Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

Secure Trust Bank&rsquo;s (STB) first half results were a reminder that the reshaping of the loan book towards one with a lower risk profile does involve some pain. While lower asset yields from new business and maintained impairments from the back book pinch near-term returns, the potential growth of over 30% in FY18 and FY19 earnings is an indicator of gains to come on the back of a higher-quality, more diverse and resilient loan book.

Secure Trust Bank&rsquo;s (STB) first half results were a reminder that the reshaping of the loan book towards one with a lower risk profile does involve some pain. While lower asset yields from new business and maintained impairments from the back book pinch near-term returns, the potential growth of over 30% in FY18 and FY19 earnings is an indicator of gains to come on the back of a higher-quality, more diverse and resilient loan book.

Secure Trust Bank (STB) reported results that were close to expectations for 2016, a year that saw major changes as the group generated substantial profit from the Everyday Loans Group sale, gained independence and moved to the Main Market. At the same time there was substantial growth in the loan book contributing to underlying EPS growth of 20%. Looking ahead, there is scope for further organic growth but STB will also consider acquisitions on a disciplined basis. Both have the potential to contribute to a strengthening in the return on equity from the 2016 level of 11.9%, towards the return on required equity of nearly 20%.

Secure Trust Bank (STB) reported results that were close to expectations for 2016, a year that saw major changes as the group generated substantial profit from the Everyday Loans Group sale, gained independence and moved to the Main Market. At the same time there was substantial growth in the loan book contributing to underlying EPS growth of 20%. Looking ahead, there is scope for further organic growth but STB will also consider acquisitions on a disciplined basis. Both have the potential to contribute to a strengthening in the return on equity from the 2016 level of 11.9%, towards the return on required equity of nearly 20%. 

The Q4 trading update confirmed the business has been performing in line with management expectations and the full-year results should meet market expectations. Secure Trust Bank&rsquo;s (STB&rsquo;s) prudent approach was reflected in the announcement of greater caution in its consumer business including suspension of new unsecured personal lending. We have tempered our estimates for FY17 and FY18 but our updated valuation still shows a c 16% premium to the share price.

The Q4 trading update confirmed the business has been performing in line with management expectations and the full-year results should meet market expectations. Secure Trust Bank&rsquo;s (STB&rsquo;s) prudent approach was reflected in the announcement of greater caution in its consumer business including suspension of new unsecured personal lending. We have tempered our estimates for FY17 and FY18 but our updated valuation still shows a c 16% premium to the share price.

Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The vote to leave the European Union will have both shorter and longer term impacts on the UK economy. There will be a shorter term impact on demand and, separately, on potential supply. The longer term one will depend largely on the policy response. Any decline in demand can in principle be offset by a lower exchange rate or by fiscal or monetary stimulus. A reduction in potential supply can only be offset, after a delay, by increased investment. This is therefore the key challenge and policy success will be determined by the extent to which investment is stimulated and adequate long- term growth thereby assured. In addition, there is also likely to be a reduction in living standards through a deterioration in the terms of trade as a result of weaker sterling, but this was in any event likely as the exchange rate appeared overvalued before the vote.

The vote to leave the European Union will have both shorter and longer term impacts on the UK economy. There will be a shorter term impact on demand and, separately, on potential supply. The longer term one will depend largely on the policy response. Any decline in demand can in principle be offset by a lower exchange rate or by fiscal or monetary stimulus. A reduction in potential supply can only be offset, after a delay, by increased investment. This is therefore the key challenge and policy success will be determined by the extent to which investment is stimulated and adequate long- term growth thereby assured. In addition, there is also likely to be a reduction in living standards through a deterioration in the terms of trade as a result of weaker sterling, but this was in any event likely as the exchange rate appeared overvalued before the vote.  

