Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> has completed a top-up placement of 119m shares at a price of HK$99.18/share, an 8.84% discount to the last close of the stock.</li>
<li>The placement has raised HK$11.8bn (US$1.52bn) and the proceeds will be used for the repayment of loans and for daily operational needs.</li>
<li>There will be small passive inflows in the stock at the close on 20/21 April and some small inflows in August/September.</li>
</ul>



Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) has completed a top-up placement of 119m shares at a price of HK$99.18/share, an 8.84% discount to the last close of the stock.
The placement has raised HK$11.8bn (US$1.52bn) and the proceeds will be used for the repayment of loans and for daily operational needs.
There will be small passive inflows in the stock at the close on 20/21 April and some small inflows in August/September.


Anta Sports (2020 HK) Placement: Limited Passive Inflows

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, and outflows from CCB, Geely, Sunny Optical.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, and outflows from CCB, Geely, Sunny Optical.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: 1Y High Inflows in March

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 31st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, China Construction Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 31st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, China Construction Bank.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 31st): Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, CCB

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the total inflows to be USD 960m and  highlight flows for Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the total inflows to be USD 960m and  highlight flows for Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 17th): Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>2023 gameplan remains unchanged; we see limited upside from here for ACWI-US, and we expect a rangebound year of trading on ACWI-US with $93 capping upside and $75-77 capping downside</li>
<li>We also remain overweight Europe/UK, we want to add exposure on pullbacks to China/Hong Kong/EM, and overweight non-U.S. equities (MSCI ACWI ex-US) relative to MSCI ACWI</li>
<li>We highlight buy ideas within Technology, Communications, and Consumer Discretionary. The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China continue to make up the majority of our buy recommendations</li>
</ul>


2023 gameplan remains unchanged; we see limited upside from here for ACWI-US, and we expect a rangebound year of trading on ACWI-US with $93 capping upside and $75-77 capping downside
We also remain overweight Europe/UK, we want to add exposure on pullbacks to China/Hong Kong/EM, and overweight non-U.S. equities (MSCI ACWI ex-US) relative to MSCI ACWI
We highlight buy ideas within Technology, Communications, and Consumer Discretionary. The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China continue to make up the majority of our buy recommendations


Major Top on U.S. Dollar; Overweight Non-U.S. And Europe/UK; Buys in Tech, Comm., Discretionary

China

HLA CORP., Ltd. manufactures and markets apparel, woolen fabrics, woolen yarns, and textile raw materials, as well as provides dyeing and processing services. Heilan Home distributes their product globally.

Li Ning Company Limited researches, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails sports footwear, apparel and accessories for sport and leisure use.

Fujian Funeng Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of textile including flannelette, cotton yarn, polyurethane synthetic leather, needling fabric, and water-jet bonding fabric.

Zhejiang Weixing Industrial Development Co., Ltd. manufactures buttons, zips, and other apparel accessories. The Company also provides electroplating services.

Lao Feng Xiang Co., Ltd. processes and sells gold and jewelry products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures and sells wooden, mechanical and cosmetic pencils, as well as manufactures and sells pencil making machinery and paints, and general trading.

Zhejiang Semir Garment Company Limited designs, develops, outsources production, markets and distributes apparels.  The Company's main operation is casual wear and children's apparels.

Biem.L.Fdlkk Garment Co., Ltd. is an apparel designer. The Company designs, markets, and distributes a variety of golf apparels. Biem.L.Fdlkk Garment serves customers throughout China.

Billion Industrial Holdings Ltd. manufactures polyester filament yarn.  The Company produces drawn textured yarn and fully drawn yarn, which are used in apparel, footwear and home furnishings.

Xtep International Holdings Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets sportwear. The Company produces footwear, apparel, and accessories.

Sichuan Zhenjing Corporation Limited manufactures and distributes leather products. The Company produces and sells leather cases, leather car seats, decoration leather, and other products. Sichuan Zhenjing markets its products throughout China.

Prada S.p.A. is an Italian fashion company that designs, manufactures, promotes and sells high-end leather goods, ready-to-wear and footwear through various brands.

Skechers U.S.A., Inc. designs and markets branded contemporary casual, active, rugged, and lifestyle footwear for men, women, and children.  The Company sells its products to department stores and specialty retailers.  Skechers also sells its products internationally through distributors and directly to consumers through its own retail stores.

SRF Limited is a multi-business Indian multinational engaging in the manufacture of chemical based industrial intermediates. The Company has a business portfolio that encompasses technical textiles, chemicals, packaging films and engineering plastics.

Ralph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes men's, women's and children's apparel, accessories, fragrances, and home furnishings. The Company's products are sold under a wide range of brands. Ralph Lauren's operations include wholesale, retail, and licensing.

Crocs, Inc. designs and manufactures shoes.  The Company produces soft, lightweight, non-marking, slip- and odor-resistant shoes made of closed-cell resin material.  Crocs manufactures men's, women's, and children's shoes and markets them to retail chains.

Tapestry, Inc. designs and markets clothes and accessories. The Company offers handbags, leather goods, footwear, fragrance, jewelry, outer wear, ready-to-wear, scarves, sunwear, travel accessories, and watches. Tapestry serves customers in the United States.

VF Corporation is an international apparel company. The Company owns a broad portfolio of brands in the jeanswear, outerwear, packs, footwear, sportswear and occupational apparel categories. VF Corp's products are marketed to consumers shopping in specialty stores, upscale and traditional department stores, national chains and mass merchants.

ASICS CORPORATION manufactures general sporting goods and equipment.  The Company's products, such as athletic shoes and sportswear, are distributed in the United States, Europe, Australia, and Asia.

Brunello Cucinelli SpA is a luxury fashion company, known for its cashmere products as well as exclusive brands.  The Company designs, manufactures, and distributes clothing and accessories globally for men and women.

Moncler S.p.A. is a brand with a winter heritage. Known for its outerwear, Moncler today designs and produces clothing and accessories for women, men and children, directly distributed through Moncler boutiques, its online store, department stores and multibrand stores.

Shenzhou International Group Holdings Ltd manufactures and processes textiles.  The Company produces, dyes, finishes, prints, embroiders, cuts, and sews knitwear.

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Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)

Anta Sports (2020 HK) Placement: Limited Passive Inflows

Anta Sports has completed a top-up placement of 119m shs at HK$99.18, an 8.84% discount to the last close. Given the limited increase in float,...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: 1Y High Inflows in March

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for March and highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, China Mobile, ICBC, Bilibili, CCB, Geely, Sunny Optical.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 31st): Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Feb 17th): Meituan, Xiaomi, Tencent

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight inflows for Meituan, Xiaomi and outflows from Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Major Top on U.S. Dollar; Overweight Non-U.S. And Europe/UK; Buys in Tech, Comm., Discretionary

The $DXY broke below 5-year support at $103, signaling a major top in place. This is bullish for risk assets, and is another sign suggesting the...

Vermilion Research

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