Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August. Only 4 trading days to go.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 12 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have underperformed the downward migrations over the last month as a few stocks have sold off hard. Some despite being included in global indices.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August. Only 4 trading days to go.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 12 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
The upward migrations have underperformed the downward migrations over the last month as a few stocks have sold off hard. Some despite being included in global indices.


KOSPI Size Indices: Momentum Stalls; (Some) Upward Migrations Sell-Off

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>There are a few stocks that are expected to have passive flows from global and local index trackers over the next few months and that will add to the impact.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices commenced on 1 June and will end on 31 August.
We see 8 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
There are a few stocks that are expected to have passive flows from global and local index trackers over the next few months and that will add to the impact.


KOSPI Size Indices: Outperformance Slows on Momentum Stalls

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TY Holdings (363280 KS) is the 19th company in our Korea Small Cap Gems series.</li>
<li>Our NAV analysis of TY Holdings suggests NAV of 925.5 billion won or NAV per share of 18,172 won per share, which is 47.4% higher than current share price.</li>
<li>The key catalysts include earnings improvements at SBS and Ecorbit, potential corporate activism on SBS, and potential change in regulation to allow foreigners to invest in SBS (terrestrial broadcasting company). </li>
</ul>


TY Holdings (363280 KS) is the 19th company in our Korea Small Cap Gems series.
Our NAV analysis of TY Holdings suggests NAV of 925.5 billion won or NAV per share of 18,172 won per share, which is 47.4% higher than current share price.
The key catalysts include earnings improvements at SBS and Ecorbit, potential corporate activism on SBS, and potential change in regulation to allow foreigners to invest in SBS (terrestrial broadcasting company). 


Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Astro Malaysia Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Astro's high-frequency operational data still looks very positive with a high TV viewership share (72%), 3.2 hours average time spent/day that is ahead of 2.16 hours of the FTA, increased MAU by 17% YoY, on-demand shows streamed has tripled to MYR 233 million. 
The big announcement is that Astro subscribers can soon access <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netflix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20451:1" rel="noopener">Netflix Inc (NFLX US)</a> through its Ultra and Ulti boxes which means investors should not worry that Astro subscribers will be reduced because they want to move to Netflix. Although it is more of a defensive strategy, there is a potential for a small upside as some existing Netflix subscribers in Malaysia may want to subscribe to Astro as they get bangs for their bucks. 
Post 50% share price increase, the company is still trading below its pre-COVID-19 level although the business climate has been stable and Netflix is not exactly a competitor to be feared anymore as it has become Astro's allies in Malaysia. The company also generates just shy of 20% FCF yield. There is no reason not to like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astro-malaysia-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1143:1" rel="noopener">Astro Malaysia Holdings (ASTRO MK)</a>.

Astro's high-frequency operational data still looks very positive with a high TV viewership share (72%), 3.2 hours average time spent/day that is ahead of 2.16 hours of the FTA, increased MAU by 17% YoY, on-demand shows streamed has tripled to MYR 233 million. 
The big announcement is that Astro subscribers can soon access Netflix Inc (NFLX US) through its Ultra and Ulti boxes which means investors should not worry that Astro subscribers will be reduced because they want to move to Netflix. Although it is more of a defensive strategy, there is a potential for a small upside as some existing Netflix subscribers in Malaysia may want to subscribe to Astro as they get bangs for their bucks. 
Post 50% share price increase, the company is still trading below its pre-COVID-19 level although the business climate has been stable and Netflix is not exactly a competitor to be feared anymore as it has become Astro's allies in Malaysia. The company also generates just shy of 20% FCF yield. There is no reason not to like Astro Malaysia Holdings (ASTRO MK). 

Astro (ASTRO): Netflix Is Included Soon and High FCF Yield.

South Korea

Seoul Broadcasting System (SBS) is a commercial television and radio broadcasting company.  The Company produces and broadcasts programs, such as news, sports, weather, music, movies, and television drama series.

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Seoul Broadcasting System (034120 KS)

KOSPI Size Indices: Momentum Stalls; (Some) Upward Migrations Sell-Off

There could be 41 changes to the KOSPI Size Indices in September. The upward migrations have underperformed the downward migrations over the last...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Outperformance Slows on Momentum Stalls

There could be 41 stocks migrating between size segments in September. The upward migrations have outperformed the downward migrations but the...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

Korea Small Cap Gem #19: TY Holdings

TY Holdings (363280 KS) is the 19th company in our Korea Small Cap Gems series. The key catalysts include earnings improvements at SBS and Ecorbit...

Douglas Kim

Astro (ASTRO): Netflix Is Included Soon and High FCF Yield.

After 50% increase, Astro is still trading below its pre-COVID-19 level although the business climate has been stable and Netflix has become...

Henry Soediarko

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