Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In this review, we predict that Thai equities will rally in October and early November before another major correction in December with the Fed rate hike. In the short term, we expect Thai banks to do well, as they and Asian counterparts (eg. Singapore's DBS) benefit in terms of relative growth if the US banks are hampered by the regulator's decision to increase capital requirements of the largest banks. We also see two companies run by Thailand's second richest tycoon Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi, namely BJC and Thai Beverage, outperforming companies run by the larger CP Group, primarily due to corporate action and a market's tilt towards consumers and retailing sectors. Needless to say, we will be tactically overweight on banks, retailers, and consumers over the next two months.We also discuss: 1) the overall upgrade of Thailand's growth expectations on the back of stronger domestic consumption; and 2) highight the government's five strategic sectors, named 'The 5 S-Curves'.

In this review, we predict that Thai equities will rally in October and early November before another major correction in December with the Fed rate hike. In the short term, we expect Thai banks to do well, as they and Asian counterparts (eg. Singapore's DBS) benefit in terms of relative growth if the US banks are hampered by the regulator's decision to increase capital requirements of the largest banks. We also see two companies run by Thailand's second richest tycoon Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi, namely BJC and Thai Beverage, outperforming companies run by the larger CP Group, primarily due to corporate action and a market's tilt towards consumers and retailing sectors. Needless to say, we will be tactically overweight on banks, retailers, and consumers over the next two months.We also discuss: 1) the overall upgrade of Thailand's growth expectations on the back of stronger domestic consumption; and 2) highight the government's five strategic sectors, named 'The 5 S-Curves'.

American Capital Requirement Increase: Charoen and Thai Banks to Lead October Rally

Equity Bottom-Up

We recently took gains on Minor and bought a stake in Erawan, our new top pick in the hotel sector. Unlike the two larger hotel groups, Erawan is stronger in low-cost segment (roughly a quarter of its business) and is a purer play in the hotel sector. Of the smaller operators, we like Laguna Resorts (LRH) as a long-term acquisition target. In this review, we also explain why we are not interested in Dusit Thani (DTC) despite its seemingly compelling valuations.

We recently took gains on Minor and bought a stake in Erawan, our new top pick in the hotel sector. Unlike the two larger hotel groups, Erawan is stronger in low-cost segment (roughly a quarter of its business) and is a purer play in the hotel sector. Of the smaller operators, we like Laguna Resorts (LRH) as a long-term acquisition target. In this review, we also explain why we are not interested in Dusit Thani (DTC) despite its seemingly compelling valuations.

Thailand

Shangri-La Hotel Public Company Limited operates the Shangri-La Hotel in Bangkok providing lodging services, food and beverages services, and arrangement of conferences and parties. Through subsidiaries, the Company invests in hotel and in property development business.

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Shangri La Hotel (SHANG TB)

American Capital Requirement Increase: Charoen and Thai Banks to Lead October Rally

In this review, we predict that Thai equities will rally in October and early November before another major correction in December with the Fed...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Erawan: Low-Cost Hotel Champion

We recently took gains on Minor and bought a stake in Erawan, our new top pick in the hotel sector. Unlike the two larger hotel groups, Erawan is...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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