Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At the December rebalance, we expect changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. Announcement is on 2 December with implementation on 16 December.</li>
<li>If added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>, passive trackers will need to buy over 9 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monadelphous-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:553:1" rel="noopener">Monadelphous (MND AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ioneer-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10264:1" rel="noopener">ioneer Ltd (INR AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Shorts have dropped on nearly all potential adds and deletes over the last couple of months. With shorts at low levels, short covering will have limited impact at the rebalance.</li>
</ul>


At the December rebalance, we expect changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). Announcement is on 2 December with implementation on 16 December.
If added to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX), passive trackers will need to buy over 9 days of ADV on Monadelphous (MND AU) and ioneer Ltd (INR AU).
Shorts have dropped on nearly all potential adds and deletes over the last couple of months. With shorts at low levels, short covering will have limited impact at the rebalance.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The EGM to approve the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a>’s privatisation offer of $61.00 in cash per ADS will be held at 9 am (Shanghai time) on 27 April.</li>
<li>The transaction is expected to close during the second quarter of 2022. The continuing shareholders represent 56.2% of the voting rights according to the proxy statement.</li>
<li>Based on 67.5 million ADS entitled to vote at the EGM, around 21% of disinterested shareholders are required to vote in favour to meet the two-thirds voting threshold.</li>
</ul>


The EGM to approve the 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)’s privatisation offer of $61.00 in cash per ADS will be held at 9 am (Shanghai time) on 27 April.
The transaction is expected to close during the second quarter of 2022. The continuing shareholders represent 56.2% of the voting rights according to the proxy statement.
Based on 67.5 million ADS entitled to vote at the EGM, around 21% of disinterested shareholders are required to vote in favour to meet the two-thirds voting threshold.


51job’s Privatisation Offer to Be Voted for on 27 April

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>On the 1 March, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc (JOBS US)</a></strong> said it had entered into a revised merger agreement at US$61.00/share, 22.8% down from the initial terms. </li>
<li>51job has now announced that it has called an extraordinary general meeting of shareholders to be held on April 27.</li>
<li>Despite regulatory opacity, this transaction appears done. Separately, 51job's FY21 financials will be released tomorrow.</li>
</ul>


On the 1 March, 51 Job Inc (JOBS US) said it had entered into a revised merger agreement at US$61.00/share, 22.8% down from the initial terms. 
51job has now announced that it has called an extraordinary general meeting of shareholders to be held on April 27.
Despite regulatory opacity, this transaction appears done. Separately, 51job's FY21 financials will be released tomorrow.


<ul>
<li>The consortium has improved the offer price by 6.6% to $61.00 in cash per ADS. The consortium represents 54.9% of the voting rights.</li>
<li>The Board intends to recommend shareholders vote in favour of the transaction. The transaction is expected to close during the first half of 2022.</li>
<li>The combination of the improved offer price and the tech shares sell-off improves the chance of meeting the two-thirds shareholder approval threshold. At last close, the gross spread is 7.0%. </li>
</ul>


The consortium has improved the offer price by 6.6% to $61.00 in cash per ADS. The consortium represents 54.9% of the voting rights.
The Board intends to recommend shareholders vote in favour of the transaction. The transaction is expected to close during the first half of 2022.
The combination of the improved offer price and the tech shares sell-off improves the chance of meeting the two-thirds shareholder approval threshold. At last close, the gross spread is 7.0%. 


51job’s Improved $61 Offer Gets the Board Onside

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The Sydney Airport ASX200 exclusion sets up with Telix Pharma replacing it, and two more likely changes - one each in ASX50 and ASX100.</li>
<li>Telix as an inclusion is a known known. The others are too.</li>
<li>Sydney Airport will end up seeing a LOT of stock for sale on 9 Feb at the close.</li>
</ul>


The Sydney Airport ASX200 exclusion sets up with Telix Pharma replacing it, and two more likely changes - one each in ASX50 and ASX100.
Telix as an inclusion is a known known. The others are too.
Sydney Airport will end up seeing a LOT of stock for sale on 9 Feb at the close.


S&P/ASX200: Sydney Airport OUT Telix Pharma IN, and Lots of SYD For Sale

Australia

Seek Limited operates an Internet website.  The Company offers online employment advertisements and online training in Australia and New Zealand, and offers online employment advertisements in the United Kingdom targeted at Australian and New Zealand job seekers.

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Seek Ltd (SEK AU)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds

There could be two changes each for the ASX50 and ASX200 indices in December. There is a large impact expected on a couple of the adds while short...

Brian Freitas

51job’s Privatisation Offer to Be Voted for on 27 April

The EGM to approve the privatisation offer of $61.00 per ADS will be held at 9 am (Shanghai time) on 27 April. We continue to think that the two...

Arun George

51job (JOB US): EGM On The 27 April

Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 3.4%/14.1%. That's still pretty attractive, and why this insight is bullish. Yet it has been a somewhat...

David Blennerhassett

51job’s Improved $61 Offer Gets the Board Onside

The consortium has improved its offer by 6.6% from $57.25 to $61.00 per ADS. The combination of the improved offer and the tech shares sell-off...

Arun George

S&P/ASX200: Sydney Airport OUT Telix Pharma IN, and Lots of SYD For Sale

SYD is out of ASX200 and Telix is in. That also means changes in ASX50 and ASX100 for which expected changes are noted here. This is a big selldown...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds

There could be two changes each for the ASX50 and ASX200 indices in December. There is a large impact expected on a couple of the adds while short...

Brian Freitas

51job’s Privatisation Offer to Be Voted for on 27 April

The EGM to approve the privatisation offer of $61.00 per ADS will be held at 9 am (Shanghai time) on 27 April. We continue to think that the two...

Arun George

51job (JOB US): EGM On The 27 April

Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 3.4%/14.1%. That's still pretty attractive, and why this insight is bullish. Yet it has been a somewhat...

David Blennerhassett

51job’s Improved $61 Offer Gets the Board Onside

The consortium has improved its offer by 6.6% from $57.25 to $61.00 per ADS. The combination of the improved offer and the tech shares sell-off...

Arun George

S&P/ASX200: Sydney Airport OUT Telix Pharma IN, and Lots of SYD For Sale

SYD is out of ASX200 and Telix is in. That also means changes in ASX50 and ASX100 for which expected changes are noted here. This is a big selldown...

Travis Lundy

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds