IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group / Event-Driven

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-languang-justbon-service-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28337:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK)</a> has despatched the composite document in relation to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> base and enhanced offer. Currently, Country Garden owns 71.17% of the outstanding shares comprising 66.99% of the domestic shares and 71.20% of the H Shares. </p><p>The base offer is an unconditional mandatory cash offer for all the issued shares is HK$51.0571 per H-share (RMB42.8547 per domestic share. The enhanced share offer, which is payable only if the delisting is approved, is HK$54.3000 per H-share (RMB45.5768 per domestic share). </p><p>Unsurprisingly, the IFA considers the base and enhanced offer to be fair and reasonable. We broadly agree with the IFA analysis with the exception that the peer multiple comparisons could be improved. </p><p>The two key conditions for the delisting will be approval by at least 75% independent H-shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H-shareholders rejection) and the satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition (90% of H-shares held by independent H-shareholders). Satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition is the key hurdle. We note the privatisation proposals for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-jingneng-clean-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16316:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harbin-electric-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11116:1" rel="noopener">Harbin Electric Co Ltd H (1133 HK)</a> have previously failed due to the inability to meet the 90% minimum acceptance condition.  </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Country Garden Services has bought itself some leeway by having the right to extend the closing date from 17 June to not later than 3 September. In theory, the extended time period should provide a greater chance of meeting the 90% threshold. At the last close, the gross spread to the enhanced offer price of HK$54.3000 stands at 4.9%.</p></div>

Sichuan Languang Justbon Service Group (2606 HK) has despatched the composite document in relation to Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) base and enhanced offer. Currently, Country Garden owns 71.17% of the outstanding shares comprising 66.99% of the domestic shares and 71.20% of the H Shares. The base offer is an unconditional mandatory cash offer for all the issued shares is HK$51.0571 per H-share (RMB42.8547 per domestic share. The enhanced share offer, which is payable only if the delisting is approved, is HK$54.3000 per H-share (RMB45.5768 per domestic share). Unsurprisingly, the IFA considers the base and enhanced offer to be fair and reasonable. We broadly agree with the IFA analysis with the exception that the peer multiple comparisons could be improved. The two key conditions for the delisting will be approval by at least 75% independent H-shareholders (&lt;10% of all independent H-shareholders rejection) and the satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition (90% of H-shares held by independent H-shareholders). Satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition is the key hurdle. We note the privatisation proposals for Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK) and Harbin Electric Co Ltd H (1133 HK) have previously failed due to the inability to meet the 90% minimum acceptance condition.  Country Garden Services has bought itself some leeway by having the right to extend the closing date from 17 June to not later than 3 September. In theory, the extended time period should provide a greater chance of meeting the 90% threshold. At the last close, the gross spread to the enhanced offer price of HK$54.3000 stands at 4.9%.

Languang Justbon’s Composite Document, IFA Opinion and Extended Closing Date

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

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<p>Linklogis, a technology solution provider for supply chain finance in China raised around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. Its early investors include Tencent, GIC and Standard Chartered Bank.</p>
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<p>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes,</p>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/linklogis-pre-ipo-the-positives-fast-growing-blockchain-driven-supply-chain-financier" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Linklogis Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growing Blockchain Driven Supply Chain Financier,</a> </li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/linklogis-pre-ipo-the-negatives-inconsistent-growth-and-margins-well-funded-competitors" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Linklogis Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Inconsistent Growth and Margins, Well Funded Competitors, and</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/linklogis-pre-ipo-earnings-forecast-peer-comparison-and-first-stab-at-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Linklogis Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast, Peer Comparison and First Stab at Valuation</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/linklogis-pre-ipo-phip-updates-nothing-to-complain-about" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Linklogis Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Nothing to Complain About</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/linklogis-ipo-pricey-for-a-reason" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Linklogis IPO - Pricey for a Reason</a></li>
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<p>In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and updates since our last note.</p>
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Linklogis, a technology solution provider for supply chain finance in China raised around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. Its early investors include Tencent, GIC and Standard Chartered Bank.


