Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With just over a third of the review period complete, there could be 12 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Even with 12 potential changes, there is sector balance with over half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.04-4.1x ADV.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> since the start of the year with a big move higher since mid-May.</li>
</ul>


With just over a third of the review period complete, there could be 12 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX EQUITY) at the December rebalance.
Even with 12 potential changes, there is sector balance with over half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.04-4.1x ADV.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) since the start of the year with a big move higher since mid-May.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: For Now, A Dozen Changes in December

<ul>
<li>There are 13 inclusions and 13 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 13 June.</li>
<li>For the second consecutive review, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fadu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39896:1" rel="noopener">Fadu (440110 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsung-delta-tech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4976:1" rel="noopener">Shinsung DeltaTech (065350 KS)</a> have been kept out of the index. Not sure what the index committee's beef with them is.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ150</a> since the start of the review period. This has been helped, in no small, part by the ban on short selling.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 inclusions and 13 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 13 June.
For the second consecutive review, Fadu (440110 KS) and Shinsung DeltaTech (065350 KS) have been kept out of the index. Not sure what the index committee's beef with them is.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the KOSDAQ150 since the start of the review period. This has been helped, in no small, part by the ban on short selling.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Short Sell Ban Definitely Helping

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be up to 15 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Even with 15 changes, there is some sector balance among the potential adds and deletes with big churn in the Information Technology sector.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> since the start of the review period but performance has flattened over the last month.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be up to 15 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance.
Even with 15 changes, there is some sector balance among the potential adds and deletes with big churn in the Information Technology sector.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) since the start of the review period but performance has flattened over the last month.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Changes Possible as Review Period Ends

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Mar 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD517.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,159mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instistutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, Kakao, LG Chem.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of Mar 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD517.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,159mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign instistutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, Kakao, LG Chem.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 1st): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, Kakao

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The schedule includes submitting the transfer listing application post-EGM on March 26th. KRX approval expected in 4-6 weeks due to Ecopro BM's financial soundness. KOSPI listing follows in 2-3 weeks.</li>
<li>As for KOSDAQ 150 ad-hoc change, it will be replaced with the top reserved issue. The anticipated timing for this ad-hoc change is around mid or late May.</li>
<li>Following Feb 7 disclosure, stock surged over 10% in 2 days. Precedents show rallies pre-shareholder meetings, but KOSPI listing brings corrections. Today's resolution could boost Ecopro BM short term.</li>
</ul>


The schedule includes submitting the transfer listing application post-EGM on March 26th. KRX approval expected in 4-6 weeks due to Ecopro BM's financial soundness. KOSPI listing follows in 2-3 weeks.
As for KOSDAQ 150 ad-hoc change, it will be replaced with the top reserved issue. The anticipated timing for this ad-hoc change is around mid or late May.
Following Feb 7 disclosure, stock surged over 10% in 2 days. Precedents show rallies pre-shareholder meetings, but KOSPI listing brings corrections. Today's resolution could boost Ecopro BM short term.


Ecopro BM KOSPI Transfer Listing Disclosure

South Korea

Shinsung Delta Tech Co., Ltd. manufactures electronic components. The company's product includes control panel, top cover, drum tub, and blower for washing machine and air conditioner.  The Company also produces automobile part and light guide panel for Thin Film Transistor-Liquid Crystal Display (TFT-LCD).

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Shinsung Delta Tech (065350 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: For Now, A Dozen Changes in December

There could be 12 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in December. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ150 Index...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: Short Sell Ban Definitely Helping

There are 13 changes a side for the KOSDAQ150 in June. Most of the changes were forecast. Fadu and Shinsung Delta Tech have been ignored again. The...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Changes Possible as Review Period Ends

With the review period complete, there could be up to 15 changes for the KOSDAQ150 Index in June. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the...

Brian Freitas

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 1st): Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, Kakao

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ecopro BM KOSPI Transfer Listing Disclosure

This post delves into Ecopro BM's confirmation of its KOSPI transfer listing, officially announced today after the market's close.

Sanghyun Park

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