External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>SenseTime announced (4 Dec) the completion of a strategic organizational restructuring, after which the company has established a new “1+X” structure: 1) “1” stands for the core business, which will focus on AI cloud services, integration of large models &amp; AI applications, development of general computer vision (CV) models</li><li>2) “X” stands for other ecological businesses within the group including smart auto, domestic robot, smart healthcare, smart retail, etc.</li><li>Each ecological business will 1) designate an independent CEO; 2) have a flexible incentive mechanism and financing channels; 3) use SenseTime’s AI infrastructure &amp; large models (and pay SenseTime on an arm's length transaction basis) to develop AI applications in their respective fields. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SenseTime announced (4 Dec) the completion of a strategic organizational restructuring, after which the company has established a new “1+X” structure: 1) “1” stands for the core business, which will focus on AI cloud services, integration of large models &amp; AI applications, development of general computer vision (CV) models2) “X” stands for other ecological businesses within the group including smart auto, domestic robot, smart healthcare, smart retail, etc.Each ecological business will 1) designate an independent CEO; 2) have a flexible incentive mechanism and financing channels; 3) use SenseTime’s AI infrastructure &amp; large models (and pay SenseTime on an arm's length transaction basis) to develop AI applications in their respective fields. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SenseTime (20 HK) - Restructuring to Focus on Gen AI Business and Accelerate Breakeven Progress

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>AI software company SenseTime’s share price dropped more than 50% over the last one week with the expiry of lock-up period as pre-investors of the company took some profits.  </li>
<li>The company was placed in an investment blacklist by the US government prior to the IPO which forced to launch the IPO without investors from the US.</li>
<li>The company also priced the IPO at the bottom of the price range and despite all of this, shares quickly went up to HK$8.20 from IPO price of US$3.85.</li>
</ul>


AI software company SenseTime’s share price dropped more than 50% over the last one week with the expiry of lock-up period as pre-investors of the company took some profits.  
The company was placed in an investment blacklist by the US government prior to the IPO which forced to launch the IPO without investors from the US.
The company also priced the IPO at the bottom of the price range and despite all of this, shares quickly went up to HK$8.20 from IPO price of US$3.85.


SenseTime: Shares Fall with Lock-Up Expiry; Further Downside with More Selling at the Next Expiry

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> currently has a float of 1.4%. That will increase to 46% at the end of June as pre-IPO and cornerstone investor lock-ups end.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index</a> FAF increase and potential inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index</a> will require passive trackers to buy 700m shares early September.</li>
<li>Economic stimulus in China, outlook for China tech, lock-up expiry, inclusion in Southbound Connect and flows from passive trackers will drive the stock for few months and provide trading opportunities.</li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (20 HK) currently has a float of 1.4%. That will increase to 46% at the end of June as pre-IPO and cornerstone investor lock-ups end.
The Hang Seng Tech Index FAF increase and potential inclusion in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index will require passive trackers to buy 700m shares early September.
Economic stimulus in China, outlook for China tech, lock-up expiry, inclusion in Southbound Connect and flows from passive trackers will drive the stock for few months and provide trading opportunities.


SenseTime (20 HK): Lock-Up Expiry Will Bring BIG Passive Flow

<ul><li>SenseTime announced 1H24 results on 27 Aug: total revenue grew by 21% YoY to RMB1.74bn, largely in line with our estimate; adjusted net loss narrowed by 3% YoY to RMB2.33bn with net loss margin improving by 33ppt YoY to -134%, which is below full-year consensus margin estimate of -79% due to continuous investments in foundations models and generative AI application development.</li><li>Looking ahead in 2H24E, we expect total revenue growth will further accelerate to +33% YoY, driven by the robust growth of Gen AI business.</li><li>We maintain our FY24- 26E total revenue forecast largely unchanged but expect larger adjusted net loss of RMB3.5/2.5/1.7bn over FY24-26E (previous: RMB3.1/2.3/1.6bn), mainly due to more conservative GPM outlook as SenseTime will expand its computing power through a partner network. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SenseTime announced 1H24 results on 27 Aug: total revenue grew by 21% YoY to RMB1.74bn, largely in line with our estimate; adjusted net loss narrowed by 3% YoY to RMB2.33bn with net loss margin improving by 33ppt YoY to -134%, which is below full-year consensus margin estimate of -79% due to continuous investments in foundations models and generative AI application development.Looking ahead in 2H24E, we expect total revenue growth will further accelerate to +33% YoY, driven by the robust growth of Gen AI business.We maintain our FY24- 26E total revenue forecast largely unchanged but expect larger adjusted net loss of RMB3.5/2.5/1.7bn over FY24-26E (previous: RMB3.1/2.3/1.6bn), mainly due to more conservative GPM outlook as SenseTime will expand its computing power through a partner network. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SenseTime (20 HK) - Strengthening Gen AI Competitive Edges

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> are potential deletions while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty (2328 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-oriental-education-techn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32210:1" rel="noopener">New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK)</a> are potential adds.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.8% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$950m. Official capping will be based off the close of trading on 3 September.</li>
<li>There will be 1-2x ADV to buy on the adds and over 2x ADV to sell in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics</a>. The impact on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime</a> is lower given the recent surge in volume.</li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (20 HK) and JD Logistics (2618 HK) are potential deletions while PICC Property &amp; Casualty (2328 HK) and New Oriental Education &amp; Techn (9901 HK) are potential adds.
Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 1.8% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$950m. Official capping will be based off the close of trading on 3 September.
There will be 1-2x ADV to buy on the adds and over 2x ADV to sell in JD Logistics. The impact on SenseTime is lower given the recent surge in volume.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

China

SenseTime Group Inc. offers information technology services. The Company develops artificial intelligence software products, computer vision software products, and other products. SenseTime Group provides its services throughout China.

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SenseTime Group (20 HK)

SenseTime (20 HK) - Restructuring to Focus on Gen AI Business and Accelerate Breakeven Progress

SenseTime announced (4 Dec) the completion of a strategic organizational restructuring, after which the company has established a new “1+X” structure

CMB International

SenseTime: Shares Fall with Lock-Up Expiry; Further Downside with More Selling at the Next Expiry

SenseTime’s share price dropped more than 50% over the last one week with the expiry of lock-up period. Some shareholders have agreed to extend...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

SenseTime (20 HK): Lock-Up Expiry Will Bring BIG Passive Flow

SenseTime rallied post listing and has since dropped. Lock-up expiry in June could lead to short-term weakness but that will bring in large passive...

Brian Freitas

SenseTime (20 HK) - Strengthening Gen AI Competitive Edges

SenseTime announced 1H24 results on 27 Aug: total revenue grew by 21% YoY to RMB1.74bn, largely in line with our estimate

CMB International

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Likely in September

We forecast two changes in September with a 1-way turnover of 1.8% resulting in a 1-way trade of HK$950m. There will be 1-2 days of ADV to trade on...

Brian Freitas

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