Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daihatsu-diesel-mfg-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12455:1" rel="noopener">Daihatsu Diesel Mfg (6023 JP)</a> is down sharply today - much more than indices - as autos/tech fall on US auto tariffs. There may be some GPIF unwinds as well. </li>
<li>A reminder: Despite the name, Daihatsu Diesel is not an auto name, is growing, has a big order book, and minimal direct exposure to the US. </li>
<li>The Tender settles today. The 8% overhang from Tendered-But-Unsold Shares is an opportunity, not a burden, at 7.2x ex-cash PER.</li>
</ul>



Daihatsu Diesel Mfg (6023 JP) is down sharply today - much more than indices - as autos/tech fall on US auto tariffs. There may be some GPIF unwinds as well. 
A reminder: Despite the name, Daihatsu Diesel is not an auto name, is growing, has a big order book, and minimal direct exposure to the US. 
The Tender settles today. The 8% overhang from Tendered-But-Unsold Shares is an opportunity, not a burden, at 7.2x ex-cash PER.


Daihatsu Diesel (6023) - Is Not Directly Auto-Tariff-Related

<ul>
<li>In late January, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daihatsu-diesel-mfg-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12455:1" rel="noopener">Daihatsu Diesel Mfg (6023 JP)</a> announced its once/former parent would sell all its shares; in part to a private company in the industry and a 20% buyback.</li>
<li>The buyback - a below-market own-share tender offer - was priced low enough to be a big win. Accretion added to that. </li>
<li>Buyback Tender Results and External Changes signal overhang and opportunity. Either way, it's cheap, but good governance could make it even cheaper.</li>
</ul>


In late January, Daihatsu Diesel Mfg (6023 JP) announced its once/former parent would sell all its shares; in part to a private company in the industry and a 20% buyback.
The buyback - a below-market own-share tender offer - was priced low enough to be a big win. Accretion added to that. 
Buyback Tender Results and External Changes signal overhang and opportunity. Either way, it's cheap, but good governance could make it even cheaper.


Daihatsu Diesel (6023) Buyback Tender Results Signal Overhang and Opportunity

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Wild ride for Kokusai Electric yesterday on US/China announcement, although the squeeze should continue.</li>
<li>SMCI +25% in after market trading enough to finally get Nidec up?</li>
<li>Yields down, Homebuilders up, but Tesla hammered after Musk's clumsy foray into EU/UK politics.</li>
</ul>


Wild ride for Kokusai Electric yesterday on US/China announcement, although the squeeze should continue.
SMCI +25% in after market trading enough to finally get Nidec up?
Yields down, Homebuilders up, but Tesla hammered after Musk's clumsy foray into EU/UK politics.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Rout Deepens, but JP May Be Largely Priced In

<ul>
<li>Weak tape for tech over mixed signalling out of White House.</li>
<li>Kyocera earnings missed but management seem to be pulling the right levers (finally) on the restructuring front.</li>
<li>Ibiden tarred by the Shinko brush, but what about its NVDA exposure?</li>
</ul>


Weak tape for tech over mixed signalling out of White House.
Kyocera earnings missed but management seem to be pulling the right levers (finally) on the restructuring front.
Ibiden tarred by the Shinko brush, but what about its NVDA exposure?


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Tariff U-Turn Will Help Markets Start Better

<ul>
<li>Will we see more of the same ineffectual export curbs or a lightening of export restrictions?</li>
<li>Expect a continued rotation into all things non-tech in JP including Home Builders who jumped overnight as yields sank.</li>
<li>Plenty of shorts with ample downside including Hitachi, Fuji Elec, Hokkaido Elec outside of the mainstay AI plays.</li>
</ul>


Will we see more of the same ineffectual export curbs or a lightening of export restrictions?
Expect a continued rotation into all things non-tech in JP including Home Builders who jumped overnight as yields sank.
Plenty of shorts with ample downside including Hitachi, Fuji Elec, Hokkaido Elec outside of the mainstay AI plays.


Japan Morning Connection: US Tech Meltdown Set to Hit Japan AI/Tech Names Again

Japan

Sekisui House, Ltd. builds and sells steel-frame and wooden housings. The Company constructs single-family houses, condominiums, and apartment buildings.  Sekisui House also operates real estate brokerage and leasing businesses.  Additionally, the Company sells construction materials.

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Sekisui House (1928 JP)

Daihatsu Diesel (6023) Buyback Tender Results Signal Overhang and Opportunity

The Daihatsu Diesel tender offer is complete. There has been a pop on the idea of a US tax break for ship building which probably means little, but...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Rout Deepens, but JP May Be Largely Priced In

Kokusai Electric squeeze looks to continue. Will SMCI +25% finally help lift Nidec? Tesla suffers from Musk's involvement in EU politics.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Tariff U-Turn Will Help Markets Start Better

Tech stocks weak over mixed signals from the White House, Kyocera making good restructuring efforts despite earnings miss, Ibiden suffered from...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Tech Meltdown Set to Hit Japan AI/Tech Names Again

Expect a continued shift away towards non-tech sectors, particularly home builders. Plenty of shorts with downside to consider.

Andrew Jackson

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Daihatsu Diesel (6023) - Is Not Directly Auto-Tariff-Related

Daihatsu Diesel is cheap. Tariffs, GPIF selling, and name association may be making it cheaper. This stock is worth sitting on, buying more, etc....

Travis Lundy

Daihatsu Diesel (6023) Buyback Tender Results Signal Overhang and Opportunity

The Daihatsu Diesel tender offer is complete. There has been a pop on the idea of a US tax break for ship building which probably means little, but...

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Rout Deepens, but JP May Be Largely Priced In

Kokusai Electric squeeze looks to continue. Will SMCI +25% finally help lift Nidec? Tesla suffers from Musk's involvement in EU politics.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Tariff U-Turn Will Help Markets Start Better

​Tech stocks weak over mixed signals from the White House, Kyocera making good restructuring efforts despite earnings miss, Ibiden suffered from...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: US Tech Meltdown Set to Hit Japan AI/Tech Names Again

Expect a continued shift away towards non-tech sectors, particularly home builders. Plenty of shorts with downside to consider.

Andrew Jackson

Tech stocks weak over mixed signals from the White House, Kyocera making good restructuring efforts despite earnings miss, Ibiden suffered from...