Chairman, sgtradex

Tan Chin-Hwee

Chairman

Cameron has to take the fall as he took a huge strategic risk for partisan reasons, misreading the mood. The question is: do you as a business owner hire and invest?Uncertainty is often lumped together as risk but there is a different: risk can be measured but uncertainty cannot. Daniel Ellsberg devised the famous experiment where there are 2 jars. The first jar, you are told, contains 50 red balls and 50 black balls. The 2nd jars contain 100 red and black balls but the number of each is…

Cameron has to take the fall as he took a huge strategic risk for partisan reasons, misreading the mood. The question is: do you as a business owner hire and invest?Uncertainty is often lumped together as risk but there is a different: risk can be measured but uncertainty cannot. Daniel Ellsberg devised the famous experiment where there are 2 jars. The first jar, you are told, contains 50 red balls and 50 black balls. The 2nd jars contain 100 red and black balls but the number of each is…

Markets from Here-Uncertainty Is NOT Risk

United Kingdom

Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides various banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, UK Private banking, and Group Centre. The company provides private banking services, such as current accounts, deposit accounts, loans, overdrafts, and foreign exchange services; wealth planning services comprising estate and tax planning, pensions, and wealth preservation and generation; and discretionary investment management services, including asset management and developing tailored investment strategies. It also offers retail banking products and services, such as savings and current accounts; consumer finance products in motor finance, retail finance, and unsecured personal lending areas; and SME?s funding for asset finance, invoice finance, and real estate finance. In addition, the company offers commercial banking services comprising financing and cash transaction requirements of SMEs, as well as household cash management and insurance services. Further, the company offers leasing, debt collection, and property rental and management services. Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC was founded in 1833 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

Metro Bank PLC provides a full range of commercial banking services for retail and institutional customers. The Bank offers services such as current accounts, mortgages, safe deposit boxes, cash management, private banking, and debit and credit cards. Metro Bank conducts its business in the United Kingdom.

Bank of Georgia Group PLC operates as a bank. The Bank services includes retail banking and payment services, corporate and investment banking, and wealth management operations solutions. Bank of Georgia Group serves customers in the United Kingdom, Belarus, and Georgia.

Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) PLC, through its subsidiaries, operates as mortgage broker. The company offers face to face and telephone advice for customers. It also provides lifestyle and income protection cover. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in the Derby, United Kingdom.

Mortgage Advice Bureau (Holdings) (MAB1 LN)

Provident Financial plc is a financial services group specialising in the provision of personal credit products for consumers in the United Kingdom non standard lending market. The Company's Consumer Credit division provides small, unsecured loans, which they collect in weekly installments. The Company's Credit Cards business is operated through Vanquis Bank.

India Capital Growth Fund Limited is a close-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Ocean Dial Asset Management Limited. The fund invests in the public equity markets of India. It seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund primarily invests in stocks of mid and small cap companies. It employs fundamental analysis with a bottom-up stock selection approach and top-down thematic overlay, focusing on such factors as structural liquidity, cyclical liquidity, earnings momentum, strong management, sound financials, and competitive advantage to create its portfolio. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the BSE Mid-Cap Index. It conducts in-house research to make its investments. India Capital Growth Fund Limited was formed on November 11, 2005 and is domiciled in Guernsey.

H&T Group plc primarily provides pawnbroking services in the United Kingdom. It operates in six segments: Pawnbroking, Gold Purchasing, Retail, Pawnbroking Scrap, Personal Loans, and Other Services. The company also offers gold purchasing, jewelry retail, cheque cashing, unsecured lending, buyback, foreign exchange, money transfer, and prepaid debit card services. As of June 30, 2016, it operated 186 H&T Pawnbrokers stores and est1897 second hand jewelry retail stores. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Sutton, the United Kingdom.

Mercia Asset Management PLC is a venture capital firm specializing in incubation, seed EIS, and early stage investments. It invests in technology focusing on sectors such as digital entertainment, gaming, software, electronics and hardware, advanced materials, engineering and specialist manufacturing, and life sciences. The firm invests in Midlands and the North of the United Kingdom. It makes equity investments in companies either directly or via its funds under management and can also provides investments in form of debt or convertible securities. The firm seeks board position in its portfolio companies. Mercia Technologies PLC was founded in April, 2014 and is based in Henley-in-Arden, United Kingdom with an additional office in Edinburgh, United Kingdom.

