Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Our March risk on rally cycle remains intact but maturing with a concentration in our copper/energy theme. Emerging markets are our perform bet with Europe the underperform (Germany is the weakest within Europe and the market to short on March strength).Euro moving into 1.13-1.15 macro sell range. AUD/JPY risk on/off turn at 88 barrier. AUD touted to 0.76-78 on bullish on bullish copper. CAD short slice at 1.3250 and will add in the 1.31 range.Asian FX seeking out chart lows for a USD bottom. USD/KRW is the ST USD short. Still like INR to break trendline support. THB and MYR near viable chart supports.EEM on track to push to 34.50 target where we are shorting. Brazil 52k and Turkey 81k are levels to short and to align with EEM top.Asia longs: India, H shares and copper/energy theme.Asia shorts: Thailand average at 1,360. Malaysia 1,700 short. Next in line is to short Sing banks (DBS near 16). Shanghai flat pattern implies weak structure if it sticks this week.S&amp;P push in line with transports 8,000, DJI 17,650 and NDX 4,450 high targets. Sector volumes are weak on this rise warning of weaker sectors leading a cycle turn. We review counter risk measure rally/turn targets as bond yields spike.Eurostoxx 50 3,150/200 is key resistance to cap the March rally for months to come. Germany is the market to short.Cycle dates – March 23rd is when our DM cycles start to turn more bearish with weaker EM’s expected to follow as EM copper linked plays peaking in early April. June is our macro cycle low target.

Our March risk on rally cycle remains intact but maturing with a concentration in our copper/energy theme. Emerging markets are our perform bet with Europe the underperform (Germany is the weakest within Europe and the market to short on March strength).Euro moving into 1.13-1.15 macro sell range. AUD/JPY risk on/off turn at 88 barrier. AUD touted to 0.76-78 on bullish on bullish copper. CAD short slice at 1.3250 and will add in the 1.31 range.Asian FX seeking out chart lows for a USD bottom. USD/KRW is the ST USD short. Still like INR to break trendline support. THB and MYR near viable chart supports.EEM on track to push to 34.50 target where we are shorting. Brazil 52k and Turkey 81k are levels to short and to align with EEM top.Asia longs: India, H shares and copper/energy theme.Asia shorts: Thailand average at 1,360. Malaysia 1,700 short. Next in line is to short Sing banks (DBS near 16). Shanghai flat pattern implies weak structure if it sticks this week.S&amp;P push in line with transports 8,000, DJI 17,650 and NDX 4,450 high targets. Sector volumes are weak on this rise warning of weaker sectors leading a cycle turn. We review counter risk measure rally/turn targets as bond yields spike.Eurostoxx 50 3,150/200 is key resistance to cap the March rally for months to come. Germany is the market to short.Cycle dates – March 23rd is when our DM cycles start to turn more bearish with weaker EM’s expected to follow as EM copper linked plays peaking in early April. June is our macro cycle low target.

Europe was our long over the US but we locked in Eurostoxx 50 gains Friday but kept our bank long. We locked in Nikkei gains as well.USD – SPX correlation implies the Euro is rising in anticipation of an S&amp;P top. A stronger Euro will sap strength from European equities.We squared long dollar positions on March 1-2 to lock in gains (GBP and KRW), took a 1% loss in the AUD. SGD hit our 1.3980 trailing stop (1.39 SGD short).Delve into Euro/GBP topping process and the LT Euro bias toward sub parity. AUD, copper and oil bull positioning our core theme in coming weeks.Emerging markets are out performing given the weaker dollar call and strong metals/energy bias which is our March risk on focus. We see more strength in this play into late March while DM’s will peak mid-March. Our base called for a risk on cycle from February 11 into March. April may very well see a sideways grind before the next major down leg into the summer months where we see a major buying opportunity.EEM is cruising past our 32 target amid a weaker USD and fear of missing an EM rise. Our theme has been to buy energy and materials plays on the back of WTI’s move above 34 and copper’s explosive breakout above 214 targeting 238 (then the EM rally will be complete). Copper’s move above 214 was the game changer and why we placed so much importance on that level.Asia longs: Sold Nikkei at 17,000 for a 7% gain. Buy Japan energy and steel sectors on a dip. Long India banks (up a nice 13.50%). Long energy/materials theme (BHP, FCX). Buying H shares on a dip. Copper rally is bullish for China/HK. Taiwan add support at 8,400. Indonesia rally from buy support at 4,650 targets 4,950. Korea buy support at 236-237.Asia shorts: Thailand at 1,340 and looking to add. Will re short Malaysia once the MYR hits 4.05.Cycle – March 8th is a slated turn date for gold and equities but may be part of a bigger equity topping sequence that unfolds into mid-March with EM’s and commodity themes running higher into April (which represents a bigger turn cycle).

