Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1810 HK: Xiaomi EV deliveries continue to rebound in week 25 of 2024(/)</li>
<li>1810 HK/JD US: Data provider says smartphone sales volume grew 6.8% yoy during 6/18 (+/+)</li>
<li>ATAT US: Atour Planet achieved a GMV of RMB370mn during the 618 promotion, representing a year-on-year growth of 230%(+)</li>
</ul>


1810 HK: Xiaomi EV deliveries continue to rebound in week 25 of 2024(/)
1810 HK/JD US: Data provider says smartphone sales volume grew 6.8% yoy during 6/18 (+/+)
ATAT US: Atour Planet achieved a GMV of RMB370mn during the 618 promotion, representing a year-on-year growth of 230%(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/JD US/ATAT US/BEKE US/981 HK

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Shares Fall With Nvidia... SK Hynix HBM DRAM with Global Unichip? Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues... Broadcom Developing an AI Chip with Bytedance</li>
<li>TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing </li>
<li>UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ. </li>
</ul>


Taiwan Shares Fall With Nvidia... SK Hynix HBM DRAM with Global Unichip? Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues... Broadcom Developing an AI Chip with Bytedance
TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing 
UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Declines With Nvidia; Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues; UMC's Outlook Improves

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>BIG Net SOUTHBOUND inflow continues. Notable in the past four weeks are US$1.9bn of net flow to Energy Hs and US$2.2bn to Banks in the H side of H/A Pairs.</li>
<li>AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads, and the recent HA Premium bounce has lost momentum.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
BIG Net SOUTHBOUND inflow continues. Notable in the past four weeks are US$1.9bn of net flow to Energy Hs and US$2.2bn to Banks in the H side of H/A Pairs.
AH Premia lowish in 52-week range, but still high for many pairs. I continue to expect further "convergence" among spreads, and the recent HA Premium bounce has lost momentum.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 21 Jun 2024):  AH Premia Stabilising Lower, Can Move A Leg Lower Still

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expect Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) to achieve approximately a 5% QoQ growth in revenue and relatively flat gross margin (GM) QoQ in 3Q24.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> and HLMC are capable of producing DDICs at 40nm and below.</li>
<li>Novatek is experiencing a decline in demand for 55nm Touch with Display Driver (TDDI) in 3Q24.</li>
</ul>


We expect Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT) to achieve approximately a 5% QoQ growth in revenue and relatively flat gross margin (GM) QoQ in 3Q24.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) and HLMC are capable of producing DDICs at 40nm and below.
Novatek is experiencing a decline in demand for 55nm Touch with Display Driver (TDDI) in 3Q24.


Novatek (3034.TT): To Achieve a ~5% QoQ Growth in Revenue and Relatively Flat GM QoQ in 3Q24

<ul>
<li>981HK: Huawei Wuhu Supercomputing Center opens services, which benefits SMIC. (/)</li>
<li>LKNCY US: Cotti Coffee Changes Product Formulas and Supply Chain, Ramps up Promotion for Fruit Coffee (-)</li>
<li>BGNE US: AstraZeneca Calquence Phase III results set up competition for BeiGene's Zanubrutinib</li>
</ul>


981HK: Huawei Wuhu Supercomputing Center opens services, which benefits SMIC. (/)
LKNCY US: Cotti Coffee Changes Product Formulas and Supply Chain, Ramps up Promotion for Fruit Coffee (-)
BGNE US: AstraZeneca Calquence Phase III results set up competition for BeiGene's Zanubrutinib


[Blue Lotus Daily]:981HK/LKNCY US/BGNE US

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/JD US/ATAT US/BEKE US/981 HK

Xiaomi EV deliveries rebound, smartphone sales volume grows, Atour Planet sees significant GMV growth during 618 promotion.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Declines With Nvidia; Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues; UMC's Outlook Improves

New Vietnam investments by Hon Hai and Wistron, Elan preparing for significant AI PC uptake in 4Q24/1H25, UMC's outlook increasingly optimistic for...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

A/H Premium Tracker (To 21 Jun 2024): AH Premia Stabilising Lower, Can Move A Leg Lower Still

The Quiddity AH Monitor shows that while AH Premia have spent weeks "bouncing" off multi-year lows, the rebound impetus is slowing. There's room...

Travis Lundy

Novatek (3034.TT): To Achieve a ~5% QoQ Growth in Revenue and Relatively Flat GM QoQ in 3Q24

Novatek Microelectronics Corp expected to see 5% QoQ revenue growth in 3Q24, while facing declining demand for 55nm TDDI. SMIC and HLMC can...

Patrick Liao

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981HK/LKNCY US/BGNE US

Huawei's new supercomputing center benefits SMIC; Cotti Coffee changes formulas; AstraZeneca's results pose competition for BeiGene.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/JD US/ATAT US/BEKE US/981 HK

​Xiaomi EV deliveries rebound, smartphone sales volume grows, Atour Planet sees significant GMV growth during 618 promotion.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Declines With Nvidia; Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues; UMC's Outlook Improves

New Vietnam investments by Hon Hai and Wistron, Elan preparing for significant AI PC uptake in 4Q24/1H25, UMC's outlook increasingly optimistic for...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

A/H Premium Tracker (To 21 Jun 2024): AH Premia Stabilising Lower, Can Move A Leg Lower Still

The Quiddity AH Monitor shows that while AH Premia have spent weeks "bouncing" off multi-year lows, the rebound impetus is slowing. There's room...

Travis Lundy

Novatek (3034.TT): To Achieve a ~5% QoQ Growth in Revenue and Relatively Flat GM QoQ in 3Q24

​Novatek Microelectronics Corp expected to see 5% QoQ revenue growth in 3Q24, while facing declining demand for 55nm TDDI. SMIC and HLMC can...

Patrick Liao

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981HK/LKNCY US/BGNE US

​Huawei's new supercomputing center benefits SMIC; Cotti Coffee changes formulas; AstraZeneca's results pose competition for BeiGene.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi EV deliveries rebound, smartphone sales volume grows, Atour Planet sees significant GMV growth during 618 promotion.

Novatek Microelectronics Corp expected to see 5% QoQ revenue growth in 3Q24, while facing declining demand for 55nm TDDI. SMIC and HLMC can...

Huawei's new supercomputing center benefits SMIC; Cotti Coffee changes formulas; AstraZeneca's results pose competition for BeiGene.