CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: 10 stocks remain, four new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 115% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 31%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: 10 stocks remain, four new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 115% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 31%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 41

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>We expect Thai inflation to continue easing from May to August, driven down by the high base effect and lower oil prices.</li><li>The Ministry of Commerce (MoC) anticipates 2023E inflation at a mean of +2.2% YoY (range of 1.7-2.7%), slowing considerably from +6.1% YoY in 2022.</li><li>We expect the MPC to continue raising the policy interest rate by 25 bps to 2.00% in the meeting on May 31, 2023, which should be the last rate hike in this upcycle. </li></ul>

We expect Thai inflation to continue easing from May to August, driven down by the high base effect and lower oil prices.The Ministry of Commerce (MoC) anticipates 2023E inflation at a mean of +2.2% YoY (range of 1.7-2.7%), slowing considerably from +6.1% YoY in 2022.We expect the MPC to continue raising the policy interest rate by 25 bps to 2.00% in the meeting on May 31, 2023, which should be the last rate hike in this upcycle. 

Special Report: Inflation Remains on a Downtrend

<ul><li>Greater clarity after the general election should ease worries over a possible coup and a delay in the formation of a coalition government, which we expect to consist of three parties, i.e., the Pheu Thai Party, the Palang Pracharath Party and the Bhumjaithai Party, in our base-case scenario; this would reduce the risk premium of the SET Index, pushing it up to our target of 1,607 points.</li><li>Historical data from the five most recent elections shows that the SET increased by an average of +3.47% in the month after they were held; and in the week before and after the general elections took place, the index rose by 1.87% and 3.81%, respectively.</li><li>The biggest gainers were the finance, property development and ICT sectors. We thus recommend speculating on SIRI, SC, SCB, KBANK, CPALL, INTUCH, ADVANC and MINT.</li></ul>

Greater clarity after the general election should ease worries over a possible coup and a delay in the formation of a coalition government, which we expect to consist of three parties, i.e., the Pheu Thai Party, the Palang Pracharath Party and the Bhumjaithai Party, in our base-case scenario; this would reduce the risk premium of the SET Index, pushing it up to our target of 1,607 points.Historical data from the five most recent elections shows that the SET increased by an average of +3.47% in the month after they were held; and in the week before and after the general elections took place, the index rose by 1.87% and 3.81%, respectively.The biggest gainers were the finance, property development and ICT sectors. We thus recommend speculating on SIRI, SC, SCB, KBANK, CPALL, INTUCH, ADVANC and MINT.

Special Report: Election Rally (History to Repeat Itself)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray</li>
<li>Since inception, it has gained 96% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 29%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology
Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join the fray
Since inception, it has gained 96% versus the SET 100 Index’s return of 29%


The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 40

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/straits-trading-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15745" rel="noopener">Straits Trading (STRTR SP)</a> acquires 2 freehold office buildings in Melbourne</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-sponsor-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19779" rel="noopener">First Sponsor (FSG SP)</a> FY21 net profit up 18% YoY; Led by property development segment, hotels’ recovery underway in CN and EUR</li><li>SREIT ETFs picks up retail investors as net buy continues into 2022</li></ul>

Straits Trading (STRTR SP) acquires 2 freehold office buildings in MelbourneFirst Sponsor (FSG SP) FY21 net profit up 18% YoY; Led by property development segment, hotels’ recovery underway in CN and EURSREIT ETFs picks up retail investors as net buy continues into 2022

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14Feb22) - STRTR Buys 2 Melbourne Offices

Thailand

Principal Capital PCL is a property development company. The Company's primary objective is to develop property projects with a focus on the Central Business District (CBD) and prime area.

Grand Canal Land PCL develops real estate.  The Company develops residential condominiums; office buildings; and detached residential houses.

Rojana Industrial Park Public Company Limited is a property development company which concentrates in industrial estate development projects.  The Company develops land sites suitable for industrial use such as small factories, while providing infrastructure and facilities such as electricity, water, telephone lines, employee housing and restaurants.

