Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>A/H premium increased by 5.7ppt WoW mainly driven by information technology and health care.</li>
<li>We highlight that 15 stocks reached their 52 week high of A/H premium last week.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.
A/H premium increased by 5.7ppt WoW mainly driven by information technology and health care.
We highlight that 15 stocks reached their 52 week high of A/H premium last week.


A/H Premium Weekly: 15 Stocks at 52 Week High

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week. </li>
<li>Increases of A/H premium was mainly due to the consumer staple,  energy and consumer discretionary sector.</li>
<li>We highlight stocks including: Xinjiang Goldwind, GWM, Yankuang, China Oilfield, First Tractor, CCCC, Huaneng.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week. 
Increases of A/H premium was mainly due to the consumer staple,  energy and consumer discretionary sector.
We highlight stocks including: Xinjiang Goldwind, GWM, Yankuang, China Oilfield, First Tractor, CCCC, Huaneng.


A/H Premium Weekly: Xinjiang Goldwind, Great Wall Motor, First Tractor

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Blue Moon Group Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-blue-moon-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29179:1" rel="noopener">Blue Moon Group Holdings (BMG HK)</a> is a leading consumer household care company in China. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$10.20-13.16 per share, Blue Moon will have a market cap of HK$58,621-75,632 million ($7.6-9.8 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$8,492 million ($1.1 billion). </p>
<p>Six cornerstone investors will subscribe for HK$1,821 million ($235 million) of the offer shares (20.87% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the price range). The cornerstone investors are BOCHK Asset Management, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dazhong-public-utilities-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7847:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities - A (600635 CH)</a>,  Fullerton, Changjia Group, Greater Bay Area Fund and Veritas Asset Management.</p>
</div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blue-moon-ipo-initiation-laundry-list" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:41086" rel="noopener">Blue Moon IPO Initiation: Laundry List</a>, we stated that on balance we think the positives (market-leading brand, strong margin progression, solid cash generation) outweigh the negatives (declining revenue growth and short-term COVID-19 impact). In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blue-moon-ipo-doing-the-wash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45481" rel="noopener">Blue Moon IPO: Doing the Wash</a> we noted that the 1H20 results disclosed in the PHIP show that the Blue Moon has creditably navigated the adverse revenue decline on its core business due to the COVID-19 outbreak by improving margin and cash generation. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.</p></div></div>


Blue Moon Group Holdings (BMG HK) is a leading consumer household care company in China. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$10.20-13.16 per share, Blue Moon will have a market cap of HK$58,621-75,632 million ($7.6-9.8 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total net proceeds are HK$8,492 million ($1.1 billion). 
Six cornerstone investors will subscribe for HK$1,821 million ($235 million) of the offer shares (20.87% of the offer shares at the mid-point of the price range). The cornerstone investors are BOCHK Asset Management, Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities - A (600635 CH),  Fullerton, Changjia Group, Greater Bay Area Fund and Veritas Asset Management.
In Blue Moon IPO Initiation: Laundry List, we stated that on balance we think the positives (market-leading brand, strong margin progression, solid cash generation) outweigh the negatives (declining revenue growth and short-term COVID-19 impact). In Blue Moon IPO: Doing the Wash we noted that the 1H20 results disclosed in the PHIP show that the Blue Moon has creditably navigated the adverse revenue decline on its core business due to the COVID-19 outbreak by improving margin and cash generation. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Despite improving power demand, China’s coal-fired independent power producers’, or IPPs’, fourth-quarter profits are set to be hit by surging coal prices. We estimate the operating margins for major coal-fired IPPs will be just around breakeven in the fourth quarter. For 2017, while the government’s confirmation that power tariffs will be unchanged is a little disappointing, we think government’s easing in coal supply restrictions will dampen coal prices, leading to margins recovery for coal-fired IPPs.</p><p>We have reflected our slightly positive 2017 outlook into our earnings estimates and maintain our fair value estimates of HKD 7.40, HKD 2.54 and HKD 17.00 for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/28" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28:1">Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3664" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3664:1">Datang Intl Power Gen Co H (991 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/5385" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5385:1">China Resources Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (836 HK)</a>, respectively, ahead of the full-year earnings results in March.</p><p><em>Analysts: Jennifer Song and Lorraine Tan, CFA</em></p>

