Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A variety of articles of recent from private media sources have suggested that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teijin-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5097:1" rel="noopener">Teijin Ltd (3401 JP)</a> has its 55% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a> up for auction. </li>
<li>According to earlier articles, binding Second Round bids were due last week. According to an article out late last week, binding bids have been made, with some "around ¥250bn."</li>
<li>What that means for price may depend on what the "around ¥250bn" means. A brief exploration below. </li>
</ul>


A variety of articles of recent from private media sources have suggested that Teijin Ltd (3401 JP) has its 55% stake in Infocom Corp (4348 JP) up for auction. 
According to earlier articles, binding Second Round bids were due last week. According to an article out late last week, binding bids have been made, with some "around ¥250bn."
What that means for price may depend on what the "around ¥250bn" means. A brief exploration below. 


Infocom (4348 JP) - The Meaning of 'Binding Bids' and '¥250bn'

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to see more and more global indexes and Sectors breaking out to new highs. This is classic bull market behavior. The latest breakouts: Israel, Germany, and Sweden</li>
<li>Our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities.</li>
<li>We continue to get more evidence suggesting the US Dollar (DXY) is rolling over, and quite likely that global sovereign 10-year yields are rolling over as well. Risk-on.</li>
</ul>


We continue to see more and more global indexes and Sectors breaking out to new highs. This is classic bull market behavior. The latest breakouts: Israel, Germany, and Sweden
Our bullish outlook (since early November 2023) on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities.
We continue to get more evidence suggesting the US Dollar (DXY) is rolling over, and quite likely that global sovereign 10-year yields are rolling over as well. Risk-on.


Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; More Global Breakouts. Buys in Discretionary, Tech

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities are under some pressure after Fitch downgraded the United States' credit rating to AA+ from AAA.</li>
<li>We expect that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the 50-day MA or major $93 support level on the MSCI ACWI <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US)</a> .</li>
<li>$TNX is below 4.1%-4.3% and DXY remains in an 8-month downtrend; as long as this remains true, we'd buy on a pullback to the 50-day MA and/or $93 on ACWI-US</li>
</ul>


Global equities are under some pressure after Fitch downgraded the United States' credit rating to AA+ from AAA.
We expect that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the 50-day MA or major $93 support level on the MSCI ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US) .
$TNX is below 4.1%-4.3% and DXY remains in an 8-month downtrend; as long as this remains true, we'd buy on a pullback to the 50-day MA and/or $93 on ACWI-US


Normal Pullback, or Something More?; Watching Resistance on DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>On 30 June 2022, Sanrio reached a five year licensing deal with Alifish, which will cover Sanrio’s cast of popular characters including Hello Kitty and Kuromi in China.</li>
<li>In July 2020, Shintaro Tsuji (founder of the company) handed over control of Sanrio to his 31 year old (as of 2020) grandson Tomokuni Tsuji.</li>
<li>Despite the longevity of Hello Kitty as well as the recent partnership with Alifish (Alibaba's subsidiary) to expand its business in China, we remain concerned with Sanrio's lofty valuation multiples.</li>
</ul>


On 30 June 2022, Sanrio reached a five year licensing deal with Alifish, which will cover Sanrio’s cast of popular characters including Hello Kitty and Kuromi in China.
In July 2020, Shintaro Tsuji (founder of the company) handed over control of Sanrio to his 31 year old (as of 2020) grandson Tomokuni Tsuji.
Despite the longevity of Hello Kitty as well as the recent partnership with Alifish (Alibaba's subsidiary) to expand its business in China, we remain concerned with Sanrio's lofty valuation multiples.


Sanrio - Hello Kitty and Kuromi Characters to Expand in China But Valuations Remain Lofty

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanrio-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16476:1" rel="noopener">Sanrio (8136 JP)</a> , the company behind Hello Kitty, has bounced 12% since striking a deal with Alibaba’s IP licensing platform Alifish to produce and sell merchandise of 26 characters.</li>
<li>This seems like a way to combat copyright infringements. However, we are sceptical that this agreement could stop cheap counterfeits from entering the market.</li>
<li>Sanrio badly needs a revival. However, history is not on the company’s side as they have been trying to revive the business over the last 20 years.</li>
</ul>



Sanrio (8136 JP) , the company behind Hello Kitty, has bounced 12% since striking a deal with Alibaba’s IP licensing platform Alifish to produce and sell merchandise of 26 characters.
This seems like a way to combat copyright infringements. However, we are sceptical that this agreement could stop cheap counterfeits from entering the market.
Sanrio badly needs a revival. However, history is not on the company’s side as they have been trying to revive the business over the last 20 years.


Sanrio: The Market Is a Bit Too Excited About The Licensing Agreement With Alifish

Japan

Sanrio Company, Ltd. manufactures and sells character goods including gift merchandise, greeting cards, and stationery products.  The Company also produces books, magazines, and movies, and though its subsidiary, operates restaurants and amusement parks.

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Sanrio (8136 JP)

Infocom (4348 JP) - The Meaning of 'Binding Bids' and '¥250bn'

Infocom has run 50% in a month since we learned Sony might bid against PE firms to take the co private. If one looks at this as SOTP, it's...

Travis Lundy

Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; More Global Breakouts. Buys in Discretionary, Tech

Bullish Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over, 10-Yr Treasury Yield $TNX Rolling Over; More Global Indexes Breaking Out (Israel, Germany, Sweden). Buys...

Vermilion Research

Normal Pullback, or Something More?; Watching Resistance on DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys

Normal Pullback, or Something More for global equities?; Watch Resistance on $DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys in Consumer Discretionary...

Vermilion Research

Sanrio - Hello Kitty and Kuromi Characters to Expand in China But Valuations Remain Lofty

Despite the longevity of Hello Kitty as well as the recent partnership with Alifish (Alibaba's subsidiary) to expand its business in China, we...

Douglas Kim

Sanrio: The Market Is a Bit Too Excited About The Licensing Agreement With Alifish

Even though Hello Kitty is hugely popular in China, Sanrio hasn’t figured out a way to monetise the brand’s full potential due to copyright...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

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