Origin Property Public Company Limited is a real estate company. The Company provides condominium real estate development.

Lalin Property Public Company Limited builds single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums, as well as commercial buildings in planned residential communities.  Most of the Company's projects are located in Bangkok suburbs.

The Platinum Group PCL manages and operates a wholesale and retail shopping mall. The Company also operates a hotel business. The Platinum Group operates in Thailand.

Singha Estate PCL is a property developer specializing in residential projects in the Bangkok area.

Nusasiri PCL is a property development company. The Company's projects include residential homes, condominium's, and retail plaza's.

Areeya Property Public Company Limited develops single detached houses in central business district.  Its existing projects are Areeya Chab, Areeya Sawana, Areeya Chaba Exclusive, Areeya Busaba, Areeya Casa at Ratchada, Ratchad 2 and Sukhumvit.  The company also provides management services.

L.P.N. Development Public Company Limited develops real estate.  The Company's projects include residential, commercial and office buildings.

Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group Co., Ltd. develops, sells, and leases residential and commercial real estate properties.  The Company also renovates old buildings.  Shanghai New Huangpu provides food and entertainment services and trades building materials.

Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group Co., Ltd.  (600638 CH)

Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group Co., Ltd. 

Ajmera Realty & Infra India Ltd manufactures color coated galvanized steel and aluminum coils/roofing sheets.  The Company supplies a range of coating specifications in polyester, plastisol, and other materials to suit individual customer requirements.

Beijing North Star Company Limited develops, leases, and invests in properties. The Company operates shopping centers, hotels, restaurants, and recreation businesses.  The Company also provides property management.

Shahe Industry Co., Ltd. develops and markets residential buildings in Shenzhen, China.  The properties under development include the Shiji Village, the Luming Garden, and Baoruixuan.

Unitech Limited is a real estate development company.  The Company develops self-sustaining residential areas, commercial spaces, amusement parks, infrastructure development, thermal power plants, transmission lines, highways, flyovers, industrial facilities, steel plants, and overseas turnkey projects.

Shining Building Business Co., Ltd. develops, sells, and leases residential and commercial buildings which are constructed by independent construction companies.

P2P Financial Information Service Co Ltd is mainly engaged in commercial real estate development and services.

P2 P Financial Information Service (600696 CH)

Jiangsu Phoenix Property Investment Co Ltd develops and manages residential and commercial real estate properties.

Nippon Commercial Development Co.,Ltd. plans, develops, and manages properties on behalf of real estate owners.  The Company also obtains properties of its own and develops and restores them for eventual sale.  Nippon Commercial Development provides consulting services as well.

OMAXE Limited is a real estate development and construction company focused on commercial and residential projects.

SC Asset Corporation Public Company Limited develops real estate properties for sale and rental.  The Company owns and manages Shinawatra Tower III office building. Additionally, SC Asset and its subsidiaries own Shinawatra Tower I and Shinawatra Tower II office buildings, develop single house, condominium and office building projects, and provide management consultant services.

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SC Asset Corp (SC TB)

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 41

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Since inception, it has gained 115% versus the SET...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Special Report: Inflation Remains on a Downtrend

The Ministry of Commerce (MoC) anticipates 2023E inflation at a mean of +2.2% YoY (range of 1.7-2.7%), slowing considerably from +6.1% YoY in 2022.

Krungthai XSpring

Special Report: Election Rally (History to Repeat Itself)

The biggest gainers were the finance, property development and ICT sectors. We thus recommend speculating on SIRI, SC, SCB, KBANK, CPALL, INTUCH,...

Krungthai XSpring

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 40

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Portfolio changes: Five stocks remain, nine new join...

A. Stotz Investment Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14Feb22) - STRTR Buys 2 Melbourne Offices

Retail investors net BUY the SREITs sector; SC targets THB22bn in presales and revs; PRMX to complete San Juan tower; Klang Valley incoming retail...

SCCM Asia Research

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