We have covered various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes,




Linklogis Pre-IPO - The Positives - Fast Growing Blockchain Driven Supply Chain Financier, 
Linklogis Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Inconsistent Growth and Margins, Well Funded Competitors, and
Linklogis Pre-IPO - Earnings Forecast, Peer Comparison and First Stab at Valuation
Linklogis Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Nothing to Complain About
Linklogis IPO - Pricey for a Reason



In this note, we will talk about deal dynamics and updates since our last note.


Linklogis IPO Trading - Decent but Not Hot Demand

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<p>The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.</p><p>For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.</p><p>Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.</p><p>Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.</p><p>Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.</p><p>We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.</p>

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

Country Garden Services / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdings-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$640m via an accelerated primary follow-on offering. </p><p>Like the rest of the sector, the stock has been performing well. Since its spin-off in Jun 2018, the shares are up 5x and are now trading close to their all time-highs. </p><p>In this insight, I'll talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</p>

Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) aims to raise around US$640m via an accelerated primary follow-on offering. Like the rest of the sector, the stock has been performing well. Since its spin-off in Jun 2018, the shares are up 5x and are now trading close to their all time-highs. In this insight, I'll talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

Country Garden Services Placement - Opportunistic but Will Probably Use It for Acquisition

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

China Resources Mixc Lifestyle / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-mixc-lifestyle-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29285:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK)</a> (CRML) raised US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO, priced at HK$22.30 per share, the top-end of its price range.</p><p>CRML is the property management arm of China Resources Land (CR Land). The company provides property management and value-added services (VAS) to residential properties. It also manages and operates a portfolio of commercial properties that includes shopping malls and office buildings. As of 30th June 2020, the company has a total GFA under management (including residential and commercial) of 106.6m sqm.</p><div><p>In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.</p></div><div>
<p>We have previously covered the IPO in:</p>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-mixc-lifestyle-services-pre-ipo-a-balance-of-residential-and-commercial-properties" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43376" rel="noopener">CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) Pre-IPO - A Balance of Residential and Commercial Properties</a> </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-mixc-lifestyle-services-pre-ipo-soe-linked-parentage-didn-t-help" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45187" rel="noopener">CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) Pre-IPO - SOE-Linked Parentage Didn’t Help</a> </li>
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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cr-mixc-lifestyle-services-ipo-needs-time-to-prove-itself" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45644" rel="noopener">CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) IPO - Needs Time to Prove Itself</a> </li>
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China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK) (CRML) raised US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO, priced at HK$22.30 per share, the top-end of its price range.CRML is the property management arm of China Resources Land (CR Land). The company provides property management and value-added services (VAS) to residential properties. It also manages and operates a portfolio of commercial properties that includes shopping malls and office buildings. As of 30th June 2020, the company has a total GFA under management (including residential and commercial) of 106.6m sqm.In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.
We have previously covered the IPO in:


CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) Pre-IPO - A Balance of Residential and Commercial Properties 

CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) Pre-IPO - SOE-Linked Parentage Didn’t Help 

CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) IPO - Needs Time to Prove Itself 



CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) IPO Trading - Better Demand than Recent Peers' IPOs

China

SSH is the property management unit of Shimao Group Holdings.

Shimao Services Holdings Limited (873 HK)

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Shimao Services Holdings Limited (873 HK)

Languang Justbon’s Composite Document, IFA Opinion and Extended Closing Date

Satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition is the key hurdle. At the last close, the gross spread to the enhanced offer price of HK$54.3000...

Arun George

Linklogis IPO Trading - Decent but Not Hot Demand

Linklogis, a technology solution provider for supply chain finance in China raised around US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. Its early investors include...

Sumeet Singh

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

There are 36 inclusions/ 29 exclusions for the Hang Seng Composite Index. 9 stocks will be deleted from the Stock Connect Buy list & there are a...

Brian Freitas

Country Garden Services Placement - Opportunistic but Will Probably Use It for Acquisition

Country Garden Services Holdings (6098 HK) aims to raise around US$640m via an accelerated primary follow-on offering. The stock has been...

Sumeet Singh

CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) IPO Trading - Better Demand than Recent Peers' IPOs

China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK) (CRML) raised US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO, priced at HK$22.30 per share, the top-end of its...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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