Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

August semiconductor revenues set new records worldwide and in nearly every region.  This is a continuation of a growth trend that has been playing out since the end of 2019, with each month setting new records since December of last year.

August semiconductor revenues set new records worldwide and in nearly every region.  This is a continuation of a growth trend that has been playing out since the end of 2019, with each month setting new records since December of last year.

August Semiconductor Revenues Break Records Once Again

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine.Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In 2020, Southbound trading accounted for 22% of the equity market ADT. We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.In this insight, we will highlight inflows into Tencent Holdings Limited (700 HK), Wh Group Limited (288 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), as well as outflows from Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing Limited (388 HK), Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (981 HK), Anta Sports Products Limited (2020 HK).

In our weekly HK Connect Flow series, we aim to highlight key stocks and sectors which the mainland investors traded via the southbound Hong Kong Connect, as analyzed by our proprietary data engine.Since the opening of Hong Kong Connect scheme in 2014, southbound Chinese money started to play an increasingly important role in the Hong Kong stock market. In 2020, Southbound trading accounted for 22% of the equity market ADT. We split the stocks eligible for the Hong Kong Connect trade into three groups: HSCEI component stocks, stocks with a market capitalization between USD 1 billion and USD 5 billion, and stocks with a market capitalization between USD 500 million and USD 1 billion.In this insight, we will highlight inflows into Tencent Holdings Limited (700 HK), Wh Group Limited (288 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), as well as outflows from Hong Kong Exchanges And Clearing Limited (388 HK), Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (981 HK), Anta Sports Products Limited (2020 HK).

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, WH Group, Kuaishou

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

SMIC's share price jumped 6% to HK$23.60 on Friday, Sept. 10,  signaling that concerns over the cost of the new factory announced a week ago and other risks had been discounted. Over the previous month, the shares had declined by 19%.On Sept. 3, the company announced plans to build a new factory in Shanghai to produce semiconductors at the 28-nanometer node. This technology is suitable for automotive ICs, which are currently in short supply.Given common concerns over the semiconductor shortage and President Biden's reportedly conciliatory call to President Xi, the risk of U.S. sanctions seems minimal.Buy in anticipation of a near doubling of production capacity by 2024.

SMIC's share price jumped 6% to HK$23.60 on Friday, Sept. 10,  signaling that concerns over the cost of the new factory announced a week ago and other risks had been discounted. Over the previous month, the shares had declined by 19%.On Sept. 3, the company announced plans to build a new factory in Shanghai to produce semiconductors at the 28-nanometer node. This technology is suitable for automotive ICs, which are currently in short supply.Given common concerns over the semiconductor shortage and President Biden's reportedly conciliatory call to President Xi, the risk of U.S. sanctions seems minimal.Buy in anticipation of a near doubling of production capacity by 2024.

SMIC (SEHK: 00981; SSE Star Market: 688981): Concerns in the Price, Buy for Long-Term Growth

July semiconductor revenues, just reported by the SIA, reached a record high.  Today's market bears a strong resemblance to the high-growth days of 2017-18, and an end will come when the market falls back to normal growth.  This presents opportunities for growth in the near term and shorts in the longer term.

July semiconductor revenues, just reported by the SIA, reached a record high.  Today's market bears a strong resemblance to the high-growth days of 2017-18, and an end will come when the market falls back to normal growth.  This presents opportunities for growth in the near term and shorts in the longer term.

Semiconductors Continue Surprise Strength

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

The September rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> was implemented at the close of trading on 3 September. Hang Seng Indexes should announce the results of the December 2021 review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes on 12 November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 3 December.The review period for the December rebalance ends on 30 September and stocks that have at least 3 month of trading history by the review meeting date are eligible for inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>.There were 3 inclusions at the June rebalance and 3 inclusions and 1 exclusion at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents to 60.With Hang Seng Indexes looking to get up to 80 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> members by mid-2022, there could be 20 inclusions over the next 3 index rebalances.Stocks that are ranked towards the top of their Industry group and are potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smoore-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28241:1" rel="noopener">Smoore International (6969 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring (9633 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beer-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:399:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-mixc-lifestyle-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29285:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:240:1" rel="noopener">Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-gas-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14315:1" rel="noopener">China Gas Holdings (384 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (6618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-hongqiao-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1909:1" rel="noopener">China Hongqiao (1378 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:433:1" rel="noopener">Fosun International (656 HK)</a>.Given that the index committee consciously avoided including stocks from sectors that were targeted by tightening regulations in China, this list will be revised closer to the index committee meeting in November. Another factor that will determine the number of inclusions is the turnover at the rebalance - while it is less than 4% now with the 10 inclusions, that number will move higher as stocks move around and there are capping changes on the largest constituents.

The September rebalance of the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) was implemented at the close of trading on 3 September. Hang Seng Indexes should announce the results of the December 2021 review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes on 12 November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 3 December.The review period for the December rebalance ends on 30 September and stocks that have at least 3 month of trading history by the review meeting date are eligible for inclusion in the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX).There were 3 inclusions at the June rebalance and 3 inclusions and 1 exclusion at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents to 60.With Hang Seng Indexes looking to get up to 80 Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) members by mid-2022, there could be 20 inclusions over the next 3 index rebalances.Stocks that are ranked towards the top of their Industry group and are potential inclusions are Smoore International (6969 HK), Nongfu Spring (9633 HK), China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK), China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (1209 HK), Sunac China Holdings (1918 HK), China Gas Holdings (384 HK), JD Health (6618 HK), Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK) and Fosun International (656 HK).Given that the index committee consciously avoided including stocks from sectors that were targeted by tightening regulations in China, this list will be revised closer to the index committee meeting in November. Another factor that will determine the number of inclusions is the turnover at the rebalance - while it is less than 4% now with the 10 inclusions, that number will move higher as stocks move around and there are capping changes on the largest constituents.

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions in December

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

August Semiconductor Revenues Break Records Once Again

Once again the semiconductor market has set a new revenue record. Just-reported August revenues make it the highest month in history. There's no...

Jim Handy

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, WH Group, Kuaishou

We highlight Hong Kong Connect Southbound inflows into Tencent (700 HK), WH Group (288 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), and outflows from HKEx (388 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SMIC (SEHK: 00981; SSE Star Market: 688981): Concerns in the Price, Buy for Long-Term Growth

Concerns over the cost of new factories and possible U.S. sanctions appear to have been discounted. Expansion plans point to a doubling of capacity...

Scott Foster

Semiconductors Continue Surprise Strength

Semiconductor revenues in July were 29% higher than the prior year and the market set a new record. Will this continue? Yes, for a while, but...

Jim Handy

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions in December

There could be 10 inclusions to the HSI at the Dec rebalance to help reach the 80 index member count by mid-2022. Index turnover & regulations will...

Brian Freitas

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