Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>VinFast Auto ("VinFast") is getting ready to complete its IPO on Nasdaq in January 2023.</li>
<li>We are cautious on the IPO of VinFast. Timing is awful and investors have slashed share prices of the company's comps in the past year. </li>
<li>The fact that the company is trying to hurry up to complete this IPO in early 2023 suggests that there could be some bigger concerns about long-term financing of VinFast.</li>
</ul>


VinFast Auto ("VinFast") is getting ready to complete its IPO on Nasdaq in January 2023.
We are cautious on the IPO of VinFast. Timing is awful and investors have slashed share prices of the company's comps in the past year. 
The fact that the company is trying to hurry up to complete this IPO in early 2023 suggests that there could be some bigger concerns about long-term financing of VinFast.


VinFast IPO Preview - Too Big to Fail In Vietnam

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As expected, Sungeel Hitech (365340) made it to the index. And C&amp;I System (222080) and Wonik PNE (217820) were added, whereas Ecopro (086520) and Dongwha Enterprise (025900) were deleted.</li>
<li>Among the existing constituents, Samsung SDI (006400), Ecopro BM (247540), SK Innovation (096770), L&amp;F (066970), and SKC (011790) are expected to have a relatively significant impact.</li>
<li>Looking at the last rebalancing, the impact/price correlation was most significant on Day 1. So, we should consider aiming for LONG/SHORT today for those with a high relative impact.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Sungeel Hitech (365340) made it to the index. And C&amp;I System (222080) and Wonik PNE (217820) were added, whereas Ecopro (086520) and Dongwha Enterprise (025900) were deleted.
Among the existing constituents, Samsung SDI (006400), Ecopro BM (247540), SK Innovation (096770), L&amp;F (066970), and SKC (011790) are expected to have a relatively significant impact.
Looking at the last rebalancing, the impact/price correlation was most significant on Day 1. So, we should consider aiming for LONG/SHORT today for those with a high relative impact.


KODEX Battery Rebalancing Results Out: From Today to Next Tuesday

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Sentiment switch for Singtel after surge in buying among Asia Ex-Japan funds</li>
<li>New positions from Fullerton Asia Focus, Jupiter Asian Fund and Fullerton Asia Growth &amp; Income head a total of 14 funds opening exposure between 01/31/2022 and 10/31/2022.</li>
<li>Follows broader rotation in to key Singapore names despite heavy selling in Sea Ltd.</li>
</ul>


Sentiment switch for Singtel after surge in buying among Asia Ex-Japan funds
New positions from Fullerton Asia Focus, Jupiter Asian Fund and Fullerton Asia Growth &amp; Income head a total of 14 funds opening exposure between 01/31/2022 and 10/31/2022.
Follows broader rotation in to key Singapore names despite heavy selling in Sea Ltd.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI EAFE ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).</li>
<li>We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass</li>
<li>We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe that a bearish intermediate-term outlook is appropriate as long as the YTD downtrends remain intact on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EAFE (EFA-US).
We would turn bullish only on reversals of those downtrends. With that said, a bear market rally has officially begun, something that we have discussed since our Sept.29 Int'l Compass
We expect to see rallies to their respective YTD downtrends (ACWX, EFA, etc.). We highlight buys that are likely to outperform on this bear market rally.


Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Yunsung F&amp;C is target price of 53,360 won per share, which is 0.7% higher than the low end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>Given the lack of upside, we would avoid this IPO.</li>
<li>Yunsung F&amp;C is one of the leaders in Korea in producing mixers for rechargeable battery materials for customers including LG Energy Solution and SK On. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Yunsung F&amp;C is target price of 53,360 won per share, which is 0.7% higher than the low end of the IPO price range.
Given the lack of upside, we would avoid this IPO.
Yunsung F&amp;C is one of the leaders in Korea in producing mixers for rechargeable battery materials for customers including LG Energy Solution and SK On. 


South Korea

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd. specializes in developing Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) technology.  The Company also manufactures cathode ray tubes (CRTs) for televisions and computer monitors.  Samsung SDI also produces liquid crystal display (LCD) components and rechargeable batteries for cellular phones , personal digital assistants (PDAs), Energy Storage Systems and solar panels.

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Samsung SDI (006400 KS)

VinFast IPO Preview - Too Big to Fail In Vietnam

We are cautious on the IPO of VinFast. Timing is awful and investors have slashed share prices of the company's comps in the past year.

Douglas Kim

KODEX Battery Rebalancing Results Out: From Today to Next Tuesday

This post details the rebalancing results and resulting passive impacts of the KODEX Secondary Battery ETF, which runs from today to next Tuesday.

Sanghyun Park

Singtel: Demand Surge

Sentiment turns for Singtel after a raft of opening positions among Asia Ex-Japan active managers. Follows rotation into broader Singapore market...

Steven Holden

Bear Market Rally in Progress as DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Yr Yields Fall; Buy Ideas Within Leaders

Bear Market Rally in Progress as $DXY, Global Sovereign 10-Year Yields Decline. Italy FTSE MIB with a bullish YTD downtrend reversal, Switzerland...

Vermilion Research

Yunsung F&C Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Yunsung F&C is target price of 53,360 won per share, which is 0.7% higher than the low end of the IPO price range. Given...

Douglas Kim

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