Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hoymiles Power Electronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index committee has continued to use a 6 month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 4.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,265m. Passive trackers will need to trade between 1-5 days ADV on the adds/deletes.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and the CSI500 Index since the end of the review period. We'd look to buy the adds and hedge with CSI500 Index futures.</li>
</ul>


The index committee has continued to use a 6 month minimum listing history leading to five changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in September.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 4.07% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 2,265m. Passive trackers will need to trade between 1-5 days ADV on the adds/deletes.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and the CSI500 Index since the end of the review period. We'd look to buy the adds and hedge with CSI500 Index futures.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Continue to Outperform as Changes Are Announced

<ul>
<li>Over 96% of the way through the review period, we see 1 change using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using the shorter minimum listing history since the potential adds have much larger market caps than the potential deletes.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and there could be more once the current consolidation is complete.</li>
</ul>


Over 96% of the way through the review period, we see 1 change using a 12 month minimum listing history, and 5 changes using a 6 month minimum listing history.
We expect the index committee to continue using the shorter minimum listing history since the potential adds have much larger market caps than the potential deletes.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last month and there could be more once the current consolidation is complete.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Adds Outperforming the Deletes

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>’s 2021 performance missed expectations. </li>
<li>Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.</li>
<li>Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.</li>
</ul>


Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, Microport Scientific (853 HK)’s 2021 performance missed expectations. 
Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.
Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.


Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

<ul>
<li>With only one change expected in September using a 12 month minimum listing history, we expect the index committee to continue using a 6 month minimum listing history.</li>
<li>That will see the maximum of 5 changes that are permitted at a single rebalance resulting in a one-way turnover just shy of 5%.</li>
<li>Over the last few rebalances, the adds have outperformed the deletes post the end of the review period. That's expected given passive trackers need to buy/sell a lot of stock.</li>
</ul>


With only one change expected in September using a 12 month minimum listing history, we expect the index committee to continue using a 6 month minimum listing history.
That will see the maximum of 5 changes that are permitted at a single rebalance resulting in a one-way turnover just shy of 5%.
Over the last few rebalances, the adds have outperformed the deletes post the end of the review period. That's expected given passive trackers need to buy/sell a lot of stock.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Change Is the Only Constant

Equity Capital Markets

OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orbusneich-medical-group-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34918:1" rel="noopener">OrbusNeich Medical Group (NEICHZ HK)</a> has a rich pipeline with a leadership position in the PCI balloon markets.</li>
<li>Its global business layout would also help the Company “hedge” the negative domestic policy impact or regulation changes.</li>
<li>However, the fierce competition, market pattern, industry characteristics, centralized procurement and other concerns should not be neglected.</li>
</ul>



OrbusNeich Medical Group (NEICHZ HK) has a rich pipeline with a leadership position in the PCI balloon markets.
Its global business layout would also help the Company “hedge” the negative domestic policy impact or regulation changes.
However, the fierce competition, market pattern, industry characteristics, centralized procurement and other concerns should not be neglected.


Pre-IPO OrbusNeich Medical Group - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

China

Sinocare Inc. develops, manufactures, sells biosensor technology real-time detection products. The Company's main products include rapid trace blood glucose testers, and supporting blood glucose testing strips.

Shinva Medical Instrument Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets medical instruments and equipment.  The Company's products include sterilization equipment, radiation diagnosis and radiotherapy equipment, chemical indication products, and medical environmental protection equipment.

Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992. The company's line of business includes manufacturing of medical diagnostic tests.  Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech serves customers around the world.

Double Medical Technology Inc. operates as an orthopedic devices manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells physical therapy equipment, orthopedic surgical instruments, injection puncture, and other products. Double Medical Technology markets its products throughout China.

Microport Scientific Corp. manufactures interventional and minimally invasive devices for keyhole surgery. The Company's products are used to treat vascular diseases and is developing devices to treat diabetes and orthopedic diseases.

Shanghai Tofflon Science and Technology Company Limited develops, designs, produces and markets pharmaceutical freeze dryer and related systems. The Company's main products include in-place sterilisation, in-place lyophilization cleaners, laboratory freeze dryers, production freeze dryers, liquid nitrogen freeze dryers and freeze drying systems and equipments.

Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, researches and develops, produces, and sells single-use aseptic polymer medical products.

Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co (1066 HK)

Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of pharmaceutical glass products including molded vials, tube vials, ampoule, amber vials, infusion vials, and glass tubes.  The Company also manufactures paper packaging boxes and invests in petrochemical industry.

Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass Co., Ltd. A (600529 CH)

Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass Co., Ltd. A

Andon Health Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells medical electronic devices for home use.  The Company's products include blood pressure monitors, blood glucose monitors, and digital thermometers.

Lifetech Scientific Corporation develops, manufactures and markets minimally invasive interventional medical devices for cardiovascular and peripheral vascular diseases and disorders.  The Company produces congenital heart defect occluders, vena cava filters, stent grafts, balloon catheters, and vascular plugs.

Veracyte, Inc. develops molecular tests for oncology. The Company offers molecular cytology and tests for the diagnostic accuracy of cytology samples. Veracyte provides its products and services to healthcare and molecular diagnostic companies in the United States.

NAKANISHI INC. manufactures gyration equipment for dental and industry use. The Company's products include precision spindles and hand-held grinders.

Ossur hf does research and develops prosthetic aids.  The Company also designs, makes, and markets prosthetic and orthotic products, and offers a wide line of customized solutions.  The product line includes Iceross, a silicon socket, the ICEX socket system, and Masterstep, a prosthetic foot.  Ossur operates through a global network of sales outlets and agencies.

Osstem Implant Co., Ltd. manufactures dental implant system. The Company also markets dental management software. Osstem Implant provides products for dental surgery and exports abroad.

Artivion Inc.(Artivion) is a medical device company focused on developing simple, elegant solutions that address cardiac and vascular surgeons' most difficult challenges in treating patients with aortic disease. The company's major products include:aortic stents, stent grafts, prosthetic heart valves, cyropreserved cardiac and vascular allografts, and surgical sealants.

MANI, INC. manufactures medical goods and equipment.  The Company's products include threads and needles for surgeries, surgical knives for eye surgeries, and dental instruments and equipment.

LeMaitre Vascular, Inc. manufactures medical devices for vascular surgeons and interventionists.  The Company develops, produces, and markets disposable and implantable devices for the treatment of peripheral vascular disease, such as stent grafts, anastomotic clips, valvulotomes, radiopaque marking tape, shunts, and embolectomy catheters.

NuVasive, Inc. designs, develops, and markets products for the surgical treatment of spine disorders. The Company's products include Maximum Access Surgery (MAS) and Fusion products.

AtriCure, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells surgical devices designed to create precise lesions in soft tissues.  The Company's bipolar ablation system is used by cardiothoracic surgeons as a standard treatment alternative to create lesions in heart tissue to block the abnormal electrical impulses that cause atrial fibrillation.

STAAR Surgical Company develops, manufactures, and markets high margin visual implants that improve a patient's quality of vision.  The Company manufactures implantable contact lenses to treat refractive disorders such as myopia.  STAAR also manufactures products for cataract surgery and glaucoma surgery.

Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech (Gruop) Co., Ltd. develops and sells medical instruments. The Company manufactures and sells peripheral vascular stents, aortic balloon dilation catheters, aortic stent grafts, and other related products. Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech (Gruop) markets its products primarily throughout China with limited overseas.

Shanghai MicroPort Endovascula (688016 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shanghai MicroPort Endovascula (688016 CH)

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Adds Continue to Outperform as Changes Are Announced

There are 5 changes to the STAR50 in September as the index committee sticks to a 6 month minimum listing history. The adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Adds Outperforming the Deletes

There could be 5 changes if the index committee continues using a 6 month minimum listing history. The adds have outperformed the deletes over the...

Brian Freitas

Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

Microport’s 2021 performance missed expectations due to VBP and pandemic. Its “unique” development mode will lead to lower-than...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Change Is the Only Constant

We expect the index committee to continue using a 6 month minimum listing history and that will lead to 5 changes in September. Buying the adds and...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO OrbusNeich Medical Group - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

The rich pipeline and large global business will help OrbusNeich “hedge” negative domestic policy impact. But fierce competition, slow progress in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)