External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Bell Potter Securities

Bell Potter

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Bell Potter Securities

Bell Potter Securities is a leading Australian stockbroking, investment and financial advisory firm that provides a comprehensive offering of financial services to individuals, institutions and corporations. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>With the Boral (BLD) acquisition nearing completion, we revisit our SVW model forecasts, updating our attributable SVW financials, BLD valuation and SVW’s capital structure post-acquisition.</li><li>Key points: Dividend payouts: We incorporate the 26cps fully franked special dividend paid by BLD in late April 2024 and a 30cps fully franked special dividend to be paid by SVW to all new and existing shareholders in FY25.</li><li>Leverage &amp; subsequent de-leveraging: We estimate pro forma net leverage to be 2.7x FY24 EBITDA (including leases).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With the Boral (BLD) acquisition nearing completion, we revisit our SVW model forecasts, updating our attributable SVW financials, BLD valuation and SVW’s capital structure post-acquisition.Key points: Dividend payouts: We incorporate the 26cps fully franked special dividend paid by BLD in late April 2024 and a 30cps fully franked special dividend to be paid by SVW to all new and existing shareholders in FY25.Leverage &amp; subsequent de-leveraging: We estimate pro forma net leverage to be 2.7x FY24 EBITDA (including leases).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Seven Group Holdings (SVW): Rounding out the portfolio

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)</a>'s holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral Ltd (BLD AU)</a> continues to increase and that could lead to an index change at the June rebalance, if not earlier.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silver-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6529:1" rel="noopener">Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a> merger could lead to an index change early June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cie-de-saint-gobain" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21547:1" rel="noopener">Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)</a>'s acquisition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a> could lead to another index change just ahead of the regular June rebalance.</li>
</ul>



Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)'s holding in Boral Ltd (BLD AU) continues to increase and that could lead to an index change at the June rebalance, if not earlier.
The Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)/ Red 5 Ltd (RED AU) merger could lead to an index change early June.

Cie De Saint-Gobain (SGO FP)'s acquisition of CSR Ltd (CSR AU) could lead to another index change just ahead of the regular June rebalance.


ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Prior to the June Rebalance

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 7th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 7th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 7th): Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mma-offshore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:594:1" rel="noopener">Mma Offshore (MRM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mimasu-semiconductor-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5531:1" rel="noopener">Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kfc-holdings-japan-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12358:1" rel="noopener">Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP), Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU), Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK). 
Lowest spreads: Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP), Mma Offshore (MRM AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU). 



Merger Arb Mondays (03 Jun) - China TCM, Huafa, GA Pack, SciClone, CF Logistics, Great Eastern

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 24th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Macquarie, Viva Energy, Wesfarmers, Boral.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of May 24th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Macquarie, Viva Energy, Wesfarmers, Boral.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 24th): Macquarie, Viva Energy, Wesfarmers, Boral

Australia

Reece Limited operates as a plumbing, building and hardware merchant throughout Australia.  The Company offers a variety of bathroom, kitchen and laundry products through its national stores and showrooms.  Reece's products are utilized by plumbers, consumers, architects, builders and interior designers.

Emeco Holdings Limited provides commercial equipment rental services. The Company rents earthmoving equipment to the mining industries in Australia and Indonesia.

Coventry Group Limited is involved in the distribution of automotive parts, tools, workshop equipment and associated products, fasteners, bearings, fluid systems and mining and industrial products.  The Company also manufactures and applies bitumen, asphalt and related products along with manufacturing automotive and industrial gaskets.

HGL Ltd is a distributor of branded products into niche markets. The company mainly distributes and markets school uniforms, head wear, fabrics, collector model cars, optical and beauty care products, lighting equipment and copying and printing solutions and consumables. It also designs and distributes a wide range of price ticketing, shelf management and promotional display products.

Johns Lyng Group Limited provides non-residential construction services. The Company offers construction, building, and support services, as well as software products, home maintenance, and call center services. Johns Lyng Group serves clients in Australia.

Monadelphous Group Limited provides engineering and construction services to the resources and petrochemical industries. The Company provides mining and processing industry maintenance, mining equipment refurbishment, project management, construction, and airport ground handling services. Monadelphous Group serves customers in Australia.

NRW Holdings Limited provides mining and civil construction services. The Company offers rail formation, bulk earthworks, mine development, road and tunnel construction, topsoil removal, and a range of contract mining services. NRW Holdings serves customers in Australia.