Europe was our long over the US but we locked in Eurostoxx 50 gains Friday but kept our bank long. We locked in Nikkei gains as well.USD – SPX correlation implies the Euro is rising in anticipation of an S&amp;P top. A stronger Euro will sap strength from European equities.We squared long dollar positions on March 1-2 to lock in gains (GBP and KRW), took a 1% loss in the AUD. SGD hit our 1.3980 trailing stop (1.39 SGD short).Delve into Euro/GBP topping process and the LT Euro bias toward sub parity. AUD, copper and oil bull positioning our core theme in coming weeks.Emerging markets are out performing given the weaker dollar call and strong metals/energy bias which is our March risk on focus. We see more strength in this play into late March while DM’s will peak mid-March. Our base called for a risk on cycle from February 11 into March. April may very well see a sideways grind before the next major down leg into the summer months where we see a major buying opportunity.EEM is cruising past our 32 target amid a weaker USD and fear of missing an EM rise. Our theme has been to buy energy and materials plays on the back of WTI’s move above 34 and copper’s explosive breakout above 214 targeting 238 (then the EM rally will be complete). Copper’s move above 214 was the game changer and why we placed so much importance on that level.Asia longs: Sold Nikkei at 17,000 for a 7% gain. Buy Japan energy and steel sectors on a dip. Long India banks (up a nice 13.50%). Long energy/materials theme (BHP, FCX). Buying H shares on a dip. Copper rally is bullish for China/HK. Taiwan add support at 8,400. Indonesia rally from buy support at 4,650 targets 4,950. Korea buy support at 236-237.Asia shorts: Thailand at 1,340 and looking to add. Will re short Malaysia once the MYR hits 4.05.Cycle – March 8th is a slated turn date for gold and equities but may be part of a bigger equity topping sequence that unfolds into mid-March with EM’s and commodity themes running higher into April (which represents a bigger turn cycle).

Chartonics weekly condensed Saturday 27 February 2016<div>*Condensed repport due to travel this weekend</div><div>Risk on caps</div><div>Oil, US and Europe equity webcast- To view click on this link or paste:</div><div>http://www.screencast.com/t/gf21FaJdM</div>8:03 min.<div>We are watching the bull breakout attempt in oil with interest as energy shares lack the same upside bias and the AUD appears to be chiseling out a key reversal above 0.72 while copper backed off of the key 2.14 barrier. A number of counter balance assets are not…</div>

Chartonics weekly condensed Saturday 27 February 2016*Condensed repport due to travel this weekendRisk on capsOil, US and Europe equity webcast- To view click on this link or paste:http://www.screencast.com/t/gf21FaJdM8:03 min.We are watching the bull breakout attempt in oil with interest as energy shares lack the same upside bias and the AUD appears to be chiseling out a key reversal above 0.72 while copper backed off of the key 2.14 barrier. A number of counter balance assets are not…

Thailand

The Siam Cement Public Company Limited is a diversified industrial company. The Company's operations include cement manufacturing, petrochemicals manufacturing, paper manufacturing, building product manufacturing, and distribution.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Siam Cement / (SCC-R TB)

Risk on Maturing in March

Our March risk on rally cycle remains intact but maturing with a concentration in our copper/energy theme. Emerging markets are our perform bet...

Thomas Schroeder

March DM Dip/Peak as EM's/Copper Perform

Europe was our long over the US but we locked in Eurostoxx 50 gains Friday but kept our bank long. We locked in Nikkei gains as well.USD – SPX...

Thomas Schroeder

Risk on Caps

Chartonics weekly condensed Saturday 27 February 2016*Condensed repport due to travel this weekendRisk on capsOil, US and Europe equity webcast- To...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)