Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of A$1.00 per share: Very high impact exploration well encounters gas and condensate in Austria – The Welchau well (ADX WI: 75%) encountered 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows in the primary target formation (Steinalm Formation) between 1452 m and 1567 m.</li>
<li>The deepest gas shows were encountered at a depth of 1645 m.</li>
<li>The well has reached TD at 1733 m. The Steinalm Formation intersection in the well is in line with the pre-drill prognosis.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; target price of A$1.00 per share: Very high impact exploration well encounters gas and condensate in Austria – The Welchau well (ADX WI: 75%) encountered 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows in the primary target formation (Steinalm Formation) between 1452 m and 1567 m.
The deepest gas shows were encountered at a depth of 1645 m.
The well has reached TD at 1733 m. The Steinalm Formation intersection in the well is in line with the pre-drill prognosis.


<ul>
<li>Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C ; target price of C$0.45 per share: Transactions repriced on more attractive terms – Criterium has renegotiated the terms of the Mont d’Or (MOPL) acquisition.</li>
<li>Criterium will now assume only ~US$25.5 mm of debt rather than ~US$37 mm previously.</li>
<li>A US$4.8 mm payment to the lenders and the conversion of US$4.9 mm of debt into equity (US$2.5 mm on completion of the acquisition plus US$2.4 mm in 2025) reduce further the existing debt to ~US$15.8 mm at closing. </li>
</ul>


Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C ; target price of C$0.45 per share: Transactions repriced on more attractive terms – Criterium has renegotiated the terms of the Mont d’Or (MOPL) acquisition.
Criterium will now assume only ~US$25.5 mm of debt rather than ~US$37 mm previously.
A US$4.8 mm payment to the lenders and the conversion of US$4.9 mm of debt into equity (US$2.5 mm on completion of the acquisition plus US$2.4 mm in 2025) reduce further the existing debt to ~US$15.8 mm at closing. 


<ul><li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: No flow from the Gacheta but overall reserves addition from CN-1 larger than initially expected – The Gacheta zones proved unproductive at the CN 1 well location.</li><li>Management is investigating potential reasons for the lack of productivity and plans to re-evaluate these Gacheta zones in future wells.</li><li>Jadestone Energy (JSE LN): New equity raise – Jadestone Energy has raised US$50 mm of new equity priced at 45p per share.</li></ul>

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: No flow from the Gacheta but overall reserves addition from CN-1 larger than initially expected – The Gacheta zones proved unproductive at the CN 1 well location.Management is investigating potential reasons for the lack of productivity and plans to re-evaluate these Gacheta zones in future wells.Jadestone Energy (JSE LN): New equity raise – Jadestone Energy has raised US$50 mm of new equity priced at 45p per share.

Equity Bottom-Up

Woodside Energy Group Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.</li><li>While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.</li><li>The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. </li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. 

<ul><li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN)C: Target price of £0.45 per share: Reaching 2,635 bbl/d without Capella.</li><li>High cash position – The RCE-5 well flowed 680 bbl/d (340 bbl/d net to Arrow) of oil over the last 24 hours.</li><li>GeoPark (GPRK US) C; Target price of US$26 per share: First horizontal well at LL-34 in production at over 3,000 bbl/d – 1Q23 production was 36,578 boe/d.</li></ul>

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN)C: Target price of £0.45 per share: Reaching 2,635 bbl/d without Capella.High cash position – The RCE-5 well flowed 680 bbl/d (340 bbl/d net to Arrow) of oil over the last 24 hours.GeoPark (GPRK US) C; Target price of US$26 per share: First horizontal well at LL-34 in production at over 3,000 bbl/d – 1Q23 production was 36,578 boe/d.

United Kingdom

Savannah Energy PLC is a leading African focused British independent energy company with current operations in Nigeria and Niger, where the Company is sustainably developing high-quality and high-growth projects.

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Savannah Energy PLC (SAVE LN)

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 15/03/2024

The Welchau well (ADX WI: 75%) encountered 115 m of liquids-rich gas shows in the primary target formation (Steinalm Formation) between 1452 m and...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 29/09/2023

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C ; target price of C$0.45 per share: Transactions repriced on more attractive terms – Criterium has renegotiated the...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 09/06/2023

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: No flow from the Gacheta but overall reserves addition from CN-1 larger than...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 21/04/2023

The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) with...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 14/04/2023

GeoPark (GPRK US) C; Target price of US$26 per share: First horizontal well at LL-34 in production at over 3,000 bbl/d – 1Q23 production was 36,578...

Auctus Advisors

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