Record PLC is a specialist currency management firm. The Company provides specialist currency management to institutions and corporations, pension plans, and other institutional investors. ... More

Weiss Korea Opportunity Fund Ltd.is a closed-ended equity mutual fund launched and managed by Weiss Asset Management LP. The fund invests in the public equity markets of South Korea. It seeks to invest in stocks of companies operating across diversified sectors. The fund primarily invests in value stocks and preferred shares of companies. It focuses on such factors as dividend yield, liquidity, and common shares weighting to create its portfolio. The fund benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the MSCI Korea 25/50 Net Total Return Index. Weiss Korea Opportunity Fund Ltd. was formed on April 12, 2013 and is domiciled in Guernsey.

Weiss Korea Opportunity Fund Ltd (WKOF LN)

Penns Woods Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company of Jersey Shore State Bank. The Company provides a variety of commercial and consumer banking services to individual, business, public, and institutional customers.  Penns Woods operates a network of offices in north central Pennsylvania.

Public Financial Holdings Ltd, through its subsidiaries, operates in the deposit taking, personal and commercial lending, credit card, mortgage financing, stockbroking, and property investment businesses.  The Company also provides financing to purchasers of taxis and public light buses, leases taxis, and trades taxi cabs and taxi licenses.

Ames National Corporation is a multi-bank holding corporation.  The Banks offer commercial banking, personal banking, agricultural lending and deposit account services along with trust services and Internet banking services.  Ames affiliates have locations throughout the state of Iowa.

PT Bank Capital Indonesia Tbk provides commercial banking services.

PT Bank Neo Commerce Tbk is a full service commercial bank based in Indonesia.

PT Bank China Construction Bank Indonesia Tbk provides banking and related services. The Bank also provides interbank transaction services that includes import/export transactions, funds transfer, foreign currency transactions, and bank guarantees.

Bank China Construction Bank Indonesia (MCOR IJ)

National Bankshares, Inc. is a holding company for the National Bank of Blacksburg.  The Bank attracts deposits from the general public and use these funds to originate commercial, real estate, and consumer loans.  National Bankshares operates in Montgomery, Giles, Carroll,Tazewell, and Grayson counties in Virginia, and Mercer county West Virginia.

THE TOCHIGI BANK, LTD. is a regional bank based in Tochigi.  The Bank provides commercial banking services including deposits, loans, foreign exchange transactions, and securities investments.  The Tochigi Bank also provides financial services such as mutual funds sales, credit cards, leasing, and clerical works for banks' daily operations.

Tsukuba Bank, Ltd. provides commercial and personal banking services. The Bank offers personal and business checking, savings accounts, mortgages, issues credit card, and business loans for customers. Tsukuba Bank serves customers in Japan.

PT. Bank Agris Tbk provide financing services. The Bank offers investment products, working capital loans, consumer credit, product trade finance and remittance services.

Secure Trust Bank PLC accepts deposits and offers retail banking services.  The Company offers automobile and retail point of sale financing, and personal unsecured lending.

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Secure Trust Bank (STB LN)

Progressing with a prudent approach

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) first half results were a reminder that the reshaping of the loan book towards one with a lower risk profile does involve...

Edison Investment Research

Ready for the next stage

Secure Trust Bank (STB) reported results that were close to expectations for 2016, a year that saw major changes as the group generated substantial...

Edison Investment Research

Seeking profitable growth

The Q4 trading update confirmed the business has been performing in line with management expectations and the full-year results should meet market...

Edison Investment Research

The UK Economy - After Brexit

The vote to leave the European Union will have both shorter and longer term impacts on the UK economy. There will be a shorter term impact on...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Markets from Here-Uncertainty Is NOT Risk

Cameron has to take the fall as he took a huge strategic risk for partisan reasons, misreading the mood. The question is: do you as a business...

Tan Chin-Hwee

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52-week Range

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