Despite improving power demand, China’s coal-fired independent power producers’, or IPPs’, fourth-quarter profits are set to be hit by surging coal prices. We estimate the operating margins for major coal-fired IPPs will be just around breakeven in the fourth quarter. For 2017, while the government’s confirmation that power tariffs will be unchanged is a little disappointing, we think government’s easing in coal supply restrictions will dampen coal prices, leading to margins recovery for coal-fired IPPs.We have reflected our slightly positive 2017 outlook into our earnings estimates and maintain our fair value estimates of HKD 7.40, HKD 2.54 and HKD 17.00 for Huaneng Power Intl Inc H (902 HK), Datang Intl Power Gen Co H (991 HK), and China Resources Power Holdings Co. Ltd. (836 HK), respectively, ahead of the full-year earnings results in March.Analysts: Jennifer Song and Lorraine Tan, CFA

Softening Coal Prices and Improving Demand Will Drive a Better 2017 Outlook for Coal-Fired IPPs.

<p>After extending our explicit forecast periods to 10 years from five years, w e have raised our fair value estimate for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/14315" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14315:1">China Gas Holdings Ltd (384 HK)</a>, or CGH, to HKD 11.40 from HKD 10.30; that for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20525" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20525:1">China Resources Gas Group Ltd (1193 HK)</a>, or CRG, to HKD 27.50 from HKD 22.50; and that for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/316" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1">Enn Energy Holdings Ltd (2688 HK)</a>, or ENN, to HKD 50.00 from HKD 44.00.</p><p>We think CGH, CRG, and ENN still have further room to grow, as their penetration rates, at 52%, 45%, and 55%, respectively, are still relatively low compared with the average level of 70% in developed markets. At current price levels, CRG and ENN look attractive, while CGH is fairly valued, in our view.</p><p><em>Analyst: Jennifer Song &amp; Chokwai Lee</em></p>

After extending our explicit forecast periods to 10 years from five years, w e have raised our fair value estimate for China Gas Holdings Ltd (384 HK), or CGH, to HKD 11.40 from HKD 10.30; that for China Resources Gas Group Ltd (1193 HK), or CRG, to HKD 27.50 from HKD 22.50; and that for Enn Energy Holdings Ltd (2688 HK), or ENN, to HKD 50.00 from HKD 44.00.We think CGH, CRG, and ENN still have further room to grow, as their penetration rates, at 52%, 45%, and 55%, respectively, are still relatively low compared with the average level of 70% in developed markets. At current price levels, CRG and ENN look attractive, while CGH is fairly valued, in our view.Analyst: Jennifer Song &amp; Chokwai Lee

Raising Fair Value Estimates for City Gas Operators After Extending Our Forecast Periods

China

Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities (Group) Co., Ltd. provides utility service and public transportation service. The Company also researches, develops and produces high technologies products.

Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities - H (1635 HK)

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Shanghai Dazhong Public Utilities - H (1635 HK)

A/H Premium Weekly: 15 Stocks at 52 Week High

We highlight that 15 stocks reached their 52 week high of A/H premium last week, including Xinjiang Gold Wind (2208 HK), Fuyao Glass (3606 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Weekly: Xinjiang Goldwind, Great Wall Motor, First Tractor

We highlight changes in A/H premium for stocks: Xinjiang Goldwind, Great Wall Motor, Yankuang, China Oilfield, First Tractor, CCCC, Huaneng.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Blue Moon IPO: Valuation Insights

Blue Moon has launched its HK IPO to raise net proceeds of $1.1 billion, at the mid-point of the HK$10.20-13.16 price range. Overall, we think that...

Arun George

Softening Coal Prices and Improving Demand Will Drive a Better 2017 Outlook for Coal-Fired IPPs.

Despite improving power demand, China’s coal-fired independent power producers’, or IPPs’, fourth-quarter profits are set to be hit by surging coal...

Morningstar, Inc.

Raising Fair Value Estimates for City Gas Operators After Extending Our Forecast Periods

After extending our explicit forecast periods to 10 years from five years, w e have raised our fair value estimate for China Gas Holdings Ltd (384...

Morningstar, Inc.

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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