Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight Tencent and BYD that dominated the inflows last week.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight Tencent and BYD that dominated the inflows last week.


Hong Kong Connect Flows: 11 Weeks of Inflows

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Credit

<ul>
<li>A lack of prediction accuracy leads us to advise against investing in risky credits.</li>
<li>We expect up 1/3 of Chinese property developers to either default or negotiate with their creditors and see a few sovereigns running out of cash, following Sri Lanka’s demise. </li>
<li>Shimao's failure to negotiate with its creditors leads us to believe the liquidity situation at many Chinese developers is worse than expected.</li>
</ul>


A lack of prediction accuracy leads us to advise against investing in risky credits.
We expect up 1/3 of Chinese property developers to either default or negotiate with their creditors and see a few sovereigns running out of cash, following Sri Lanka’s demise. 
Shimao's failure to negotiate with its creditors leads us to believe the liquidity situation at many Chinese developers is worse than expected.


Bond Market Monitor: What Shimao’s Default Tells Us

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.</li>
<li>There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.</li>
<li>Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI in September, plus another 9 stocks that are close to the inclusion cutoff. Some stocks are already a part of Stock Connect.
There could be 22 deletions from the index on market cap, liquidity and prolonged suspension. Most of the deletions would be moved to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list.
Some of the stocks that remain in the HSCI could move to the 'sell-only' Southbound Stock Connect list since their average market cap drops below HKD 5bn.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Jinmao Property Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinmao-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34170:1" rel="noopener">Jinmao Property Services (816 HK)</a> raised around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>In our view, the firm doesn’t deserve to trade at a premium to peers given its weaker margins and slower growth in FY20. </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current valuation.</li>
</ul>



Jinmao Property Services (816 HK) raised around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
In our view, the firm doesn’t deserve to trade at a premium to peers given its weaker margins and slower growth in FY20. 
In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current valuation.


Jinmao Property Services IPO Trading - Expect a Modest Debut with Low Liquidity

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinmao-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34170:1" rel="noopener">Jinmao Property Services (JM HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>At listing, it is asking for a steep premium and 82% of the deal size has already been taken up by cornerstones, not leaving a whole lot for other investors.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at deal dynamics, assumptions, and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Jinmao Property Services (JM HK) is looking to raise around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO.
At listing, it is asking for a steep premium and 82% of the deal size has already been taken up by cornerstones, not leaving a whole lot for other investors.
In this note, we will look at deal dynamics, assumptions, and share our thoughts on valuation.


Jinmao Property Services IPO - Premium Asking Valuation and Cornerstones Took up 80% of Deal

China

SSH is the property management unit of Shimao Group Holdings.

Shimao Services Holdings Limited (873 HK)

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Shimao Services Holdings Limited (873 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows: 11 Weeks of Inflows

Southbound connect recorded 11 weeks of consecutive inflows. We highlight Tencent and BYD that dominated the inflows last week.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bond Market Monitor: What Shimao’s Default Tells Us

Shimao's default indicates the property credit crisis in China is not over yet. We are also worried on upcoming EM sovereign defaults in Asia.

Bondcritic

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

We see 28 potential adds and 9 close adds for the HSCI in September. There are 22 potential deletes on market cap, liquidity and prolonged...

Brian Freitas

Jinmao Property Services IPO Trading - Expect a Modest Debut with Low Liquidity

Jinmao Property Services (816 HK) raised around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current...

Clarence Chu

Jinmao Property Services IPO - Premium Asking Valuation and Cornerstones Took up 80% of Deal

Jinmao Property Services (JM HK) is looking to raise around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will look at deal dynamics, assumptions,...

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)