Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Less than a week after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaisa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:169:1" rel="noopener">Kaisa (1638 HK)</a> were officially declared defaulters,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimao-property-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8375:1" rel="noopener">Shimao Property (813 HK)</a>'s bonds and shares plunged, as did <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shimao-services-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29199:1" rel="noopener">Shimao Services (873 HK)</a>'s shares. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-services-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29239:1" rel="noopener">Sunac Services (1516 HK)</a> is the second-worst worst performing property services play over the past week/month.  Separately, parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac (1918 HK)</a> recently sold &gt;US$1bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-beiken-energy-eng-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29381:1" rel="noopener">Beiken Energy (002828 CH)</a> shares. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-service-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34884:1" rel="noopener">First Service (2107 HK)</a>'s long stop date for the share transfer agreements expire at month-end. This may not be the ideal time to second-guess whether Sunac agrees to an extension. </li>
</ul>


Less than a week after Evergrande (3333 HK) and Kaisa (1638 HK) were officially declared defaulters,  Shimao Property (813 HK)'s bonds and shares plunged, as did Shimao Services (873 HK)'s shares. 

Sunac Services (1516 HK) is the second-worst worst performing property services play over the past week/month.  Separately, parent Sunac (1918 HK) recently sold &gt;US$1bn of Beiken Energy (002828 CH) shares. 

First Service (2107 HK)'s long stop date for the share transfer agreements expire at month-end. This may not be the ideal time to second-guess whether Sunac agrees to an extension. 


First Service (2107 HK): Too Hot To Handle

Equity Research in HK and Mainland China

Li Tang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Quality developers are said to be supported by NAFMII to issue M&amp;A bonds with a long maturity to acquire real estate projects from troubled developers</li>
<li>This adds further fuel to the rumour that financing for M&amp;A activity will be outside of the three red lines</li>
<li>The Politburo December meeting provided a positive signal for property policy that is expected to be echoed in the Central Economic Work Conference statement this week</li>
</ul>


Quality developers are said to be supported by NAFMII to issue M&amp;A bonds with a long maturity to acquire real estate projects from troubled developers
This adds further fuel to the rumour that financing for M&amp;A activity will be outside of the three red lines
The Politburo December meeting provided a positive signal for property policy that is expected to be echoed in the Central Economic Work Conference statement this week


China State-Owned Developer Plans to Issue M&A Bonds on Interbank Market

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-evergrande-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Evergrande</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-sce-group-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China SCE</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunac China Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/fantasia-holdings-group-co' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Fantasia Holdings Group Co</a></li><li><a href='/entities/country-garden-holdings-co' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Country Garden Holdings Co</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:EvergrandeChina SCESunac China HoldingsFantasia Holdings Group CoCountry Garden Holdings Coand more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/vedanta-resources-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Vedanta Resources</a></li><li><a href='/entities/seazen' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Seazen (Formerly Future Land)</a></li><li><a href='/entities/honghua-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Honghua Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/lifestyle-international-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lifestyle International Holdings</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Vedanta ResourcesSeazen (Formerly Future Land)Honghua GroupChina Jinmao HoldingsLifestyle International Holdingsand more...

Hong Kong

Shimao Property Holdings Limited develops real estate projects in China.

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Shimao Property Holdings (813 HK)

Morning Views Asia: PPI, Shimao Group

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

First Service (2107 HK): Too Hot To Handle

I expect these share transfer agreements to be extended, if need be, and the spread to tighten once completed. But that outcome is by no means...

David Blennerhassett

China State-Owned Developer Plans to Issue M&A Bonds on Interbank Market

The new move adds further fuel to the rumour that financing for M&A activity will be outside of the three red lines,This is a crucial development...

Li Tang

Weekly Wrap - 10 Dec 2021

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 03 Dec 2021

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

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