Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP)</a> has announced that it is buying Worldwide Flight Services (WFS) from an affiliate of Cerberus Capital Management at an Enterprise Value of €2.25bn (S$3.107bn).</li>
<li>The cash consideration is €1.187bn (S$1.639bn) and will likely be financed by an equity fund raising. This could be a rights issue and could be combined with a private placement.</li>
<li>Expect the stock to drop once it resumes trading. A significant drop from current levels could provide a buying opportunity as the rights issue could be backstopped.</li>
</ul>



SATS (SATS SP) has announced that it is buying Worldwide Flight Services (WFS) from an affiliate of Cerberus Capital Management at an Enterprise Value of €2.25bn (S$3.107bn).
The cash consideration is €1.187bn (S$1.639bn) and will likely be financed by an equity fund raising. This could be a rights issue and could be combined with a private placement.
Expect the stock to drop once it resumes trading. A significant drop from current levels could provide a buying opportunity as the rights issue could be backstopped.


SATS to Buy Worldwide Flight Services (WFS) As Private Equity Exits

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.</li>
<li>We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level</li>
</ul>


Since March we have consistently said we believe any bottoming process would likely take weeks or months and could come with more tests of the lows, or even an undercut.
We are testing the March lows now in several global indexes, including the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US).
While this is a logical spot for a bounce, we see rallies as selling opportunities at the index level


MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>There has been a lot of positive talk about Singapore's reopening but also an equal number of skeptics. </li>
<li>Companies covered are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP)</a>, and retail REITs in Singapore. </li>
<li>There is some removal of regulations that support the reopening theme such as testing removal upon landing in SG, PET efficiency for the nightlife scene,  and reduction of safe-distancing ambassadors. </li>
</ul>


There has been a lot of positive talk about Singapore's reopening but also an equal number of skeptics. 
Companies covered are SATS (SATS SP) , Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) , Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP), and retail REITs in Singapore. 
There is some removal of regulations that support the reopening theme such as testing removal upon landing in SG, PET efficiency for the nightlife scene,  and reduction of safe-distancing ambassadors. 


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The latest announcement by the SG Multi-Task Force to further relax COVID-19 restrictions is a major positive catalyst.</li>
<li>Its hybrid taxi accounted for more than 50% of its entire fleet as of end-December 2020. It remains on track to replace all diesel taxis with hybrid models by 2023.</li>
<li>Investors will be paying a discounted valuation for the cash flow if they own <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP)</a> compared to its peers which trades at a much higher EV/EBITDA.</li>
</ul>


The latest announcement by the SG Multi-Task Force to further relax COVID-19 restrictions is a major positive catalyst.
Its hybrid taxi accounted for more than 50% of its entire fleet as of end-December 2020. It remains on track to replace all diesel taxis with hybrid models by 2023.
Investors will be paying a discounted valuation for the cash flow if they own Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP) compared to its peers which trades at a much higher EV/EBITDA.


Comfortdelgro (CD): Restriction Easing, Green And Low EV/EBITDA.

<p>As vaccination rate has gradually inched up higher and the Singapore government has taken a bold step to re-open the economy including bringing back foreign talents leading to a higher population and, therefore, higher revenue for public transport services of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP)</a> , Comfordelgro stock looks quite promising. </p>
<p>Comfortdelgro's share price has underperformed the Singapore national carrier by a wide margin when the latter was trading at below book value. Now that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-airlines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:74:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)</a> is trading at book value, there may not be much short-term upside left, and even if there is, it means its PER will be quite high which will make Comfortdelgro (at 24x PER) looks relatively cheaper. </p>

As vaccination rate has gradually inched up higher and the Singapore government has taken a bold step to re-open the economy including bringing back foreign talents leading to a higher population and, therefore, higher revenue for public transport services of Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP) , Comfordelgro stock looks quite promising. 
Comfortdelgro's share price has underperformed the Singapore national carrier by a wide margin when the latter was trading at below book value. Now that Singapore Airlines (SIA SP) is trading at book value, there may not be much short-term upside left, and even if there is, it means its PER will be quite high which will make Comfortdelgro (at 24x PER) looks relatively cheaper. 

Singapore

SATS Limited provides integrated ground handling and in-flight catering services at Singapore Changi Airport.  The Company also provides aviation security, airline laundry, and airport cargo delivery management services.

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SATS (SATS SP)

SATS to Buy Worldwide Flight Services (WFS) As Private Equity Exits

SATS is looking to acquire WFS at an EV of €2.25bn with the cash consideration at €1.187bn. This implies an EV/Sales of 1.31x and an EV/EBITDA of...

Brian Freitas

MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EM Testing Logical Support; Actionable Themes: Defensives & Reopening Stocks

We are testing the March lows in several global indexes, including the MSCI $ACWI, ACWI ex-US $ACWX, and EM $EEM. While this is a logical spot for...

Vermilion Research

Singapore Travel: Back to Live!

The reopening in Singapore is real and nearer to the pre-COVID-19 condition or back to normalcy. Tourism-related names such as SATS, SIA,...

Henry Soediarko

Comfortdelgro (CD): Restriction Easing, Green And Low EV/EBITDA.

On track to becoming greener as it just bought100 BYD, and its hybrid taxi is 50% of the total. Restriction of easing will benefit Comfortdelgro...

Henry Soediarko

Comfortdelgro (CD): March Forward

Comfortdelgro's share price has underperformed the Singapore national carrier by a wide margin when the latter was trading at below book value.

Henry Soediarko

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