Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>One of the key themes this year that has worked well has been Korean food &amp; beverage stocks that have significantly outperformed KOSPI. </li>
<li>Some of the best selling Korean foods (especially overseas) include Samyang Foods' instant noodles, CJ Seafood's seaweed products, and Wooyang's frozen gimbab. </li>
<li>We prefer a basket approach to investing in Korean F&amp;B stocks. A basket of top 10 F&amp;B stocks in Korea has outperformed the market YTD and this outperformance could continue.</li>
</ul>


One of the key themes this year that has worked well has been Korean food &amp; beverage stocks that have significantly outperformed KOSPI. 
Some of the best selling Korean foods (especially overseas) include Samyang Foods' instant noodles, CJ Seafood's seaweed products, and Wooyang's frozen gimbab. 
We prefer a basket approach to investing in Korean F&amp;B stocks. A basket of top 10 F&amp;B stocks in Korea has outperformed the market YTD and this outperformance could continue.


<ul>
<li>On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. </li>
<li>In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.</li>
<li>NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military &amp; defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). </li>
</ul>


On 4 July, NPS disclosed the details of the ownership changes for 112 listed companies in Korea, of which 87 were listed in KOSPI and 25 in KOSDAQ. 
In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies in Korea.
NPS reduced its capital allocation to the military &amp; defense sector. NPS reduced its stake in LIG Nex1 (-2.32%), Poongsan Corp (-2.24%), and Hanwha Aerospace (-1.02%). 


What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.</li>
<li>We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices will run from 1 June to 31 August.
We see 6 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 1 new addition to LargeCap, 6 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and 3 new additions to MidCap.
Stocks migrating upward have outperformed stocks migrating lower. But there are still stocks trading at a Price to Book of less than 1.


KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

<ul>
<li>In the past week, several leading Korean instant noodle makers including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi announced that they will be reducing instant noodle and snack prices starting July.</li>
<li>This government pressure to lower instant noodle and snack prices are likely to negatively impact companies including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi Corp.</li>
<li>We believe the share prices of the three major instant noodle makers including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi could face further underperformance relative to KOSPI in the next 3-6 months. </li>
</ul>


In the past week, several leading Korean instant noodle makers including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi announced that they will be reducing instant noodle and snack prices starting July.
This government pressure to lower instant noodle and snack prices are likely to negatively impact companies including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi Corp.
We believe the share prices of the three major instant noodle makers including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi could face further underperformance relative to KOSPI in the next 3-6 months. 


Government Pressures Korean Instant Noodles & Flour Makers to Lower Prices

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>Applying the T+3 relisting date as the effective date will again lead to noteworthy changes to the timeline of rebalancing flow trading.</li>
<li>It seems unnecessary to concentrate shorting on the trading halt day for Dongkuk Steel. We should aim for price corrections driven by passive flows on the T+2 period before effective.</li>
<li>Despite the Dongkuk Steel shareholders' approval on the 12th, Youlchon Chemical's price experienced a significant decline. The ongoing risk of major shareholder stake sales appears to have overshadowed this event.</li>
</ul>


Applying the T+3 relisting date as the effective date will again lead to noteworthy changes to the timeline of rebalancing flow trading.
It seems unnecessary to concentrate shorting on the trading halt day for Dongkuk Steel. We should aim for price corrections driven by passive flows on the T+2 period before effective.
Despite the Dongkuk Steel shareholders' approval on the 12th, Youlchon Chemical's price experienced a significant decline. The ongoing risk of major shareholder stake sales appears to have overshadowed this event.


KOSPI 200 Ad-Hoc Changes for Dongkuk Steel Spinoff: Discussing Flow Trading Timeline

South Korea

Samyang Foods Co., Ltd. manufactures instant and processed food products, such as noodles, snacks, cooking oil, and feed.  The Company also produces dairy goods including milk, cheese, and ice cream.

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Samyang Foods (003230 KS)

Korean Food Goes Global

We prefer a basket approach to investing in Korean F&B stocks. A basket of top 10 F&B stocks in Korea has outperformed the market YTD and this...

Douglas Kim

What Did NPS Buy and Sell in Korean Stock Market in 2Q 2024?

In 2Q 2024, the NPS reduced its investments in defense and military stocks and increased investments in cosmetics, shipbuilding, and food companies...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices: Potential Migrations in September Are Moving

There are many changes expected for the KOSPI size indices in September. The potential upward migrations have outperformed the potential downward...

Brian Freitas

Government Pressures Korean Instant Noodles & Flour Makers to Lower Prices

We believe the share prices of the three major instant noodle makers including Nongshim, Samyang Foods, and Ottogi could face further...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 Ad-Hoc Changes for Dongkuk Steel Spinoff: Discussing Flow Trading Timeline

This post details the KOSPI 200 corporate actions for Dongkuk Steel spinoff, which involves the addition of Youlchon Chemical, and discusses the...

Sanghyun Park

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