HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Equity Bottom-Up

Last month, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31070:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH)</a> released the performance announcement in 2020. Junshi is expected to achieve the revenue in 2020 of RMB1.595 billion, up 105.77% YoY. The Company's net loss attributed to shareholders could reach RMB1.672 billion, up 123.8% YoY. Meanwhile, the R&amp;D expenses are expected to reach RMB1.824 billion in 2020, up 92.79% YoY, which even exceeded the total revenue in 2020. It is also worth mentioning that the moment of glory of Junshi seems to be when it was listed on the SSE STAR Market in July 2020, with the market value of about RMB150 billion, and then its share price went all the way down to hit the bottom in December 2020 at RMB 64.8/share. On March 19, 2021, Junshi’s market value was RMB79 billion, down about 50% since July 2020. So could Junshi turn things around?

Last month, Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH) released the performance announcement in 2020. Junshi is expected to achieve the revenue in 2020 of RMB1.595 billion, up 105.77% YoY. The Company's net loss attributed to shareholders could reach RMB1.672 billion, up 123.8% YoY. Meanwhile, the R&amp;D expenses are expected to reach RMB1.824 billion in 2020, up 92.79% YoY, which even exceeded the total revenue in 2020. It is also worth mentioning that the moment of glory of Junshi seems to be when it was listed on the SSE STAR Market in July 2020, with the market value of about RMB150 billion, and then its share price went all the way down to hit the bottom in December 2020 at RMB 64.8/share. On March 19, 2021, Junshi’s market value was RMB79 billion, down about 50% since July 2020. So could Junshi turn things around?

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience - Here Are the Challenges

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Event-Driven

Post market close on 26 February, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company <a href="http://www.csindex.com.cn/en/indices/notices-and-announcements-detail/1606" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>. The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.The inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31070:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qi-an-xin-technology-group-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31069:1" rel="noopener">Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farasis-energy-gan-zhou-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28385:1" rel="noopener">Farasis Energy Gan Zhou Co-A (688567 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trina-solar-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30404:1" rel="noopener">Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH)</a>.The exclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-tztek-technology-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28232:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujian-forecam-optics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30306:1" rel="noopener">Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longyan-zhuoyue-new-energy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30364:1" rel="noopener">Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianjin-jiuri-new-material-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30366:1" rel="noopener">Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-seeyon-internet-so-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30393:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH)</a>.The launch of new ETFs on the index has kept the assets tracking the index steady even with the market dropping.All inclusions have at least 1 day of ADV to buy and the deletions have at least 2.4 days of ADV to sell. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.93% and there is quite a large impact as part of the funding trade.There is no excess volume on most of the stocks and similar to the December rebalance, the inclusions could outperform the exclusions from now till implementation date.

Post market close on 26 February, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX). The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.The inclusions are Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH), Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH), Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH), Farasis Energy Gan Zhou Co-A (688567 CH) and Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH).The exclusions are Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH), Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH), Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH), Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH) and Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH).The launch of new ETFs on the index has kept the assets tracking the index steady even with the market dropping.All inclusions have at least 1 day of ADV to buy and the deletions have at least 2.4 days of ADV to sell. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.93% and there is quite a large impact as part of the funding trade.There is no excess volume on most of the stocks and similar to the December rebalance, the inclusions could outperform the exclusions from now till implementation date.

STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance: Another BIG One

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Event-Driven

The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> is made up of 50 stocks with the largest full market cap and good liquidity listed on the SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board (the STAR Market). The index is free float market cap weighted and the weight of each stock is capped at 10%. In addition, the total weight of the top 5 constituents should not exceed 40%.The data cut-off for the March review ends on 31 January. The results of the review will be announced towards the end of February and the review will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.Having gone through over 97% of the review period, we see 13 stocks eligible for index inclusion and 16 stocks in the deletion zone. With only 5 changes permitted in a single review, that is what we will have to settle for. What that also means is that there will be more changes at the June review.For the March review, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qi-an-xin-technology-group-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31069:1" rel="noopener">Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31070:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trina-solar-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30404:1" rel="noopener">Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farasis-energy-gan-zhou-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28385:1" rel="noopener">Farasis Energy Gan Zhou (688567 CH)</a> being included in the index.<div>
We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longyan-zhuoyue-new-energy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30364:1" rel="noopener">Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-tztek-technology-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28232:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-seeyon-internet-so-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30393:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianjin-jiuri-new-material-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30366:1" rel="noopener">Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujian-forecam-optics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30306:1" rel="noopener">Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH)</a> to be deleted from the index to make way for the inclusions. One-way turnover is around 10%.
There has been a small outflow from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> ETFs since our last Insight, but that will have minimal impact on the rebalance.
The expected adds and deletes are the same from our earlier <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/star50-index-rebalance-preview-march21-rising-aum-and-a-new-index-make-an-exciting-combination" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Insight</a>. Since then, a trade of buying the expected adds and selling the expected deletes has returned 24%. There could be further moves as we near the near the end of the review period, and then once the announcement is made.
</div>

The SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) is made up of 50 stocks with the largest full market cap and good liquidity listed on the SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board (the STAR Market). The index is free float market cap weighted and the weight of each stock is capped at 10%. In addition, the total weight of the top 5 constituents should not exceed 40%.The data cut-off for the March review ends on 31 January. The results of the review will be announced towards the end of February and the review will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.Having gone through over 97% of the review period, we see 13 stocks eligible for index inclusion and 16 stocks in the deletion zone. With only 5 changes permitted in a single review, that is what we will have to settle for. What that also means is that there will be more changes at the June review.For the March review, we see Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH), Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH), Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH), Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH) and Farasis Energy Gan Zhou (688567 CH) being included in the index.
We expect Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH), Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH), Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH), Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH) and Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH) to be deleted from the index to make way for the inclusions. One-way turnover is around 10%.
There has been a small outflow from the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) ETFs since our last Insight, but that will have minimal impact on the rebalance.
The expected adds and deletes are the same from our earlier Insight. Since then, a trade of buying the expected adds and selling the expected deletes has returned 24%. There could be further moves as we near the near the end of the review period, and then once the announcement is made.


STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: +Adds/-Deletes = +24%

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.7% as of Sep 15th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week on week, led by energy, real estate, industrials and offset by communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec Oilfield, Remegen Co Ltd.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 116.7% as of Sep 15th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week on week, led by energy, real estate, industrials and offset by communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec Oilfield, Remegen Co Ltd.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 15th): Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec Oilfield

China

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co., Ltd. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops and sells small molecule drugs, antibody drug conjugates, and other products. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences markets its products worldwide.

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Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (688180 CH)

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience - Here Are the Challenges

The article analyzed the concerns and challenges that Junshi has to face in terms of PD-1, COVID-19 antibody drug, other products in the pipeline...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance: Another BIG One

There are 5 changes to the STAR50 index as a part of the March review. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.93% and we expect the inclusions to...

Brian Freitas

STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: +Adds/-Deletes = +24%

There will be 5 changes for the STAR50 index in the March review. The lack of pre-positioning and large AUM tracking the index (plus active traders...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 15th): Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec Oilfield

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Postal Savings, Sinopec Corp, Shanghai Fudan, Sinopec...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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