltd. manufactures electronic communication equipment, night vision equipment such as image converter tubes, night vision binoculars, and goggles, periscopes, gunsights and tank electronics.  The Company's electronic communication products include HF/VHF transmitters, receivers, microwave radio relays, radars and other electronic components required by defense services.

Cummins India Limited manufactures internal combustion engines, including diesel, reciprocating piston, gas turbine and gasoline engines. The Company also manufactures generating sets and public transport-type passenger motor vehicles, including luxury coaches and air-field buses.  In addition, Cummins India Ltd. operates a computerized and fully-equipped research and development facility.

CK Hutchison Holdings Limited holds all of the non-property businesses of the Cheung Kong Group and the Hutchison Group, including ports and related services, telecommunications, retail, infrastructure, energy, and movable assets leasing operations.

Samsung C&T Corporation conducts diversified business support services and resort operation activities. The Company offers a range of services in areas including clothing retail, construction, energy, real estate, food service, and resort accommodations. Samsung C&T also operates a resort with amusement rides, a zoo, water park, golf clubs, and restaurants.

Toshiba Corporation manufactures and markets electrical and electronic products. The Company's products include digital products such as PCs and televisions, NAND flash memories, and system LSIs (large-scale integrated), as well as social infrastructures such as power generators, medical equipment, and home appliances.

Carlisle Companies Incorporated manufactures and distributes construction materials, transportation products, and general industry products.  The Company manufactures a variety of products for the roofing, real estate, construction, trucking, food-service, aircraft manufacturing, lawn and garden, and other industries.

Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited is a multinational enterprise with a portfolio of businesses focused on the Asia-Pacific region. The Group's activities include financial services, supermarkets, consumer marketing, engineering and construction, automobile trading, insurance broking, property investment, and hotels.

SM Investments Corporation is an investment holding company. The Company operates retail business and develops shopping mall and other real estate property.  The Company also provides tourism services.

CITIC Limited operates in a range of business activities including financial services, resources and energy, manufacturing, real estate and infrastructure, engineering contracting and other businesses in China and overseas.

Koninklijke Philips NV is a health technology company focused on improving people's health across the health continuum from healthy living and prevention, to diagnosis, treatment, and home care. The Company offers products and services in diagnostic imaging, image-guided therapy, patient monitoring and health informatics, as well as in consumer health and home care.

Rheinmetall AG is an automotive, electronics, defense, and engineering group. The Company produces automotive pumps and components to supply air, reduce emissions, and supply fuel, pistons for gasoline and diesel vehicle and stationary engines, bearings for engines and other applications and aluminum engine blocks, and offers aftermarket service to engine repair shops.

Lifco AB operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides dental products, machinery and tools, sawmill equipment, contract manufacturing, vehicle interiors, and environmental technology. Lifco offers its products through a network of subsidiaries and partnerships worldwide.

Siemens Ltd. has its operations in various areas: in the transportation sector it delivers high speed trains, in the lighting sector it manufactures small light bulbs. In the healthcare sector Siemens executes complete solutions for hospitals, for the industry sector it builds airports as well as produces contracts & for the communication segment it provides public network to mobiles.

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Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Siemens (SIEM IN) - Strong Q2; Long-Term Outlook Remains Robust

Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onSiemens We revise our SY24/25E EPS estimates by +7.1%/13.4% factoring in robust intake & execution and much...

Prabhudas Lilladhar

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report- Indian Power at Peak: Value Chain Stocks

Real-time market power volumes surged by 20% in June, highlighting the need for immediate power delivery. This is creating opportunities across...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Siemens (SIEM IN) - Strong Q2; Long-Term Outlook Remains Robust

Prabhudas Lilladher's research report onSiemens We revise our SY24/25E EPS estimates by +7.1%/13.4% factoring in robust intake & execution and much...

Prabhudas Lilladhar

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q1FY25 Results Preview): All eyes on the budget

In the interim FY25 union budget, allocation towards capex saw an increase of 7% YoY, with Roads, Railways, Defence and Water as key beneficiaries

HDFC Securities

Thematic Report- Indian Power at Peak: Value Chain Stocks

​Real-time market power volumes surged by 20% in June, highlighting the need for immediate power delivery. This is creating opportunities across...

Nimish Maheshwari

Real-time market power volumes surged by 20% in June, highlighting the need for immediate power delivery. This is creating opportunities across...