Austal Limited is an emerging global defence prime contractor. The Group supplies vessel platforms such as the Littoral Combat Ship and the Joint High Speed Vessel to the United States Navy, an extensive range of patrol and auxiliary vessels to defence forces around the world, and installs and maintains military communications, radar and command and control systems.

Service Stream Limited is a specialized fixed, wireless and broadband telecommunications service provider. The Company acquires property, plans, approves, designs, constructs, installs, commissions, and provides ongoing maintenance forwireless communications facilities. The Company also provides installation, construction and maintenance services for the telecom industry.

GWA Group Ltd. manufactures building fittings for households and commercial premises.  The Company designs, manufactures, imports and distributes domestic and commercial bathroom, kitchen and laundry products; manufactures and imports hot water and ducted heating and cooling systems; and designs, manufactures, imports and distributes door hardware and fittings and garage doors and openers.

Posco International Corporation is a general trading company.  The Company exports and imports steel, cement, crude oil, heavy machinery, automobile parts, and textiles.  Daewoo also manufactures synthetic fabrics for footwear, garments, and car seats, and operates a department store in Masan.

Posco International Corporation (047050 KS)

WESCO International, Inc. distributes electrical products and other industrial maintenance, repair, and operating supplies.  The Company also provides integrated supply services.  WESCO operates branches and distribution centers in the United States, Canada, Puerto Rico, Guam, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and Singapore, which serve customers worldwide.

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. distributes bearings and seals, power transmission and fluid power components, hydraulic and pneumatic components, industrial rubber products, linear components, and general maintenance items. The Company also provides engineering design and systems integration services, as well as mechanical, fabricated rubber, and fluid power shop services.

IMCD Group NV sells specialty chemicals and food ingredients. The Company supplies detergent surfactants, builders, rheology modifiers, solubilizers, and functional additives. IMCD serves customers worldwide.

Rexel SA distributes low voltage electrical equipment.  The Company distributes wires, cables, ducts, heating, light and ventilation equipment, security equipment, household appliances, and products which connect computer peripherals to networks.  Rexel sells its products to electrical contractors, industrial and service sector companies, homeowners, and government agencies.

Brenntag AG sells and distributes industrial and specialty chemicals.  The Company also develops and prepares specific chemical compounds and offers analysis services.  Brenntag's customers include oil and gas, paint, cosmetic, pharmaceutical, and water treatment companies.

Diploma plc is a holding company for a group of subsidiaries that distribute and manufacture building components and special seals. The subsidiaries distribute an assortment of scientific and laboratory equipment and telecommunications products. The Company primarily operates throughout the UK, but sells its products internationally.

AddTech AB offers high-tech industrial components and systems.  The Company creates customer specific solutions within the areas Equipment, Transmission, and Components.  AddTech works in close cooperation with both customers and suppliers.  The Company's largest customer segments are the engineering, telecommunications, automotive, and electronic industries in the Nordic area.

Beijer Ref AB, through subsidiaries, manufactures cooling and heating systems, and is a supplier of raw materials, industrial equipment, tools, and parts.  The Company's product range includes rubber and plastic products, packing materials, as well as air conditioning and refrigeration systems.  Beijer operates and sells its products to large industrial companies in northern Europe.

Indutrade AB provides engineering and equipment, flow technology, industrial components, and special products.  The Company sells its products to industrial companies primarily in Northern Europe.

Seven Group Holdings Ltd. is a diversified operating and investment group. The Groups interests include media holdings that include Seven Network, a commercial television network and publishing company, a telecommunications company, and a heavy equipment dealer that operates  Caterpillar dealerships in Australia and North Eastern China.

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Seven Group Holdings (SVW AU)

Seven Group Holdings (SVW): Rounding out the portfolio

With the Boral (BLD) acquisition nearing completion, we revisit our SVW model forecasts, updating our attributable SVW financials, BLD valuation...

Bell Potter

ASX200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Prior to the June Rebalance

Upcoming M&A activity will result in ad hoc inclusions to the ASX200 prior to the June rebal. There could be 2-3 adds in the first few weeks of...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 7th): Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Merger Arb Mondays (03 Jun) - China TCM, Huafa, GA Pack, SciClone, CF Logistics, Great Eastern

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (110.1%), Hollysys (25.2%), CF Logistics (18.0%), Ansarada (12.1%), Malaysia Airports (10.7%),...

Arun George

ASX Short Interest Weekly (May 24th): Macquarie, Viva Energy, Wesfarmers, Boral

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Macquarie, Viva Energy, Wesfarmers, Boral.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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